Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 15.75 SOL at 75.883$ per unit. Take profit: 77.1527 (1.67 %) & Stop Loss: 75.3751 (0.67 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 11:12:30
hyperliquid
SOL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 11:12
→ 22:25
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 75.883$
Qty 15.7521 SOL
Size 1195.3192$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 77.1527 (+1.67%)
TP $ 20$
SL 75.3751 (-0.67%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.67%
/ -8$
MAE -0.94%
MFE +0.40%
0.6R
expires
17 Aug 23:12
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72339)
#17 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 11:00
score du 17/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5017
Quality Score
0.554
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
81.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 11:00
17/08 11:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#17 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.67 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#17 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.67 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.65×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 17/08 10:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1594
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | mature | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5536
Score SMA
0.5490
Rank
#17
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5017
Rank Norm SMA
0.5793
Calculé le
17/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5092 | r1h: 0.069% · r4h: -0.118% · r1d: 0.37% · r3d: 0.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0347% · dist_ema21: 0.315% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4913 | rs_1h: 0.138% · rs_4h: -0.014% · rs_1d: -0.45% · rs_3d: -1.03% · beta_24h: 1.413 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4551 | rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: 0.820 · trend: 37.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5798 | ADX: 13.3 (weak) · Chop: 42.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.425% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.669%
(0.5079)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.162% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.162% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.262% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.365% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.941% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.838% | 2.8R | -0.941% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.68
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | — | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.27 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.80 | range_medium | -0.28% | -0.11 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
33%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | +0.47% | -0.01 | 17/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
30%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.72 | bull_low | +0.83% | -0.01 | 17/08 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.455×ATR | p0 | +0.245×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.296×ATR | p11 | +0.126×ATR | p6 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.752×ATR | p0 | +0.645×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.983×ATR | p55 | +1.783×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7886
- reason: up_bo width=1.64×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 75.3751323
- tp_price: 77.15266925
- atr:
- score: 0.78863432252937
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T03:12:22.617610
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78863432252937
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1019
- obi_top10 : -0.1019
- micro_price : 75.94505071
- spread_pct : 0.001317
- mid_price : 75.9455
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0459
- obi_top5_std : 0.1459
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7006
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
75.676
- balance_zone_bottom:
75.1395
- balance_zone_mid:
75.40775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786849200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786978800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.6448
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7886
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786975200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
75.676
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7027
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6346
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.32617702 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.7027
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6346
Signaux confirmants (41)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | 75.88300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:18 | 75.82900000 | -0.071% |
| 3 | 11:24 | 75.82900000 | -0.071% |
| 4 | 11:30 | 75.82900000 | -0.071% |
| 5 | 11:36 | 75.83900000 | -0.058% |
| 6 | 11:42 | 75.83900000 | -0.058% |
| 7 | 11:48 | 76.00700000 | +0.163% |
| 8 | 11:54 | 76.00700000 | +0.163% |
| 9 | 12:00 | 76.00700000 | +0.163% |
| 10 | 12:06 | 76.00700000 | +0.163% |
| 11 | 12:12 | 76.00700000 | +0.163% |
| 12 | 12:18 | 75.96900000 | +0.113% |
| 13 | 12:24 | 75.96900000 | +0.113% |
| 14 | 12:30 | 75.96900000 | +0.113% |
| 15 | 12:36 | 76.01900000 | +0.179% |
| 16 | 12:42 | 76.01900000 | +0.179% |
| 17 | 12:48 | 75.97600000 | +0.123% |
| 18 | 12:54 | 75.97600000 | +0.123% |
| 19 | 13:00 | 75.97600000 | +0.123% |
| 20 | 13:07 | 75.87800000 | -0.007% |
| 21 | 13:12 | 75.87800000 | -0.007% |
| 22 | 13:19 | 75.77300000 | -0.145% |
| 23 | 13:24 | 75.77300000 | -0.145% |
| 24 | 13:30 | 75.77300000 | -0.145% |
| 25 | 13:36 | 75.79900000 | -0.111% |
| 26 | 13:42 | 75.79900000 | -0.111% |
| 27 | 13:48 | 75.84100000 | -0.055% |
| 28 | 13:54 | 75.84100000 | -0.055% |
| 29 | 14:00 | 75.84100000 | -0.055% |
| 30 | 14:06 | 75.85800000 | -0.033% |
| 31 | 14:12 | 75.85800000 | -0.033% |
| 32 | 14:18 | 75.87300000 | -0.013% |
| 33 | 14:24 | 75.87300000 | -0.013% |
| 34 | 14:30 | 75.87300000 | -0.013% |
| 35 | 14:36 | 75.93800000 | +0.072% |
| 36 | 14:42 | 75.93800000 | +0.072% |
| 37 | 14:48 | 75.93800000 | +0.072% |
| 38 | 14:54 | 75.93800000 | +0.072% |
| 39 | 15:00 | 75.93800000 | +0.072% |
| 40 | 15:06 | 75.81900000 | -0.084% |
| 41 | 17:12 | 75.99500000 | +0.148% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7006ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.102
avg 0.046
± 0.146
OBI Top 10
-0.102
Microstructure
Mid Price
75.9455
Micro Price
75.9451
Spread
0.0013%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.883 | 75.3751 | 77.1527 | 2.5 | 105.78 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 75.883
- Stop Loss: 75.3751
- Take Profit: 77.1527
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 75.3751 - 75.883 = -0.50789999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 75.883 - 77.1527 = -1.2697
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2697 / -0.50789999999999 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1195.3192 | 100 | 15.7521 | 12.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.50789999999999
Taille de position = 8 / -0.50789999999999 = -15.75
Taille de position USD = -15.75 x 75.883 = -1195.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -15.75 avec un stoploss a 75.3751
Avec un position size USD de -1195.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -15.75 x -0.50789999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -15.75 x -1.2697 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -15.75
- Taille de position USD -1195.16
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.67 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6695 % | 100.03 % | 34 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.883 | 75.3751 | 77.1527 | 2.5 | 105.78 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 75.883
- Stop Loss: 75.3751
- Take Profit: 77.1527
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 75.3751 - 75.883 = -0.50789999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 75.883 - 77.1527 = -1.2697
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2697 / -0.50789999999999 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.669%
(0.5079)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.162% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.162% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.262% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.365% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.405% | 0.6R | -0.941% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.838% | 2.8R | -0.941% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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