Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.45 XMR at 416.71$ per unit. Take profit: 430.4799 (3.3 %) & Stop Loss: 411.202 (1.32 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 13:12:04
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 13:12
→ 15:45
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 416.71$
Qty 1.4524 XMR
Size 605.2471$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 430.4799 (+3.3%)
TP $ 20$
SL 411.202 (-1.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.32%
/ -8$
MAE -1.64%
MFE +0.16%
0.1R
expires
18 Aug 01:11
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72482)
#22 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 13:00
score du 17/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5549
Quality Score
0.527
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 13:03
17/08 13:03
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#22 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.05×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 13:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1596
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | mature | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 13:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5269
Score SMA
0.5401
Rank
#22
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5549
Rank Norm SMA
0.5091
Calculé le
17/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5822 | r1h: 0.700% · r4h: 0.258% · r1d: 0.87% · r3d: 4.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0492% · dist_ema21: 0.198% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5427 | rs_1h: 0.884% · rs_4h: -0.570% · rs_1d: -0.42% · rs_3d: 2.76% · beta_24h: 0.311 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2077 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.770 · trend: -5.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5002 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.322%
(5.5080)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.056% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.157% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.639% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.639% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.639% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.294% | 1.0R | -1.831% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.96 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.51% | +0.12 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.12 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.13% | -0.01 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.08 | bull_low | +0.97% | -0.10 | 17/08 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.701×ATR | p14 | +1.976×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 22b | — | 3.468×ATR | p45 | +0.699×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.821×ATR | p19 | +0.252×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.517×ATR | p36 | +0.534×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9075
- reason: up_bo width=2.55×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 411.20203475
- tp_price: 430.47991314
- atr:
- score: 0.83745580199384
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T05:11:56.428031
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83745580199384
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1876
- obi_top10 : 0.1599
- micro_price : 416.615
- spread_pct : 0.055222
- mid_price : 416.615
- bid_wall_price : 415
- bid_wall_size : 730.164
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 422
- ask_wall_size : 510.74
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.183
- obi_top5_std : 0.0042
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7096
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
415.535
- balance_zone_bottom:
407.5
- balance_zone_mid:
411.5175
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786827600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786986000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.547
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8375
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786982400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
415.535
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7111
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3725
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.15465255 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.7111
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3725
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:12 | 416.71000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:18 | 416.71000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:23 | 417.01000000 | +0.072% |
| 4 | 13:29 | 417.01000000 | +0.072% |
| 5 | 13:35 | 417.01000000 | +0.072% |
| 6 | 13:41 | 416.88000000 | +0.041% |
| 7 | 13:47 | 416.88000000 | +0.041% |
| 8 | 13:53 | 417.09000000 | +0.091% |
| 9 | 13:58 | 417.09000000 | +0.091% |
| 10 | 14:05 | 417.09000000 | +0.091% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7096ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
91%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.188
avg 0.183
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.160
Microstructure
Mid Price
416.6150
Micro Price
416.6150
Spread
0.0552%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
415.0000
Size
730.16
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
422.0000
Size
510.74
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416.71 | 411.202 | 430.4799 | 2.5 | 552.26 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 416.71
- Stop Loss: 411.202
- Take Profit: 430.4799
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.202 - 416.71 = -5.508
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 416.71 - 430.4799 = -13.7699
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.7699 / -5.508 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 605.2471 | 100 | 1.4524 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -5.508
Taille de position = 8 / -5.508 = -1.45
Taille de position USD = -1.45 x 416.71 = -604.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.45 avec un stoploss a 411.202
Avec un position size USD de -604.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.45 x -5.508 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.45 x -13.7699 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.45
- Taille de position USD -604.23
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.3 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4518 % | 109.84 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416.71 | 411.202 | 430.4799 | 2.5 | 552.26 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 416.71
- Stop Loss: 411.202
- Take Profit: 430.4799
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.202 - 416.71 = -5.508
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 416.71 - 430.4799 = -13.7699
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.7699 / -5.508 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 430.4799
[entry_price] => 416.71
[stop_loss] => 410.6512
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 19:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 430.4799
[entry_price] => 416.71
[stop_loss] => 410.1004
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 19:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.322%
(5.5080)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.056% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.157% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.639% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.639% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.161% | 0.1R | -1.639% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.294% | 1.0R | -1.831% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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