Short Trade on LINK (BosPullback)
With 58.72 LINK at 9.388$ per unit. Take profit: 9.0478 (3.63 %) & Stop Loss: 9.5247 (1.45 %)
Short Trade on LINK (BosPullback)
With 58.72 LINK at 9.388$ per unit. Take profit: 9.0478 (3.63 %) & Stop Loss: 9.5247 (1.45 %)
Position
Entry 9.3884$
Qty 58.7151 LINK
Size 551.2406$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 9.0478 (+3.63%)
TP $ 20$
SL 9.5247 (-1.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4407
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4407
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.38×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.38×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 18/08 03:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7601 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.23% · r3d: 0.48% · ema21_slope: 0.6183% · dist_ema21: 8.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5882 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.07% · rs_3d: -1.62% · beta_24h: 1.121 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2408 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.115 · trend: 36.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7564 | ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9701 | ATR%: 3.090% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5672 | r1h: 0.765% · r4h: 1.539% · r1d: 0.48% · r3d: 0.90% · ema21_slope: -0.0102% · dist_ema21: 0.428% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5215 | rs_1h: 0.455% · rs_4h: 1.025% · rs_1d: -0.72% · rs_3d: -1.17% · beta_24h: 0.812 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2081 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.626 · trend: -23.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4815 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.776% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6344 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.003% · r1d: 0.09% · r3d: 0.80% · ema21_slope: 0.2088% · dist_ema21: 0.690% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5524 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.076% · rs_1d: -0.86% · rs_3d: -0.86% · beta_24h: 0.845 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1699 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.032 · trend: -20.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5456 | ADX: 43.4 (trend) · Chop: 77.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.495% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.527% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.832% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.115% | 0.1R | -1.100% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -1.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -1.746% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.83 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.71 | range_medium | +0.74% | +0.30 | 18/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.45 | bull_low | +1.15% | -0.21 | 18/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.43 | range_low | +0.37% | -0.01 | 18/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 4.987×ATR | p77 | +2.243×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 1.308×ATR | p0 | +0.646×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.414×ATR | p3 | -0.529×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.68×ATR | p74 | -1.235×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
9.5178
148
0.4034
0.5274
0.373
0.232
0.4883
0.8002
0.2066
0.4744
0.3875
0.6295
0.4995
0.6691
-0.0567
-0.0049
0.3333
-0.8126
-0.4917
0.55
0.45
-1
5
1
0.5359
0.4533
3.273
0.55
0.8002
2.6191
-0.4917
0.2639
0.232
0.72
-0.0037
0.4764
0.4407
0.2142
0.6691
-4.8523
9.8138
1
0
1
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-13 22:00:00
[price] => 8.9023
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-14 08:00:00
[price] => 8.7196
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-14 10:00:00
[price] => 8.8781
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-14 11:00:00
[price] => 8.7861
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-14 15:00:00
[price] => 8.7581
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-15 03:00:00
[price] => 9.7456
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-15 09:00:00
[price] => 9.2243
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-15 17:00:00
[price] => 9.6285
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-16 07:00:00
[price] => 9.3238
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-16 09:00:00
[price] => 9.4585
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[price] => 9.2916
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-16 20:00:00
[price] => 9.4882
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[price] => 9.3441
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 03:00:00
[price] => 9.5636
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 08:00:00
[price] => 9.3584
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 12:00:00
[price] => 9.5709
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 14:00:00
[price] => 9.4349
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[price] => 9.566
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-18 02:00:00
[price] => 9.3248
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-18 06:00:00
[price] => 9.5178
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 07:00:00
[price] => 9.4888
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 08:15:00
[price] => 9.3584
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 10:45:00
[price] => 9.5259
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 11:30:00
[price] => 9.4673
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 12:15:00
[price] => 9.5709
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 14:15:00
[price] => 9.4349
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 15:00:00
[price] => 9.5567
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[price] => 9.4749
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 16:30:00
[price] => 9.566
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 17:15:00
[price] => 9.4793
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 18:15:00
[price] => 9.5548
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 19:00:00
[price] => 9.4616
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 21:00:00
[price] => 9.5269
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 22:15:00
[price] => 9.4718
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-17 23:45:00
[price] => 9.5505
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-18 02:45:00
[price] => 9.3248
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-18 05:30:00
[price] => 9.4706
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-18 06:00:00
[price] => 9.4032
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-18 06:30:00
[price] => 9.5178
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
9.3248
9.5178
9.5178
9.3248
9.4447
9.3441
9.3944
0.8208
9.5636
9.4491
9.50635
0.8029
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:37 | 9.38840000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:43 | 9.38840000 | 0% |
| 3 | 05:25 | 9.44930000 | +0.649% |
| 4 | 06:02 | 9.45670000 | +0.727% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3884 | 9.5247 | 9.0478 | 2.5 | 12.149 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.5247 - 9.3884 = 0.1363
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.3884 - 9.0478 = 0.3406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3406 / 0.1363 = 2.4989
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551.2406 | 100 | 58.7151 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1363 = 58.69
Taille de position USD = 58.69 x 9.3884 = 551.01
Donc, tu peux acheter 58.69 avec un stoploss a 9.5247
Avec un position size USD de 551.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 58.69 x 0.1363 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 58.69 x 0.3406 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.63 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5253 % | 105.06 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3884 | 9.5247 | 9.0478 | 2.5 | 12.149 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.5247 - 9.3884 = 0.1363
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.3884 - 9.0478 = 0.3406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3406 / 0.1363 = 2.4989
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.527% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.832% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.115% | 0.1R | -1.100% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -1.710% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -1.746% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.