Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 143.55 MORPHO at 2.119$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1716 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0629 (2.63 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 12:10:04
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 12:10
→ 18:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.1186$
Qty 143.547 MORPHO
Size 304.1186$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.1716 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.61$
SL 2.0629 (-2.63%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.95
Status
loss
PnL
-0.04%
/ -0.13$
MAE -1.00%
MFE +1.13%
0.4R
expires
17 Aug 18:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72421)
#1 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 12:00
score du 17/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7895
Quality Score
0.823
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 12:02
17/08 12:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 11:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1595
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 12:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8233
Score SMA
0.5558
Rank
#1
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7895
Rank Norm SMA
0.5593
Calculé le
17/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7478 | r1h: 0.590% · r4h: 1.635% · r1d: 5.38% · r3d: 10.04% · ema21_slope: 0.2457% · dist_ema21: 2.700% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6495 | rs_1h: 0.299% · rs_4h: 0.916% · rs_1d: 3.89% · rs_3d: 8.32% · beta_24h: 1.262 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.89× · zscore_50: 4.591 · trend: 188.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9105 | ADX: 49.3 (trend) · Chop: 14.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.092% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.629%
(0.0557)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.609% | 0.2R | -0.359% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.128% | 0.4R | -0.359% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.128% | 0.4R | -1.001% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.128% | 0.4R | -1.001% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.128% | 0.4R | -1.001% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.016% | 1.2R | -1.138% | 0.4R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.18% | +0.66 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.27 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.17% | +0.33 | 17/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | — | bull_low_confirmed | +1.05% | +0.10 | 17/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 7.097×ATR | p100 | +4.197×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.82×ATR | p26 | +2.142×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.965×ATR | p18 | +2.339×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.06286911
- tp_price: 2.171565
- atr: 0.02229236
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T22:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 49
- score: 0.7478
- delta_2h: 0.1158
- extension_atr: 2.35
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7895
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:10 | 2.11860000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:10 | 2.12270000 | +0.194% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1186 | 2.0629 | 2.1716 | 0.95 | 2.477 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1186
- Stop Loss: 2.0629
- Take Profit: 2.1716
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0629 - 2.1186 = -0.0557
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1186 - 2.1716 = -0.053
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.053 / -0.0557 = 0.9515
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 304.1186 | 100 | 143.547 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0557
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0557 = -143.63
Taille de position USD = -143.63 x 2.1186 = -304.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -143.63 avec un stoploss a 2.0629
Avec un position size USD de -304.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -143.63 x -0.0557 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -143.63 x -0.053 = 7.61
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.61$
Résumé
- Taille de position -143.63
- Taille de position USD -304.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.61
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9515
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.61 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.63 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.13 $ | -0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0007 % | 38.06 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1186 | 2.0629 | 2.1716 | 0.95 | 2.477 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1186
- Stop Loss: 2.0629
- Take Profit: 2.1716
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0629 - 2.1186 = -0.0557
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1186 - 2.1716 = -0.053
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.053 / -0.0557 = 0.9515
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.629%
(0.0557)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.609% | 0.2R | -0.359% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.128% | 0.4R | -0.359% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.128% | 0.4R | -1.001% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.128% | 0.4R | -1.001% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.128% | 0.4R | -1.001% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.016% | 1.2R | -1.138% | 0.4R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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