Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64190$ per unit. Take profit: 64321.9006 (0.21 %) & Stop Loss: 64124.0497 (0.1 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64190$ per unit. Take profit: 64321.9006 (0.21 %) & Stop Loss: 64124.0497 (0.1 %)
Position
Entry 64190$
Qty 0.1213 BTC
Size 7786.4679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 78)
Risk Setup
TP 64321.9006 (+0.21%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64124.0497 (-0.1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8620
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.92×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4832 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: -0.0468% · dist_ema21: 0.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0651 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.111 · trend: -45.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3399 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 70.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5415 | r1h: -0.212% · r4h: 0.003% · r1d: 2.33% · r3d: 2.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0841% · dist_ema21: 0.611% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3311 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.200 · trend: -7.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8844 | ADX: 46.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.343% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5211 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.169% · r1d: 1.55% · r3d: 2.14% · ema21_slope: 0.0441% · dist_ema21: 1.240% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1958 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -1.073 · trend: 0.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7033 | ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 33.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.569% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.076% | 0.7R | -0.291% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.076% | 0.7R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.081% | 0.8R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.355% | 3.5R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.355% | 3.5R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | — | — | — | — | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 28b | — | 2.136×ATR | p0 | +0.503×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.661×ATR | p72 | +2.302×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.555×ATR | p2 | +1.013×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.376×ATR | p55 | -0.839×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 63252
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52338185196655
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.076332310376521
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.60286947174926
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 13:15:00
[1] => 63407
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 64196
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[0] => 2026-08-17 17:15:00
[1] => 63938
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[1] => 64580
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[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 64226
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[1] => 64400
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[1] => 64236
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[1] => 64543
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[1] => 64190
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.54692220690083
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.54992989562237
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[1] => Array
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[1] => 64290
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 64394
[2] => H
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64580
192
0.7452
0.5954
0.3319
0.2934
0.3633
1
0.3127
0.5793
0.6658
0.7395
0.6681
0.8357
0.1875
0.1404
1
1.0423
2.7618
0.45
0.55
1
7
1
0.4131
0.4509
5.5476
0.55
3.067
7.9758
2.7618
0.0555
0.1955
0.74
0.1432
0.6199
0.4854
0.9264
0.8357
-1.518
7.7205
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:48 | 64190.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:54 | 64116.00000000 | -0.115% |
| 3 | 22:00 | 64165.00000000 | -0.039% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 20:25:00 | 64400 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:50:00 | 64290 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:05:00 | 64394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 21:35:00 | 64244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 22:00:00 | 64382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:55:00 | 64236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:55:00 | 64543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:05:00 | 64376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:10:00 | 64260 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:45:00 | 64190 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 63750 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 63407 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:45:00 | 64196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:15:00 | 63938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:15:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 64226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 20:15:00 | 64400 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 22:45:00 | 64236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:45:00 | 64543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:45:00 | 64190 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 62890 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 63112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 63144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 62977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 64193 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64190 | 64124.0497 | 64321.9006 | 2 | 81740 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64124.0497 - 64190 = -65.950299999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64190 - 64321.9006 = -131.9006
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -131.9006 / -65.950299999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7786.4679 | 100 | 0.1213 | 78.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -65.950299999997 = -0.12
Taille de position USD = -0.12 x 64190 = -7702.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.12 avec un stoploss a 64124.0497
Avec un position size USD de -7702.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.12 x -65.950299999997 = 7.91
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.91$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.12 x -131.9006 = 15.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.83$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1293 % | 125.9 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64190 | 64124.0497 | 64321.9006 | 2 | 81740 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64124.0497 - 64190 = -65.950299999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64190 - 64321.9006 = -131.9006
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -131.9006 / -65.950299999997 = 2
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(
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[entry_price] => 64190
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[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
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[take_profit] => 64321.9006
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:30:00+00
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[take_profit] => 64321.9006
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[stop_loss] => 64091.07455
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 02:30:00+00
[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.076% | 0.7R | -0.291% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.076% | 0.7R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.081% | 0.8R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.355% | 3.5R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.355% | 3.5R | -0.296% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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