17 Aug 2026 at 22:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 665.26 WLD at 0.338$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3299 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3503 (3.55 %)

WLD SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 22:10 → 22:30 · 19 minutes

Position

Entry 0.3383$

Qty 665.2619 WLD

Size 225.0647$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3299 (+2.48%)

TP $ 5.59$

SL 0.3503 (-3.55%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.7

Status win PnL +2.48% / +5.59$ MAE -0.00% MFE +6.16% 1.7R expires 18 Aug 04:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 72989)
#45 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2685

Quality Score
0.422
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 22:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#45 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#45 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.92×ATR
4h near 0.08×ATR
1d clear 1.79×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

17/08 22:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

17/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

17/08 21:00

Score : +2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1605
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical bull expansion — -1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.90
Snapshot évalué : 17/08 22:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3754
Score SMA
—
Rank
#33 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5266 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 1.478%
Force Relative 25% 0.4601 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.92% · beta_24h: 0.498
Volume 20% 0.1073 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.391 · trend: -65.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5398 ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 17/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4223
Score SMA
0.5391
Rank
#45 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2685
Rank Norm SMA
0.5934
Calculé le
17/08/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3285 r1h: -1.283% · r4h: -3.108% · r1d: -6.98% · r3d: -0.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1769% · dist_ema21: -3.625%
Force Relative 25% 0.2592 rs_1h: -1.126% · rs_4h: -2.954% · rs_1d: -8.82% · rs_3d: -2.64% · beta_24h: 2.113
Volume 20% 0.2866 rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.295 · trend: -10.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6777 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 42.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.491% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4940
Score SMA
—
Rank
#18 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5562 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.474% · r1d: -6.19% · r3d: 1.07% · ema21_slope: 0.1919% · dist_ema21: -1.916%
Force Relative 25% 0.4207 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.643% · rs_1d: -7.74% · rs_3d: -1.07% · beta_24h: 1.446
Volume 20% 0.1487 rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -1.124 · trend: -32.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6150 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.704% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.547% (0.0120)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.695% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.695% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.48 bear_high -2.94% +0.73 17/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 36% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.43 range_medium +0.75% -0.33 17/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.9ATR — 0.37 bull_low +1.17% -0.65 17/08 21:00
15m ↓ down range bearish_transition moderate explosive expansion bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 46% late near -0.2ATR — — range_low +0.55% -0.39 17/08 21:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 2.242×ATR p0 +0.247×ATR p9
4h ↓ down mid 8b — 3.218×ATR p50 -0.931×ATR p58
1h ↓ down late 9b — 4.415×ATR p88 -2.582×ATR p97
15m ↓ down late 2b — 2.021×ATR p24 -2.039×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.35033534
  2. tp_price: 0.32985225
  3. atr: 0.00481014
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-18T08:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 48
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.3285
  4. delta_2h: -0.0653
  5. extension_atr: -2.4
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2685
  9. confidence: 0.979

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3383 0.3503 0.3299 0.7 0.4906
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3383
  • Stop Loss: 0.3503
  • Take Profit: 0.3299

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3503 - 0.3383 = 0.012

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3383 - 0.3299 = 0.0084

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0084 / 0.012 = 0.7

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
225.0647 100 665.2619 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.012

Taille de position = 8 / 0.012 = 666.67

Taille de position USD = 666.67 x 0.3383 = 225.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.3503

Avec un position size USD de 225.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 666.67 x 0.012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 666.67 x 0.0084 = 5.6

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.6$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 666.67
  • Taille de position USD 225.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.6
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.48 % 5.59 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.55 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
5.59 $ 2.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3383 0.3503 0.3299 0.7 0.4906
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3383
  • Stop Loss: 0.3503
  • Take Profit: 0.3299

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3503 - 0.3383 = 0.012

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3383 - 0.3299 = 0.0084

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0084 / 0.012 = 0.7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.547% (0.0120)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.695% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.695% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +6.157% 1.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

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