Long Trade on HYPE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 12.29 HYPE at 59.817$ per unit. Take profit: 61.4446 (2.72 %) & Stop Loss: 59.166 (1.09 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 07:09:19
hyperliquid
HYPE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 07:09
→ 09:05
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 59.817$
Qty 12.2883 HYPE
Size 735.0517$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 61.4446 (+2.72%)
TP $ 20$
SL 59.166 (-1.09%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.09%
/ -8$
MAE -2.65%
MFE +0.23%
0.2R
expires
18 Aug 19:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73532)
#9 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 07:00
score du 18/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7677
Quality Score
0.542
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
240.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 07:02
18/08 07:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73532)
#9 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 07:00
score du 18/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7677
Quality Score
0.542
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
240.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 07:02
18/08 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1614
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 07:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4490
Score SMA
—
Rank
#15
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5685 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.07% · r3d: 4.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0344% · dist_ema21: 4.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5631 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.23% · rs_3d: 2.43% · beta_24h: 1.600 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0637 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -2.044 · trend: -60.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3883 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 68.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6671 | ATR%: 3.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5418
Score SMA
0.5565
Rank
#9
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7677
Rank Norm SMA
0.6853
Calculé le
18/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5656 | r1h: 0.290% · r4h: -0.274% · r1d: -0.04% · r3d: 6.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0614% · dist_ema21: 0.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5409 | rs_1h: 0.265% · rs_4h: -0.078% · rs_1d: -0.83% · rs_3d: 5.02% · beta_24h: 0.680 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2605 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.586 · trend: 14.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5652 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 47.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.821% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5662
Score SMA
0.5544
Rank
#8
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8318
Rank Norm SMA
0.8184
Calculé le
18/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6158 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.498% · r1d: -0.26% · r3d: 5.91% · ema21_slope: 0.2458% · dist_ema21: 1.815% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5632 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.355% · rs_1d: -1.01% · rs_3d: 4.20% · beta_24h: 1.487 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1747 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -1.401 · trend: 1.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7049 | ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.425% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.088%
(0.6510)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -0.319% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -1.172% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -1.408% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -2.650% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.226% | 0.2R | -2.650% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -3.038% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -3.25% | +0.73 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.47% | +0.34 | 18/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.50 | bull_low | +0.87% | -0.02 | 18/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
68%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | — | range_low | +0.19% | +0.10 | 18/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.372×ATR | p30 | +1.073×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 22b | — | 5.01×ATR | p78 | +1.507×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.738×ATR | p16 | +0.71×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.463×ATR | p31 | +0.909×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8463
- reason: up_bo width=1.71×ATR dur=25b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 59.16597641
- tp_price: 61.44455897
- atr:
- score: 0.77628566838655
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T23:09:12.391012
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77628566838655
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1689
- obi_top10 : 0.1689
- micro_price : 59.83401346
- spread_pct : 0.001671
- mid_price : 59.8345
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1565
- obi_top5_std : 0.0185
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6868
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
59.62
- balance_zone_bottom:
58.807
- balance_zone_mid:
59.2135
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786964400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787050800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7107
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
25
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7763
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787047200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
59.62
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.84
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4145
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.47523589 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
25
inside_close_ratio
0.84
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4145
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:09 | 59.81700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:15 | 59.81700000 | 0% |
| 3 | 07:21 | 59.77900000 | -0.064% |
| 4 | 07:27 | 59.77900000 | -0.064% |
| 5 | 07:33 | 59.77900000 | -0.064% |
| 6 | 07:39 | 59.86200000 | +0.075% |
| 7 | 07:45 | 59.86200000 | +0.075% |
| 8 | 07:51 | 59.79600000 | -0.035% |
| 9 | 07:57 | 59.79600000 | -0.035% |
| 10 | 08:04 | 59.79600000 | -0.035% |
| 11 | 08:09 | 59.78500000 | -0.053% |
| 12 | 08:15 | 59.78500000 | -0.053% |
| 13 | 08:21 | 59.69500000 | -0.204% |
| 14 | 08:27 | 59.69500000 | -0.204% |
| 15 | 08:33 | 59.69500000 | -0.204% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6868ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.169
avg 0.157
± 0.019
OBI Top 10
0.169
Microstructure
Mid Price
59.8345
Micro Price
59.8340
Spread
0.0017%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.817 | 59.166 | 61.4446 | 2.5 | 75.456 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 59.817
- Stop Loss: 59.166
- Take Profit: 61.4446
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.166 - 59.817 = -0.651
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.817 - 61.4446 = -1.6276
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6276 / -0.651 = 2.5002
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 735.0517 | 100 | 12.2883 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.651
Taille de position = 8 / -0.651 = -12.29
Taille de position USD = -12.29 x 59.817 = -735.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -12.29 avec un stoploss a 59.166
Avec un position size USD de -735.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12.29 x -0.651 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12.29 x -1.6276 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -12.29
- Taille de position USD -735.15
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5002
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.72 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.09 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1719 % | 107.68 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.817 | 59.166 | 61.4446 | 2.5 | 75.456 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 59.817
- Stop Loss: 59.166
- Take Profit: 61.4446
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.166 - 59.817 = -0.651
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.817 - 61.4446 = -1.6276
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6276 / -0.651 = 2.5002
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 61.4446
[entry_price] => 59.817
[stop_loss] => 59.1009
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 13:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 61.4446
[entry_price] => 59.817
[stop_loss] => 59.0358
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 61.4446
[entry_price] => 59.817
[stop_loss] => 58.9707
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 16:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 61.4446
[entry_price] => 59.817
[stop_loss] => 58.8405
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 16:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.088%
(0.6510)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -0.319% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -1.172% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -1.408% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -2.650% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.226% | 0.2R | -2.650% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.226% | 0.2R | -3.038% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.