Long Trade on ETHFI

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17 Aug 2026 at 15:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 397.95 ETHFI at 0.498$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5103 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4778 (4.04 %)

ETHFI LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 15:10 → 21:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4979$

Qty 397.9541 ETHFI

Size 198.1374$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5103 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.93$

SL 0.4778 (-4.04%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.62

Status win PnL +0.02% / +0.032$ MAE -1.23% MFE +1.66% 0.4R expires 17 Aug 21:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 72562)

#6 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7987

Quality Score

0.611

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 15:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#6 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#6 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.44×ATR
4h	clear	1.20×ATR
1d	clear	0.60×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 17/08 15:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1)

17/08 15:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

17/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

17/08 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1598

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	bull	mature	—	+1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.92

Snapshot évalué : 17/08 15:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 17/08/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.6108

Score SMA

0.6312

Rank

#6 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7987

Rank Norm SMA

0.8720

Calculé le

17/08/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6761	r1h: 2.409% · r4h: 1.014% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: 15.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0213% · dist_ema21: 0.780%
Force Relative	25%	0.6670	rs_1h: 2.209% · rs_4h: 0.142% · rs_1d: -3.30% · rs_3d: 13.58% · beta_24h: 0.969
Volume	20%	0.2511	rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.429 · trend: -10.70%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6065	ADX: 24.7 (weak) · Chop: 50.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.675% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.037% (0.0201)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.056%	0.0R	29.6×	12
2h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.056%	0.0R	29.6×	24
4h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.446%	0.1R	3.7×	48
6h ★	+1.661%	0.4R	-1.225%	0.3R	1.4×	72
8h	+1.661%	0.4R	-1.243%	0.3R	1.3×	96
12h	+1.661%	0.4R	-2.876%	0.7R	0.6×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.7

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	—	0.59	bear_high	-3.14%	+0.93	16/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	70%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.33	bull_medium_confirmed	+0.80%	+0.83	17/08 12:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 33%	early	—	near -0.4ATR	0.23	bull_low_confirmed	+1.67%	-0.19	17/08 14:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 38%	late	—	near 0.2ATR	—	bull_low	+1.35%	-0.19	17/08 14:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	11b	—	4.605×ATR	p61	+2.196×ATR	p97
4h	↓ down	mid	6b	—	1.906×ATR	p0	+1.246×ATR	p67
1h	↑ up	early	1b	—	2.173×ATR	p38	+0.47×ATR	p25
15m	↑ up	late	4b	—	3.506×ATR	p81	+0.591×ATR	p45

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.47778718
tp_price: 0.51033725
atr: 0.00804113
expires_at: 2026-08-18T01:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 50
score: 0.6761
delta_2h: 0.0481
extension_atr: -0.33
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7987
confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4979	0.4778	0.5103	0.62	0.688

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4979
Stop Loss: 0.4778
Take Profit: 0.5103

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4778 - 0.4979 = -0.0201
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4979 - 0.5103 = -0.0124
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0124 / -0.0201 = 0.6169

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
198.1374	100	397.9541	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0201

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0201 = -398.01

Taille de position USD = -398.01 x 0.4979 = -198.17

Donc, tu peux acheter -398.01 avec un stoploss a 0.4778

Avec un position size USD de -198.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -398.01 x -0.0201 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -398.01 x -0.0124 = 4.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.94$

Résumé

Taille de position -398.01
Taille de position USD -198.17
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.94
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6169

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	4.93 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.04 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
0.032 $	0.02

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.2251 %	30.35 %	13

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4979	0.4778	0.5103	0.62	0.688

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4979
Stop Loss: 0.4778
Take Profit: 0.5103

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4778 - 0.4979 = -0.0201
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4979 - 0.5103 = -0.0124
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0124 / -0.0201 = 0.6169

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.037% (0.0201)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.056%	0.0R	29.6×	12
2h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.056%	0.0R	29.6×	24
4h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.446%	0.1R	3.7×	48
6h ★	+1.661%	0.4R	-1.225%	0.3R	1.4×	72
8h	+1.661%	0.4R	-1.243%	0.3R	1.3×	96
12h	+1.661%	0.4R	-2.876%	0.7R	0.6×	144

computed 1 month ago

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