Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_score)
With 489.3 WLD at 0.318$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3342 (5.13 %)
Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_score)
With 489.3 WLD at 0.318$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3342 (5.13 %)
Position
Entry 0.3179$
Qty 489.2999 WLD
Size 155.5436$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 155.55$
SL 0.3342 (-5.13%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2937
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2937
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 18/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5266 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 1.478% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4601 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.92% · beta_24h: 0.498 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1073 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.391 · trend: -65.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5398 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1925 | r1h: -2.012% · r4h: -5.316% · r1d: -11.42% · r3d: -8.38% · ema21_slope: -0.3528% · dist_ema21: -6.707% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0915 | rs_1h: -2.068% · rs_4h: -5.396% · rs_1d: -12.56% · rs_3d: -10.20% · beta_24h: 2.290 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.15× · zscore_50: 3.437 · trend: 166.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7926 | ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4355 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.302% · r1d: -10.03% · r3d: -5.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1002% · dist_ema21: -5.685% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3011 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.222% · rs_1d: -10.98% · rs_3d: -7.33% · beta_24h: 2.760 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1957 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.148 · trend: 4.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7390 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.987% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.073% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.130% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.130% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.130% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.970% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.328% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.94% | +0.73 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.59% | -0.53 | 18/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_low | +1.05% | -0.87 | 18/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.40% | -0.54 | 18/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.242×ATR | p0 | +0.247×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.415×ATR | p62 | -1.831×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 7.079×ATR | p98 | -3.924×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 8.051×ATR | p96 | -3.273×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3179 | 0.3342 | 0.5772 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3342 - 0.3179 = 0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3179 - = 0.3179
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3179 / 0.0163 = 19.5031
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155.5436 | 100 | 489.2999 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0163 = 490.8
Taille de position USD = 490.8 x 0.3179 = 156.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 490.8 avec un stoploss a 0.3342
Avec un position size USD de 156.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 490.8 x 0.0163 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 490.8 x 0.3179 = 156.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 156.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 155.55 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.13 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.13 $ | -1.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1296 % | 41.53 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3179 | 0.3342 | 0.5772 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3342 - 0.3179 = 0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3179 - = 0.3179
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3179 / 0.0163 = 19.5031
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.073% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.130% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.130% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.130% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.970% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.328% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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