Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 11 XMR at 414.59$ per unit. Take profit: 416.044 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 413.863 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 11 XMR at 414.59$ per unit. Take profit: 416.044 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 413.863 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 414.59$
Qty 11.0039 XMR
Size 4562.1051$ (margin 100$) (leverage 46)
Risk Setup
TP 416.044 (+0.35%)
TP $ 16$
SL 413.863 (-0.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5911
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.065252 15m : 0.164555 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5792 | r1h: -0.019% · r4h: 1.460% · r1d: 1.44% · r3d: 3.96% · ema21_slope: -0.0099% · dist_ema21: 0.350% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5128 | rs_1h: -0.320% · rs_4h: 1.200% · rs_1d: -1.06% · rs_3d: 1.72% · beta_24h: 0.325 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1690 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.929 · trend: -26.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5036 | ADX: 13.0 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6823 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.497% · r1d: 1.47% · r3d: 4.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1774% · dist_ema21: 1.546% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5756 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.666% · rs_1d: -0.08% · rs_3d: 1.86% · beta_24h: -0.434 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2591 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.421 · trend: -19.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5273 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 66.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.609% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.227% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.227% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.400% | 2.3R | -0.227% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.811% | 10.3R | -0.227% | 1.3R | 8.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.811% | 10.3R | -1.028% | 5.9R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.95 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.23 | 17/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.11 | bull_low | +1.54% | -0.16 | 17/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.05 | bull_low | +1.02% | +0.06 | 17/08 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.524×ATR | p5 | +1.829×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 23b | — | 3.566×ATR | p48 | +0.932×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.089×ATR | p34 | +0.434×ATR | p27 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 6.089×ATR | p97 | +1.047×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64298.3
0.00158102
64400
0.065252
63819.7
0.00909191
64400
0.164555
63420.9
0.0154378
64400
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0.6883
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0.9474
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0.2693
0
-0.1026
0.5225
0.5385
0.4471
0.7846
-2.3846
8.6852
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:17 | 414.59000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:22 | 414.77000000 | +0.043% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 19:50:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:00:00 | 416.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 21:50:00 | 416.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:10:00 | 415.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 416.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:50:00 | 415.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:20:00 | 416.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:30:00 | 415.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:50:00 | 416.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:10:00 | 414.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 08:15:00 | 419.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:30:00 | 417 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 411.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:45:00 | 411.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:15:00 | 417.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:45:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:00:00 | 416.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 416.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 414.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 407.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414.59 | 413.863 | 416.044 | 2 | 590.69 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 413.863 - 414.59 = -0.72699999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 414.59 - 416.044 = -1.454
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.454 / -0.72699999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4562.1051 | 100 | 11.0039 | 46.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.72699999999998 = -11
Taille de position USD = -11 x 414.59 = -4560.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -11 avec un stoploss a 413.863
Avec un position size USD de -4560.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11 x -0.72699999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11 x -1.454 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414.59 | 413.863 | 416.044 | 2 | 590.69 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 413.863 - 414.59 = -0.72699999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 414.59 - 416.044 = -1.454
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.454 / -0.72699999999998 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.227% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.227% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.400% | 2.3R | -0.227% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.811% | 10.3R | -0.227% | 1.3R | 8.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.811% | 10.3R | -1.028% | 5.9R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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