18 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 10372.5 MON at 0.0216$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0221 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02079 (3.57 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 03:10 → 09:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.02156$

Qty 10372.5025 MON

Size 223.6519$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0221 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.6$

SL 0.02079 (-3.57%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.7

Status loss PnL -2.47% / -5.53$ MAE -2.72% MFE +0.66% 0.2R expires 18 Aug 09:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 73305)
#9 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8981

Quality Score
0.609
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 03:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 73305)
#9 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8981

Quality Score
0.609
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.97×ATR
4h clear 0.73×ATR
1d clear 3.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 03:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

18/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

18/08 02:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1610
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.90
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 03:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4297
Score SMA
—
Rank
#21 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4880 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.64% · r3d: 3.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0448% · dist_ema21: 1.881%
Force Relative 25% 0.5159 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.47% · rs_3d: 1.44% · beta_24h: 1.864
Volume 20% 0.1981 rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.934 · trend: -4.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5168 ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3714 ATR%: 4.886% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6086
Score SMA
0.5276
Rank
#9 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8981
Rank Norm SMA
0.5155
Calculé le
18/08/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6554 r1h: 1.584% · r4h: 0.646% · r1d: 5.71% · r3d: 1.66% · ema21_slope: 0.2069% · dist_ema21: 1.815%
Force Relative 25% 0.6088 rs_1h: 1.274% · rs_4h: 0.132% · rs_1d: 4.51% · rs_3d: -0.41% · beta_24h: 3.312
Volume 20% 0.2868 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.130 · trend: 11.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6826 ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.474% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5434
Score SMA
—
Rank
#9 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4555 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.233% · r1d: 4.74% · r3d: 0.42% · ema21_slope: -0.0909% · dist_ema21: 0.664%
Force Relative 25% 0.5179 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.313% · rs_1d: 3.78% · rs_3d: -1.24% · beta_24h: 3.554
Volume 20% 0.3582 rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.627 · trend: 106.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7040 ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 29.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.191% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.571% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.663% 0.2R -1.758% 0.5R 0.4× 12
2h +0.663% 0.2R -1.758% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.663% 0.2R -2.166% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.663% 0.2R -2.723% 0.8R 0.2× 72
8h +0.663% 0.2R -2.760% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +0.663% 0.2R -2.829% 0.8R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.5ATR — 0.39 bear_high -3.25% +0.08 17/08 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal range_high
32%
noisy_chop 32% early — — 0.41 range_medium +0.50% -0.21 18/08 00:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.40 bull_low +1.31% +0.46 18/08 02:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong explosive compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.31 range_low +0.53% -0.18 18/08 02:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 8b — 2.029×ATR p0 -0.189×ATR p15
4h ↓ down early 1b — 1.814×ATR p0 +0.206×ATR p15
1h ↑ up mid 3b — 1.78×ATR p21 +1.091×ATR p65
15m ↑ up mid 5b — 2.861×ATR p52 +0.909×ATR p41

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.02079073
  2. tp_price: 0.02210105
  3. atr: 0.00030851
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-18T13:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.6554
  4. delta_2h: 0.0849
  5. extension_atr: 1.64
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8981
  9. confidence: 0.967

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02156 0.02079 0.0221 0.7 0.0222
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02156
  • Stop Loss: 0.02079
  • Take Profit: 0.0221

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02079 - 0.02156 = -0.00077

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02156 - 0.0221 = -0.00054

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00054 / -0.00077 = 0.7013

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
223.6519 100 10372.5025 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00077

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00077 = -10389.61

Taille de position USD = -10389.61 x 0.02156 = -224

Donc, tu peux acheter -10389.61 avec un stoploss a 0.02079

Avec un position size USD de -224$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -10389.61 x -0.00077 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -10389.61 x -0.00054 = 5.61

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.61$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -10389.61
  • Taille de position USD -224
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.61
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7013

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.6 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.57 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-5.53 $ -2.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.7226 % 76.23 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02156 0.02079 0.0221 0.7 0.0222
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02156
  • Stop Loss: 0.02079
  • Take Profit: 0.0221

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02079 - 0.02156 = -0.00077

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02156 - 0.0221 = -0.00054

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00054 / -0.00077 = 0.7013

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.571% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.663% 0.2R -1.758% 0.5R 0.4× 12
2h +0.663% 0.2R -1.758% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.663% 0.2R -2.166% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.663% 0.2R -2.723% 0.8R 0.2× 72
8h +0.663% 0.2R -2.760% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +0.663% 0.2R -2.829% 0.8R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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