18 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 13.53 VVV at 13.716$ per unit. Take profit: 14.0589 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 13.1246 (4.31 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 03:10 → 04:55 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 13.716$

Qty 13.5261 VVV

Size 185.5242$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 14.0589 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.64$

SL 13.1246 (-4.31%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.58

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.64$ MAE -0.33% MFE +7.90% 1.8R expires 18 Aug 09:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 73298)
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9791

Quality Score
0.863
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 03:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 73298)
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9791

Quality Score
0.863
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 2.53×ATR
1d near 0.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
7.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 03:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

18/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

18/08 02:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1610
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.90
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 03:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4789
Score SMA
—
Rank
#13 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6843 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1752% · dist_ema21: 9.164%
Force Relative 25% 0.7100 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: 1.710
Volume 20% 0.1397 rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.905 · trend: -55.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4548 ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.8630
Score SMA
0.5584
Rank
#1 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9791
Rank Norm SMA
0.6234
Calculé le
18/08/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9696 r1h: 2.513% · r4h: 5.091% · r1d: 12.51% · r3d: 16.88% · ema21_slope: 0.4713% · dist_ema21: 6.637%
Force Relative 25% 0.9355 rs_1h: 2.203% · rs_4h: 4.577% · rs_1d: 11.31% · rs_3d: 14.80% · beta_24h: 1.890
Volume 20% 0.5373 rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 1.160 · trend: 52.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8722 ADX: 44.7 (trend) · Chop: 31.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6647
Score SMA
—
Rank
#2 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6928 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.475% · r1d: 7.16% · r3d: 10.95% · ema21_slope: 0.2921% · dist_ema21: 6.082%
Force Relative 25% 0.7349 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.555% · rs_1d: 6.20% · rs_3d: 9.29% · beta_24h: 3.276
Volume 20% 0.2952 rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.913 · trend: 67.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7607 ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 30.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.405% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.312% (0.5914)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.992% 0.2R -0.328% 0.1R 3.0× 12
2h +3.113% 0.7R -0.328% 0.1R 9.5× 24
4h +6.708% 1.6R -0.328% 0.1R 20.4× 48
6h ★ +7.903% 1.8R -0.328% 0.1R 24.1× 72
8h +7.903% 1.8R -0.328% 0.1R 24.1× 96
12h +7.903% 1.8R -0.328% 0.1R 24.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.73
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% late — near 0.3ATR 0.43 bear_high -3.25% +0.63 17/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.45 range_medium +0.50% +0.68 18/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.35 bull_low +1.31% +0.77 18/08 02:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.21 range_low +0.64% +0.42 18/08 02:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 9b — 2.835×ATR p18 +1.834×ATR p85
4h ↑ up late 8b — 5.253×ATR p86 +3.32×ATR p100
1h ↑ up late 3b — 3.754×ATR p67 +2.921×ATR p97
15m ↑ up late 13b — 5.927×ATR p90 +2.139×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 13.12455151
  2. tp_price: 14.0589
  3. atr: 0.2365794
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-18T13:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.9696
  4. delta_2h: 0.1173
  5. extension_atr: 2.8
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9791
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 03:10 13.71600000 0%
2 04:10 13.80000000 +0.612%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.716 13.1246 14.0589 0.58 26.807
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.716
  • Stop Loss: 13.1246
  • Take Profit: 14.0589

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.1246 - 13.716 = -0.5914

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.716 - 14.0589 = -0.3429

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3429 / -0.5914 = 0.5798

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
185.5242 100 13.5261 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.5914

Taille de position = 8 / -0.5914 = -13.53

Taille de position USD = -13.53 x 13.716 = -185.58

Donc, tu peux acheter -13.53 avec un stoploss a 13.1246

Avec un position size USD de -185.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -13.53 x -0.5914 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -13.53 x -0.3429 = 4.64

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.64$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -13.53
  • Taille de position USD -185.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.64
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5798

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.64 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.64 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3281 % 7.61 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.716 13.1246 14.0589 0.58 26.807
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.716
  • Stop Loss: 13.1246
  • Take Profit: 14.0589

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.1246 - 13.716 = -0.5914

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.716 - 14.0589 = -0.3429

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3429 / -0.5914 = 0.5798

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.312% (0.5914)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.992% 0.2R -0.328% 0.1R 3.0× 12
2h +3.113% 0.7R -0.328% 0.1R 9.5× 24
4h +6.708% 1.6R -0.328% 0.1R 20.4× 48
6h ★ +7.903% 1.8R -0.328% 0.1R 24.1× 72
8h +7.903% 1.8R -0.328% 0.1R 24.1× 96
12h +7.903% 1.8R -0.328% 0.1R 24.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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