Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 33.85 AAVE at 88.598$ per unit. Take profit: 89.0706 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 88.3617 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 33.85 AAVE at 88.598$ per unit. Take profit: 89.0706 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 88.3617 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 88.598$
Qty 33.8535 AAVE
Size 2999.3493$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 89.0706 (+0.53%)
TP $ 16$
SL 88.3617 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8411
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.96×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.353382 15m : 0.540608 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3890 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: 3.45% · ema21_slope: -0.2982% · dist_ema21: -0.676% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5092 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.04% · rs_3d: 1.34% · beta_24h: 1.844 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0913 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.630 · trend: -72.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3105 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 76.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7077 | ATR%: 3.877% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5880 | r1h: -0.042% · r4h: 1.172% · r1d: 3.73% · r3d: 3.17% · ema21_slope: 0.1326% · dist_ema21: 1.595% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5574 | rs_1h: 0.171% · rs_4h: 1.169% · rs_1d: 1.39% · rs_3d: 1.02% · beta_24h: 1.202 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3630 | rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: 0.146 · trend: 31.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7287 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 33.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.681% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5161 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.089% · r1d: 2.78% · r3d: 2.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0162% · dist_ema21: 2.001% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5198 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.080% · rs_1d: 1.23% · rs_3d: 0.57% · beta_24h: 1.460 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1512 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -1.263 · trend: -23.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5902 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.239% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.071% | 0.3R | -0.839% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.071% | 0.3R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.071% | 0.3R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.595% | 2.2R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.121% | 4.2R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -2.94% | -0.67 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.10 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.64 | bull_low | +1.28% | +0.18 | 17/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.51 | range_low | +0.65% | +0.05 | 17/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 3.9×ATR | p55 | -0.231×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 3.622×ATR | p39 | +1.617×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.622×ATR | p45 | +1.849×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.824×ATR | p46 | -0.228×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64324.3
-0.000346928
64302
0.353382
63869.3
0.00677388
64302
0.540608
63444.4
0.0136425
64310
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 22:00:00
[1] => 85.257
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:00:00
[1] => 87.231
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 12:00:00
[1] => 86.062
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 16:00:00
[1] => 87.187
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 13:00:00
[1] => 85.599
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:00:00
[1] => 87.274
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 85.274
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 03:00:00
[1] => 86.984
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 08:00:00
[1] => 85.679
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:00:00
[1] => 89.513
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42228503122451
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0336605235822
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.474842143349
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 06:45:00
[1] => 86.72
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 08:45:00
[1] => 85.679
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 11:45:00
[1] => 86.821
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 12:00:00
[1] => 86.309
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[1] => 88.491
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:45:00
[1] => 87.605
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:00:00
[1] => 88.196
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 87.629
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:45:00
[1] => 89.513
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:30:00
[1] => 88.598
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0221978930435
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0327546897221
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:00:00
[1] => 89.005
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:20:00
[1] => 88.35
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:40:00
[1] => 88.985
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:00:00
[1] => 88.516
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:50:00
[1] => 89.513
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:05:00
[1] => 89.041
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:40:00
[1] => 89.022
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:00:00
[1] => 89.255
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:10:00
[1] => 89.255
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 01:30:00
[1] => 88.598
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.73609321606632
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.74155172802997
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
87.613
191
0.7295
0.7324
0.3725
0.2514
0.4717
0.3122
0.6047
0.7104
0.6373
0.788
0.7345
0.898
0.2451
0.1343
1
2.0098
3.1709
0.45
0.55
1
9
1
0.4972
0.6582
4.781
0.7
0.3122
1.4926
3.1709
0.6636
0.2473
0.78
0.18
0.5359
0.5677
0.9263
0.898
-0.7816
6.8801
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:31 | 88.59800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:37 | 88.59100000 | -0.008% |
| 3 | 21:43 | 88.57600000 | -0.025% |
| 4 | 21:49 | 88.51000000 | -0.099% |
| 5 | 21:55 | 88.20300000 | -0.446% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 22:00:00 | 89.005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:20:00 | 88.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:40:00 | 88.985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 88.516 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:50:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:05:00 | 89.041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:40:00 | 89.022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 89.255 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:10:00 | 89.255 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:30:00 | 88.598 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 86.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 86.821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 86.309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 88.491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:45:00 | 87.605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 88.196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 87.629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:45:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:30:00 | 88.598 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 85.257 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 87.231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 86.062 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 87.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 85.599 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 87.274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 85.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 86.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.598 | 88.3617 | 89.0706 | 2 | 147.01 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88.3617 - 88.598 = -0.2363
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.598 - 89.0706 = -0.4726
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4726 / -0.2363 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2999.3493 | 100 | 33.8535 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2363 = -33.86
Taille de position USD = -33.86 x 88.598 = -2999.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -33.86 avec un stoploss a 88.3617
Avec un position size USD de -2999.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -33.86 x -0.2363 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -33.86 x -0.4726 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4458 % | 167.15 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.598 | 88.3617 | 89.0706 | 2 | 147.01 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88.3617 - 88.598 = -0.2363
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.598 - 89.0706 = -0.4726
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4726 / -0.2363 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89.0706
[entry_price] => 88.598
[stop_loss] => 88.33807
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89.0706
[entry_price] => 88.598
[stop_loss] => 88.31444
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89.0706
[entry_price] => 88.598
[stop_loss] => 88.29081
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89.0706
[entry_price] => 88.598
[stop_loss] => 88.24355
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.071% | 0.3R | -0.839% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.071% | 0.3R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.071% | 0.3R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.595% | 2.2R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.121% | 4.2R | -1.143% | 4.3R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.