Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 2345.55 ONDO at 0.33$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3211 (2.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3331 (1.06 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 2345.55 ONDO at 0.33$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3211 (2.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3331 (1.06 %)
Position
Entry 0.3296$
Qty 2345.5527 ONDO
Size 773.2114$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3211 (+2.58%)
TP $ 19.94$
SL 0.3331 (-1.06%)
SL $ 8.21$
RR 2.43
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4674
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4674
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.29×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.40×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 18/08 05:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3073 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.22% · r3d: 3.72% · ema21_slope: -0.6244% · dist_ema21: -3.604% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4938 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.05% · rs_3d: 1.61% · beta_24h: 1.545 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1317 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.025 · trend: -70.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5157 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3866 | ATR%: 4.840% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4784 | r1h: 0.131% · r4h: 0.003% · r1d: -2.31% · r3d: 0.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0760% · dist_ema21: -0.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4635 | rs_1h: 0.327% · rs_4h: 0.121% · rs_1d: -3.64% · rs_3d: -0.86% · beta_24h: 0.931 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3818 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.190 · trend: 12.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5524 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.787% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4266 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.419% · r1d: -3.83% · r3d: 0.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0728% · dist_ema21: -1.168% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4091 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.276% · rs_1d: -4.57% · rs_3d: -1.12% · beta_24h: 1.106 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1382 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.456 · trend: -23.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5525 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.570% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.055% | 0.1R | -0.622% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.055% | 0.1R | -0.713% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.425% | 0.4R | -0.713% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.425% | 0.4R | -1.468% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.863% | 1.8R | -1.468% | 1.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_high | -3.25% | -0.97 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.60% | -0.21 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.50 | bull_low | +0.83% | -0.36 | 18/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bear_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.14% | -0.04 | 18/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 5.834×ATR | p75 | -1.271×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.482×ATR | p19 | -0.462×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.233×ATR | p2 | -0.927×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.953×ATR | p18 | -0.288×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.33286
145
0.2506
0.4694
0.4173
0.2724
0.5358
0.5742
0.3286
0.6017
0.284
0.1766
0.5685
0.4051
-0.1188
-0.044
0
-0.8793
-0.96
0.35
0.65
-1
8
1
0.4551
0.334
3.164
0.55
0.5742
1.8168
-0.96
0.4644
0.2355
0.24
-0.2511
0.5149
0.4334
0.8582
0.4051
-5.4925
3.7409
1
0
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0.32775
0.33286
0.33286
0.32775
0.3304
0.32633
0.328365
0.7971
0.33665
0.33188
0.334265
0.7864
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:08 | 0.32965000 | +0.015% |
| 2 | 06:14 | 0.32950000 | -0.03% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3296 | 0.3331 | 0.3211 | 2.43 | 0.4164 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3331 - 0.3296 = 0.0035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3296 - 0.3211 = 0.0085
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085 / 0.0035 = 2.4286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 773.2114 | 100 | 2345.5527 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0035 = 2285.71
Taille de position USD = 2285.71 x 0.3296 = 753.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 2285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.3331
Avec un position size USD de 753.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2285.71 x 0.0035 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2285.71 x 0.0085 = 19.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.58 % | 19.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.06 % | 8.21 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.21 $ | -1.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0953 % | 103.15 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3296 | 0.3331 | 0.3211 | 2.43 | 0.4164 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3331 - 0.3296 = 0.0035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3296 - 0.3211 = 0.0085
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085 / 0.0035 = 2.4286
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.055% | 0.1R | -0.622% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.055% | 0.1R | -0.713% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.425% | 0.4R | -0.713% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.425% | 0.4R | -1.468% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.863% | 1.8R | -1.468% | 1.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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