Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 97.07 MORPHO at 2.113$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0301 (3.9 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 23:10:04
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 02:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 2.1125$
Qty 97.0679 MORPHO
Size 205.056$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 205.06$
SL 2.0301 (-3.9%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+0.59%
/ +1.2$
MAE -0.63%
MFE +0.83%
0.2R
expires
18 Aug 02:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73055)
#2 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 23:00
score du 17/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9712
Quality Score
0.680
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 23:02
17/08 23:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.80×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.93×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1606
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 23:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5400
Score SMA
—
Rank
#9
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7083 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.19% · r3d: 8.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1956% · dist_ema21: 7.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6296 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.36% · rs_3d: 6.55% · beta_24h: 0.421 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1585 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.622 · trend: -57.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4789 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6656 | ATR%: 4.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6804
Score SMA
0.5304
Rank
#2
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9712
Rank Norm SMA
0.5012
Calculé le
17/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6517 | r1h: 0.399% · r4h: 0.095% · r1d: 4.29% · r3d: 8.30% · ema21_slope: 0.1832% · dist_ema21: 0.706% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6254 | rs_1h: 0.526% · rs_4h: 0.352% · rs_1d: 3.17% · rs_3d: 6.79% · beta_24h: 1.105 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4367 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: 0.141 · trend: 101.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9416 | ADX: 55.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.295% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6577
Score SMA
—
Rank
#4
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7119 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.208% · r1d: 4.74% · r3d: 9.32% · ema21_slope: 0.3464% · dist_ema21: 4.572% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6561 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.377% · rs_1d: 3.19% · rs_3d: 7.18% · beta_24h: 1.492 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2618 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.640 · trend: 28.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8518 | ADX: 42.2 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.498% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.901%
(0.0824)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.260% | 0.1R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.260% | 0.1R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.833% | 0.2R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.833% | 0.2R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.780% | 0.5R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.896% | 1.0R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -2.94% | +0.55 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.60 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.27 | bull_low | +0.91% | +0.22 | 17/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
33%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.14 | range_low | +0.28% | -0.01 | 17/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.394×ATR | p21 | +2.09×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 5.317×ATR | p96 | +1.967×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.636×ATR | p55 | +0.429×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.84×ATR | p0 | -0.74×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1125 | 2.0301 | 2.5041 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1125
- Stop Loss: 2.0301
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0301 - 2.1125 = -0.0824
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1125 - = 2.1125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1125 / -0.0824 = -25.6371
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 205.056 | 100 | 97.0679 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0824
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0824 = -97.09
Taille de position USD = -97.09 x 2.1125 = -205.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -97.09 avec un stoploss a 2.0301
Avec un position size USD de -205.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -97.09 x -0.0824 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -97.09 x 2.1125 = -205.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -205.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position -97.09
- Taille de position USD -205.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -205.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio -25.6371
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 205.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.9 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.2 $ | 0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6343 % | 16.26 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1125 | 2.0301 | 2.5041 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1125
- Stop Loss: 2.0301
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0301 - 2.1125 = -0.0824
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1125 - = 2.1125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1125 / -0.0824 = -25.6371
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.901%
(0.0824)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.260% | 0.1R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.260% | 0.1R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.833% | 0.2R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.833% | 0.2R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.780% | 0.5R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.896% | 1.0R | -0.634% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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