Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 19.22 VVV at 12.725$ per unit. Take profit: 13.0431 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.3088 (3.27 %)
Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 19.22 VVV at 12.725$ per unit. Take profit: 13.0431 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.3088 (3.27 %)
Position
Entry 12.725$
Qty 19.2236 VVV
Size 244.6209$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 13.0431 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.12$
SL 12.3088 (-3.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.76
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7565
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.01×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 13:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | mature | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7234 | r1h: -0.031% · r4h: 4.818% · r1d: 6.98% · r3d: 6.76% · ema21_slope: 0.2013% · dist_ema21: 3.942% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6800 | rs_1h: -0.209% · rs_4h: 3.941% · rs_1d: 5.30% · rs_3d: 4.84% · beta_24h: 2.500 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9912 | rvol_20: 3.83× · zscore_50: 2.868 · trend: 303.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7549 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.382% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.786% | 0.2R | -1.517% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.786% | 0.2R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.770% | 1.5R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.305% | 1.6R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.305% | 1.6R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.436% | 2.0R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.55 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.42% | +0.55 | 17/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.35 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.34% | +0.55 | 17/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.20 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.18% | +0.38 | 17/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 22b | — | 3.35×ATR | p43 | +0.363×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.075×ATR | p72 | +2.804×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 3.877×ATR | p70 | +2.543×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.144×ATR | p0 | +1.505×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:10 | 12.72500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:10 | 12.61600000 | -0.857% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.725 | 12.3088 | 13.0431 | 0.76 | 23.02 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3088 - 12.725 = -0.4162
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.725 - 13.0431 = -0.3181
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3181 / -0.4162 = 0.7643
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 244.6209 | 100 | 19.2236 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4162 = -19.22
Taille de position USD = -19.22 x 12.725 = -244.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -19.22 avec un stoploss a 12.3088
Avec un position size USD de -244.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -19.22 x -0.4162 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -19.22 x -0.3181 = 6.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.11$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.12 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.556 % | 47.57 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.725 | 12.3088 | 13.0431 | 0.76 | 23.02 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3088 - 12.725 = -0.4162
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.725 - 13.0431 = -0.3181
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3181 / -0.4162 = 0.7643
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.786% | 0.2R | -1.517% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.786% | 0.2R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.770% | 1.5R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.305% | 1.6R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.305% | 1.6R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.436% | 2.0R | -1.556% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.