Long Trade on MORPHO

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17 Aug 2026 at 20:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 127.58 MORPHO at 2.126$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0629 (2.95 %)

MORPHO LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 20:10 → 23:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.1256$

Qty 127.5805 MORPHO

Size 271.1851$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 271.19$

SL 2.0629 (-2.95%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -0.68% / -1.85$ MAE -1.46% MFE +2.68% 0.9R expires 17 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 72813)

#5 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9609

Quality Score

0.637

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#5 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#5 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	1.97×ATR
1d	near	-0.35×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 20:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

17/08 20:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

17/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

17/08 19:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1603

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	+1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.83

Transition risk : 0.17

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.90

Snapshot évalué : 17/08 20:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6374

Score SMA

0.5258

Rank

#5 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9609

Rank Norm SMA

0.4901

Calculé le

17/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6986	r1h: 0.517% · r4h: 0.712% · r1d: 6.39% · r3d: 8.80% · ema21_slope: 0.2072% · dist_ema21: 1.538%
Force Relative	25%	0.6218	rs_1h: 0.216% · rs_4h: 0.452% · rs_1d: 3.90% · rs_3d: 6.55% · beta_24h: 1.113
Volume	20%	0.1786	rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.609 · trend: -35.65%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9108	ADX: 55.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.009% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.950% (0.0627)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.677%	0.9R	-0.518%	0.2R	5.2×	12
2h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	24
3h ★	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	36
4h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	48
8h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	96
12h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 2.56

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	late	—	near -0.4ATR	0.58	bear_high	-3.14%	+0.40	16/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	55%	choppy 50%	late	—	—	0.27	range_medium	+0.75%	+0.64	17/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	near 0.5ATR	—	0.27	bull_low	+1.54%	+0.28	17/08 19:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bull_medium	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	0.15	bull_low	+0.99%	-0.02	17/08 19:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	9b	—	3.103×ATR	p11	+2.034×ATR	p92
4h	↑ up	late	20b	—	6.11×ATR	p100	+2.704×ATR	p98
1h	↓ down	mid	8b	—	2.07×ATR	p29	+1.294×ATR	p70
15m	↑ up	early	4b	—	1.434×ATR	p3	+0.248×ATR	p14

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.06289448
atr: 0.02090184
expires_at: 2026-08-18T03:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 50
score: 0.6986
confidence: 0.939

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.1256	2.0629			2.3885

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.1256
Stop Loss: 2.0629
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.0629 - 2.1256 = -0.0627
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.1256 - = 2.1256
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1256 / -0.0627 = -33.9011

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
271.1851	100	127.5805	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0627

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0627 = -127.59

Taille de position USD = -127.59 x 2.1256 = -271.21

Donc, tu peux acheter -127.59 avec un stoploss a 2.0629

Avec un position size USD de -271.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -127.59 x -0.0627 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -127.59 x 2.1256 = -271.21

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -271.21$

Résumé

Taille de position -127.59
Taille de position USD -271.21
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -271.21
Risk-Reward Ratio -33.9011

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	271.19 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.95 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.85 $	-0.68

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.4631 %	49.6 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.1256	2.0629			2.3885

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.1256
Stop Loss: 2.0629
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.0629 - 2.1256 = -0.0627
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.1256 - = 2.1256
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1256 / -0.0627 = -33.9011

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.1256
            [stop_loss] => 2.05663
            [rr_ratio] => 30.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 00:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.1256
            [stop_loss] => 2.05036
            [rr_ratio] => 28.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 00:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.1256
            [stop_loss] => 2.04409
            [rr_ratio] => 26.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 00:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.1256
            [stop_loss] => 2.03155
            [rr_ratio] => 22.6
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-18 00:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.950% (0.0627)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.677%	0.9R	-0.518%	0.2R	5.2×	12
2h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	24
3h ★	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	36
4h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	48
8h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	96
12h	+2.677%	0.9R	-1.463%	0.5R	1.8×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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