17 Aug 2026 at 12:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 20.47 VVV at 12.542$ per unit. Take profit: 12.8556 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.1513 (3.12 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 12:10 → 13:05 · 54 minutes

Position

Entry 12.542$

Qty 20.4748 VVV

Size 256.7954$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 12.8556 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.42$

SL 12.1513 (-3.12%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.8

Status win PnL +2.50% / +6.42$ MAE -0.14% MFE +6.30% 2.0R expires 17 Aug 18:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 72423)
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7068

Quality Score
0.784
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.12 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.12 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.02×ATR
4h clear 1.11×ATR
1d clear 2.01×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1)

17/08 12:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

17/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

17/08 11:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1595
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical bull expansion — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.92
Snapshot évalué : 17/08 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 17/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7844
Score SMA
0.5364
Rank
#2 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7068
Rank Norm SMA
0.5694
Calculé le
17/08/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6727 r1h: 3.123% · r4h: 1.972% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 3.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1625% · dist_ema21: 3.109%
Force Relative 25% 0.7018 rs_1h: 2.832% · rs_4h: 1.253% · rs_1d: 3.32% · rs_3d: 1.94% · beta_24h: 2.312
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.08× · zscore_50: 3.843 · trend: 105.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7143 ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 38.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.174% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.115% (0.3907)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.615% 0.8R -0.136% 0.0R 19.3× 12
2h +2.615% 0.8R -0.136% 0.0R 19.3× 24
4h +2.615% 0.8R -0.136% 0.0R 19.3× 48
6h ★ +6.299% 2.0R -0.136% 0.0R 46.5× 72
8h +6.841% 2.2R -0.136% 0.0R 50.5× 96
12h +6.841% 2.2R -0.136% 0.0R 50.5× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.81
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_high
35%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.43 bear_high -4.08% -0.55 16/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.44 range_medium +0.18% +0.24 17/08 08:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 49% late — — 0.34 bull_low_confirmed +1.17% +0.38 17/08 11:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition weak grind compression range_medium
36%
noisy_chop 47% late near -0.6ATR — — bull_low_confirmed +1.12% -0.28 17/08 11:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 22b — 3.35×ATR p43 +0.363×ATR p17
4h ↑ up early 4b — 1.938×ATR p0 +0.721×ATR p47
1h ↓ down late 4b — 0×ATR p0 +2.454×ATR p94
15m ↓ down late 18b — 5.282×ATR p87 -1.473×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 12.15127644
  2. tp_price: 12.85555
  3. atr: 0.15628942
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-17T22:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.6727
  4. delta_2h: 0.1328
  5. extension_atr: 2.26
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7068
  9. confidence: 0.946

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.542 12.1513 12.8556 0.8 24.529
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.542
  • Stop Loss: 12.1513
  • Take Profit: 12.8556

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.1513 - 12.542 = -0.3907

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.542 - 12.8556 = -0.3136

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3136 / -0.3907 = 0.8027

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
256.7954 100 20.4748 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.3907

Taille de position = 8 / -0.3907 = -20.48

Taille de position USD = -20.48 x 12.542 = -256.86

Donc, tu peux acheter -20.48 avec un stoploss a 12.1513

Avec un position size USD de -256.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -20.48 x -0.3907 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -20.48 x -0.3136 = 6.42

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.42$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -20.48
  • Taille de position USD -256.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.42
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8027

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.42 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
6.42 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1355 % 4.35 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.542 12.1513 12.8556 0.8 24.529
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.542
  • Stop Loss: 12.1513
  • Take Profit: 12.8556

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.1513 - 12.542 = -0.3907

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.542 - 12.8556 = -0.3136

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3136 / -0.3907 = 0.8027

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.3234
            [stop_loss] => 12.1513
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 21:45:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.115% (0.3907)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.615% 0.8R -0.136% 0.0R 19.3× 12
2h +2.615% 0.8R -0.136% 0.0R 19.3× 24
4h +2.615% 0.8R -0.136% 0.0R 19.3× 48
6h ★ +6.299% 2.0R -0.136% 0.0R 46.5× 72
8h +6.841% 2.2R -0.136% 0.0R 50.5× 96
12h +6.841% 2.2R -0.136% 0.0R 50.5× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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