Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 360.7 KAITO at 0.323$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3455 (6.87 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 02:10:05
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 05:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.3233$
Qty 360.6968 KAITO
Size 116.6097$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 116.61$
SL 0.3455 (-6.87%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-3.09%
/ -3.61$
MAE -3.90%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
18 Aug 05:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73252)
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 02:00
score du 18/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0947
Quality Score
0.404
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 02:02
18/08 02:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.42×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 18/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1609
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | transition | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.65
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 02:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1943
Score SMA
—
Rank
#49
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0434 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.96% · r3d: -13.44% · ema21_slope: -3.3358% · dist_ema21: -48.447% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1026 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.79% · rs_3d: -15.55% · beta_24h: -0.841 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1533 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.179 · trend: -26.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8329 | ADX: 39.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 29.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4035
Score SMA
0.3878
Rank
#47
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0947
Rank Norm SMA
0.0523
Calculé le
18/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2822 | r1h: 0.594% · r4h: 0.003% · r1d: -4.86% · r3d: -17.56% · ema21_slope: -0.3590% · dist_ema21: -2.843% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3208 | rs_1h: 0.538% · rs_4h: -0.076% · rs_1d: -6.00% · rs_3d: -19.38% · beta_24h: 2.313 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1763 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.355 · trend: -51.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6893 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 31.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.367% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2355
Score SMA
—
Rank
#49
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1528 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.075% · r1d: -5.33% · r3d: -18.44% · ema21_slope: -1.1301% · dist_ema21: -12.266% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1716 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.005% · rs_1d: -6.28% · rs_3d: -20.10% · beta_24h: 1.574 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1305 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.042 · trend: -56.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8047 | ADX: 64.2 (trend) · Chop: 62.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.175% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -6.867%
(0.0222)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.110% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.897% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.897% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.897% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.391% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -8.355% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
ranging_calm 60% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.35 | bear_high | -2.94% | -1.00 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | -0.05 | range_medium | +0.59% | -0.98 | 18/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.02 | bull_low | +1.05% | -0.43 | 18/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.40% | -0.02 | 18/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 11.125×ATR | p94 | -4.026×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.683×ATR | p14 | -2.104×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.975×ATR | p0 | -1.252×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.401×ATR | p0 | -0.51×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3233 | 0.3455 | 0.2722 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3233
- Stop Loss: 0.3455
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3455 - 0.3233 = 0.0222
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3233 - = 0.3233
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3233 / 0.0222 = 14.5631
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116.6097 | 100 | 360.6968 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0222
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0222 = 360.36
Taille de position USD = 360.36 x 0.3233 = 116.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 360.36 avec un stoploss a 0.3455
Avec un position size USD de 116.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 360.36 x 0.0222 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 360.36 x 0.3233 = 116.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 116.5$
Résumé
- Taille de position 360.36
- Taille de position USD 116.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 116.5
- Risk-Reward Ratio 14.5631
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 116.61 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.87 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.61 $ | -3.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8973 % | 56.76 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3233 | 0.3455 | 0.2722 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3233
- Stop Loss: 0.3455
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3455 - 0.3233 = 0.0222
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3233 - = 0.3233
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3233 / 0.0222 = 14.5631
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -6.867%
(0.0222)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.110% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.897% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.897% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.897% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.391% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -8.355% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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