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Short Trade on KAITO

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17 Aug 2026 at 14:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 310.48 KAITO at 0.347$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3729 (7.43 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 14:10 → 17:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3471$

Qty 310.4805 KAITO

Size 107.7833$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 107.77$

SL 0.3729 (-7.43%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +3.83% / +4.13$ MAE -0.00% MFE +4.38% 0.6R expires 17 Aug 17:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 72522)
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2087

Quality Score
0.364
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 14:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.40×ATR
4h clear 0.57×ATR
1d near -0.19×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (-1)

17/08 14:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

17/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

17/08 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1597
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical bull mature — -1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.92
Snapshot évalué : 17/08 14:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 17/08/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3638
Score SMA
0.4160
Rank
#49 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2087
Rank Norm SMA
0.0899
Calculé le
17/08/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2164 r1h: -2.038% · r4h: -1.655% · r1d: -0.31% · r3d: -13.35% · ema21_slope: 0.0292% · dist_ema21: -0.899%
Force Relative 25% 0.2051 rs_1h: -2.216% · rs_4h: -2.532% · rs_1d: -1.99% · rs_3d: -15.26% · beta_24h: 2.256
Volume 20% 0.2137 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.181 · trend: -31.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6990 ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 35.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.720% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.433% (0.0258)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.043% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.186% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +4.382% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +5.269% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +8.004% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +8.004% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
choppy 58% late near -0.2ATR — 0.36 bear_high -4.08% -1.00 16/08 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — -0.05 range_medium +0.42% -0.93 17/08 12:00
1h ↓ down range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.03 bull_low_confirmed +1.34% -0.17 17/08 13:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal range_high
31%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.04 bull_low_confirmed +1.18% -0.10 17/08 13:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 19b — 10.381×ATR p94 -4.052×ATR p100
4h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.034×ATR p0 -1.517×ATR p63
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 3.354×ATR p73 -0.336×ATR p12
15m ↓ down late 10b — 5.902×ATR p82 -1.235×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.37291651
  2. atr: 0.00858884
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-17T21:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 50
  2. total: 50
  3. score: 0.2164
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3471 0.3729 0.295
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3471
  • Stop Loss: 0.3729
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3729 - 0.3471 = 0.0258

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3471 - = 0.3471

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3471 / 0.0258 = 13.4535

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
107.7833 100 310.4805 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0258

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0258 = 310.08

Taille de position USD = 310.08 x 0.3471 = 107.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 310.08 avec un stoploss a 0.3729

Avec un position size USD de 107.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 310.08 x 0.0258 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 310.08 x 0.3471 = 107.63

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 107.63$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 310.08
  • Taille de position USD 107.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 107.63
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 13.4535

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 107.77 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.43 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
4.13 $ 3.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3471 0.3729 0.295
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3471
  • Stop Loss: 0.3729
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3729 - 0.3471 = 0.0258

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3471 - = 0.3471

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3471 / 0.0258 = 13.4535

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.433% (0.0258)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.043% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.186% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +4.382% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +5.269% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +8.004% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +8.004% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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