Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 77.54 VVV at 13.129$ per unit. Take profit: 13.3353 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 13.0258 (0.79 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 77.54 VVV at 13.129$ per unit. Take profit: 13.3353 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 13.0258 (0.79 %)
Position
Entry 13.129$
Qty 77.5389 VVV
Size 1018.0086$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 13.3353 (+1.57%)
TP $ 16$
SL 13.0258 (-0.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9896
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.83×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.192124 15m : 0.227711 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6843 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1752% · dist_ema21: 9.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7100 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: 1.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1397 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.905 · trend: -55.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4548 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7871 | r1h: 0.264% · r4h: 2.654% · r1d: 12.41% · r3d: 12.09% · ema21_slope: 0.3956% · dist_ema21: 5.072% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7829 | rs_1h: 0.476% · rs_4h: 2.651% · rs_1d: 10.07% · rs_3d: 9.94% · beta_24h: 1.356 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3647 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: 0.072 · trend: 62.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8651 | ADX: 43.8 (trend) · Chop: 22.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.603% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7674 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.015% · r1d: 10.04% · r3d: 12.68% · ema21_slope: 0.2511% · dist_ema21: 7.938% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7683 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.184% · rs_1d: 8.49% · rs_3d: 10.54% · beta_24h: 3.866 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3407 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.829 · trend: 96.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7418 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 29.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.290% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.975% | 1.2R | -0.510% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.432% | 1.8R | -0.663% | 0.8R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.719% | 3.5R | -1.820% | 2.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.723% | 9.8R | -1.820% | 2.3R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.728% | 16.2R | -1.820% | 2.3R | 7.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.94% | +0.48 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -2.8ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +0.90% | +0.68 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.34 | bull_low | +1.38% | +0.63 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | — | bull_low | +0.77% | +0.41 | 17/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.651×ATR | p9 | +1.597×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 5.294×ATR | p86 | +3.418×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.657×ATR | p67 | +2.433×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.449×ATR | p62 | +1.315×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64301.7
5.03512E-5
64305
0.192124
63845.2
0.00720162
64305
0.227711
63444.3
0.0135498
64304
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12.527
193
0.7786
0.5414
0.3546
0.243
0.4458
0.4163
0.5497
0.7465
0.6926
0.904
0.6488
0.8697
0.3045
0.1761
1
1.9497
3.563
0.5
0.5
1
8
1
0.514
0.3979
4.6844
0.5
0.4163
1.9501
3.563
0.445
0.2398
0.84
0.9682
0.6036
0.5339
0.8404
0.8697
-1.0625
7.094
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:09 | 13.12900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:58 | 13.07600000 | -0.404% |
| 3 | 22:04 | 13.07800000 | -0.388% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 20:30:00 | 13.196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:50:00 | 12.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:45:00 | 13.332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 13.382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:05:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:15:00 | 13.238 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:25:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:05:00 | 13.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:50:00 | 13.326 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:05:00 | 13.129 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 12.143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 12.335 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 12.269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 12.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 12.355 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:15:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 12.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:15:00 | 12.527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 13.129 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 12.133 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:00:00 | 12.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 11.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 12.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.129 | 13.0258 | 13.3353 | 2 | 21.765 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.0258 - 13.129 = -0.1032
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.129 - 13.3353 = -0.2063
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2063 / -0.1032 = 1.999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1018.0086 | 100 | 77.5389 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1032 = -77.52
Taille de position USD = -77.52 x 13.129 = -1017.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -77.52 avec un stoploss a 13.0258
Avec un position size USD de -1017.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -77.52 x -0.1032 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -77.52 x -0.2063 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5843 % | 201.56 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.129 | 13.0258 | 13.3353 | 2 | 21.765 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.0258 - 13.129 = -0.1032
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.129 - 13.3353 = -0.2063
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2063 / -0.1032 = 1.999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.975% | 1.2R | -0.510% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.432% | 1.8R | -0.663% | 0.8R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.719% | 3.5R | -1.820% | 2.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.723% | 9.8R | -1.820% | 2.3R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.728% | 16.2R | -1.820% | 2.3R | 7.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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