Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 346320.35 PUMP at 0.00283$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002877 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002808 (0.81 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 346320.35 PUMP at 0.00283$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002877 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002808 (0.81 %)
Position
Entry 0.002831$
Qty 346320.3463 PUMP
Size 980.4329$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002877 (+1.62%)
TP $ 15.93$
SL 0.002808 (-0.81%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7974
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.68×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.01×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.271428 15m : 0.312555 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | mature | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5105 | r1h: -1.379% · r4h: -1.953% · r1d: 4.26% · r3d: 1.71% · ema21_slope: 0.2707% · dist_ema21: -0.155% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4067 | rs_1h: -1.557% · rs_4h: -2.830% · rs_1d: 2.58% · rs_3d: -0.21% · beta_24h: 3.344 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3571 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.336 · trend: 15.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6565 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 49.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -0.530% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.307% | 1.6R | -2.331% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -3.744% | 4.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -3.744% | 4.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.58 | bear_high | -4.08% | +1.00 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | fading | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -1.0ATR | 0.31 | range_medium | +0.42% | -0.18 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.22 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.34% | +0.39 | 17/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.30 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.18% | -0.20 | 17/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 34b | — | 7.19×ATR | p89 | +1.735×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.015×ATR | p0 | +0.508×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.141×ATR | p38 | -0.069×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 4.204×ATR | p69 | -1.253×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63810.8
0.00730503
64277
0.271428
63524.5
0.0118454
64277
0.312555
63284.3
0.0160813
64302
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0.00298
198
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0.8837
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0.6452
0.964
0.6403
0.5936
0.0812
0.0594
0.6667
-0.1142
0.574
0.5
0.5
1
10
1
0.4885
0.3619
7.2338
0.55
0.8837
2.8514
0.574
0.7764
0.239
0.94
0.6233
0.6525
0.5487
0.843
0.5936
-2.2895
3.3436
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:04 | 0.00283100 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:21 | 0.00283000 | -0.035% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 0.002947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 0.002876 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:45:00 | 0.002936 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:25:00 | 0.00288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 14:55:00 | 0.002928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:25:00 | 0.002903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:05:00 | 0.00298 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:15:00 | 0.002854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:35:00 | 0.00287 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.002829 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 0.00266 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 0.00283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.002866 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:15:00 | 0.002828 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 0.002947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 0.002876 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:45:00 | 0.002936 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.00298 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.002829 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 0.002749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 0.002865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.002714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.002812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.002693 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.00266 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 0.002828 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.00298 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 0.002854 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002831 | 0.002808 | 0.002877 | 2 | 0.004413 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002808 - 0.002831 = -2.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002831 - 0.002877 = -4.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.6E-5 / -2.3E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 980.4329 | 100 | 346320.3463 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.3E-5 = -347826.09
Taille de position USD = -347826.09 x 0.002831 = -984.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -347826.09 avec un stoploss a 0.002808
Avec un position size USD de -984.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -347826.09 x -2.3E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -347826.09 x -4.6E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7662 % | 217.41 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002831 | 0.002808 | 0.002877 | 2 | 0.004413 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002808 - 0.002831 = -2.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002831 - 0.002877 = -4.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.6E-5 / -2.3E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -0.530% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.307% | 1.6R | -2.331% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -3.744% | 4.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.307% | 1.6R | -3.744% | 4.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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