18 Aug 2026 at 05:10:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on POL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3555.19 POL at 0.0799$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08192 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07767 (2.82 %)

POL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 05:10 → 06:30 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.07992$

Qty 3555.1921 POL

Size 284.1345$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08192 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.11$

SL 0.07767 (-2.82%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.89

Status win PnL +2.50% / +7.11$ MAE -0.00% MFE +3.10% 1.1R expires 18 Aug 11:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 73435)
#2 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9409

Quality Score
0.719
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 73435)
#2 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9409

Quality Score
0.719
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.91×ATR
4h near 0.33×ATR
1d near 0.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 05:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

18/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

18/08 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1612
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.90
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 05:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5327
Score SMA
—
Rank
#10 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6055 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.32% · r3d: 5.90% · ema21_slope: 0.0991% · dist_ema21: 4.930%
Force Relative 25% 0.5561 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.15% · rs_3d: 3.79% · beta_24h: 1.212
Volume 20% 0.1098 rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.991 · trend: -18.09%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6494 ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 37.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9269 ATR%: 3.219% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.7192
Score SMA
0.5769
Rank
#2 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9409
Rank Norm SMA
0.6956
Calculé le
18/08/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6609 r1h: 0.496% · r4h: 0.926% · r1d: 5.84% · r3d: 6.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1434% · dist_ema21: 1.382%
Force Relative 25% 0.6241 rs_1h: 0.351% · rs_4h: 0.803% · rs_1d: 4.41% · rs_3d: 4.52% · beta_24h: 1.634
Volume 20% 0.6324 rvol_20: 1.91× · zscore_50: 1.356 · trend: 37.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9226 ADX: 55.1 (trend) · Chop: 42.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.188% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6053
Score SMA
0.6081
Rank
#5 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9054
Rank Norm SMA
0.8883
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6322 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.143% · r1d: 3.74% · r3d: 5.48% · ema21_slope: 0.2408% · dist_ema21: 3.425%
Force Relative 25% 0.6049 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.001% · rs_1d: 2.99% · rs_3d: 3.77% · beta_24h: 1.200
Volume 20% 0.2601 rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.629 · trend: 26.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7492 ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 9.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.566% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.815% (0.0023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.802% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.545% 0.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.545% 0.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +3.103% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +3.283% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +4.155% 1.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 39% mid — near 0.4ATR 0.60 bear_high -3.25% +0.76 17/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 42% late — near 0.3ATR 0.38 range_medium +0.40% +0.35 18/08 04:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.25 bull_low +1.06% +0.14 18/08 04:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bull_medium_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 49% late — near -1.0ATR — range_low +0.37% +0.08 18/08 04:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 4b — 2.602×ATR p0 +1.326×ATR p61
4h ↓ down late 4b — 3.968×ATR p58 +1.923×ATR p84
1h ↑ up early 5b — 1.757×ATR p12 +1.076×ATR p57
15m ↑ up late 2b — 3.059×ATR p54 +2.239×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07767077
  2. tp_price: 0.08191902
  3. atr: 0.00090009
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-18T15:10:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.6609
  4. delta_2h: 0.0047
  5. extension_atr: 0.77
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9409
  9. confidence: 0.936

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07992 0.07767 0.08192 0.89 0.09062
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07992
  • Stop Loss: 0.07767
  • Take Profit: 0.08192

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07767 - 0.07992 = -0.00225

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07992 - 0.08192 = -0.002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.002 / -0.00225 = 0.8889

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
284.1345 100 3555.1921 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00225

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00225 = -3555.56

Taille de position USD = -3555.56 x 0.07992 = -284.16

Donc, tu peux acheter -3555.56 avec un stoploss a 0.07767

Avec un position size USD de -284.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3555.56 x -0.00225 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3555.56 x -0.002 = 7.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3555.56
  • Taille de position USD -284.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8889

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 7.11 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.82 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
7.11 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07992 0.07767 0.08192 0.89 0.09062
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07992
  • Stop Loss: 0.07767
  • Take Profit: 0.08192

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07767 - 0.07992 = -0.00225

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07992 - 0.08192 = -0.002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.002 / -0.00225 = 0.8889

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.815% (0.0023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.802% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.545% 0.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.545% 0.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +3.103% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +3.283% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +4.155% 1.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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