Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1.07 ZEC at 515.09$ per unit. Take profit: 521.0172 (1.15 %) & Stop Loss: 507.62 (1.45 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1.07 ZEC at 515.09$ per unit. Take profit: 521.0172 (1.15 %) & Stop Loss: 507.62 (1.45 %)
Position
Entry 515.09$
Qty 1.071 ZEC
Size 551.6359$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 521.0172 (+1.15%)
TP $ 6.35$
SL 507.62 (-1.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.79
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9203
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.81×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.41×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | mature | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6427 | r1h: 0.499% · r4h: 0.847% · r1d: 4.80% · r3d: 6.17% · ema21_slope: 0.2266% · dist_ema21: 2.312% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6083 | rs_1h: 0.350% · rs_4h: 0.320% · rs_1d: 3.89% · rs_3d: 4.61% · beta_24h: 2.431 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3406 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: 0.183 · trend: 13.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7623 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 18.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.928% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.159% | 0.1R | -0.454% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.159% | 0.1R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.759% | 0.5R | -1.351% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.415% | 1.0R | -1.351% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.415% | 1.0R | -1.351% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.75 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.63 | range_medium | -0.28% | +0.44 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.47% | +0.33 | 17/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.37 | range_low | +0.45% | +0.01 | 17/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 19b | — | 2.415×ATR | p0 | +0.736×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.643×ATR | p55 | +2.45×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 0.87×ATR | p0 | +1.458×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.715×ATR | p7 | +0.593×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515.09 | 507.62 | 521.0172 | 0.79 | 1109 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 507.62 - 515.09 = -7.47
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 515.09 - 521.0172 = -5.9272
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.9272 / -7.47 = 0.7935
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551.6359 | 100 | 1.071 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -7.47 = -1.07
Taille de position USD = -1.07 x 515.09 = -551.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.07 avec un stoploss a 507.62
Avec un position size USD de -551.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.07 x -7.47 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.07 x -5.9272 = 6.34
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.34$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.15 % | 6.35 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.35 $ | 1.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3512 % | 93.17 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515.09 | 507.62 | 521.0172 | 0.79 | 1109 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 507.62 - 515.09 = -7.47
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 515.09 - 521.0172 = -5.9272
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.9272 / -7.47 = 0.7935
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.159% | 0.1R | -0.454% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.159% | 0.1R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.759% | 0.5R | -1.351% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.415% | 1.0R | -1.351% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.415% | 1.0R | -1.351% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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