Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 41.79 HYPE at 59.425$ per unit. Take profit: 59.8079 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 59.2335 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 41.79 HYPE at 59.425$ per unit. Take profit: 59.8079 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 59.2335 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 59.425$
Qty 41.7861 HYPE
Size 2483.1392$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 59.8079 (+0.64%)
TP $ 16$
SL 59.2335 (-0.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8067
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8067
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.10×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.513129 15m : 0.53537 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5685 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.07% · r3d: 4.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0344% · dist_ema21: 4.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5631 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.23% · rs_3d: 2.43% · beta_24h: 1.600 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0637 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -2.044 · trend: -60.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3883 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 68.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6671 | ATR%: 3.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5758 | r1h: 0.010% · r4h: 0.297% · r1d: 0.53% · r3d: 6.76% · ema21_slope: 0.0608% · dist_ema21: 0.755% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5186 | rs_1h: -0.277% · rs_4h: 0.001% · rs_1d: -0.66% · rs_3d: 4.60% · beta_24h: 0.587 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2431 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.610 · trend: 1.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5310 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6312 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.281% · r1d: 0.65% · r3d: 5.09% · ema21_slope: 0.2593% · dist_ema21: 2.098% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5858 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.261% · rs_1d: 0.42% · rs_3d: 3.13% · beta_24h: 1.521 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1535 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.560 · trend: -6.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6871 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.392% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.199% | 0.6R | -0.562% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.650% | 2.0R | -0.757% | 2.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.650% | 2.0R | -1.994% | 6.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.650% | 2.0R | -2.008% | 6.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.650% | 2.0R | -2.146% | 6.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.76 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.34 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.50 | bull_low | +0.97% | +0.06 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.51 | range_low | +0.29% | -0.05 | 18/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.485×ATR | p30 | +1.241×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 5.246×ATR | p82 | +1.443×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.137×ATR | p2 | +0.636×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.195×ATR | p14 | -0.882×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64210.1
0.000729118
64257
0.513129
64120
0.00213637
64257
0.53537
63496.2
0.0119338
64254
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 06:00:00
[1] => 56.747
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 09:00:00
[1] => 57.547
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 57.021
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 17:00:00
[1] => 58
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 00:00:00
[1] => 57.021
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 11:00:00
[1] => 59.874
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 58.36
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:00:00
[1] => 59.62
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 05:00:00
[1] => 58.837
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:00:00
[1] => 60.478
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2946856708224
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4582660570729
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7890613049612
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 17:30:00
[1] => 58.69
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:30:00
[1] => 59.264
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:15:00
[1] => 58.36
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:45:00
[1] => 59.62
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:30:00
[1] => 58.958
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 05:30:00
[1] => 58.837
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:15:00
[1] => 60.478
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 08:00:00
[1] => 59.167
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 11:30:00
[1] => 59.952
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:30:00
[1] => 59.424
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.8790365625834
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0016828217555157
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88852988691438
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:45:00
[1] => 60.25
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:20:00
[1] => 60.478
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 08:10:00
[1] => 59.167
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 08:30:00
[1] => 59.669
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 09:00:00
[1] => 59.7
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 09:40:00
[1] => 59.305
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 10:00:00
[1] => 59.649
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 10:45:00
[1] => 59.904
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 11:30:00
[1] => 59.952
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:30:00
[1] => 59.424
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.8790365625834
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0016828217555157
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88852988691438
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
59.167
195
0.7364
0.7377
0.4107
0.2058
0.5783
0.7989
0.3021
0.5789
0.7148
0.5347
0.7761
0.8487
0.0866
0.0876
1
0.6381
1.9605
0.7
0.3
1
5
1
0.5884
0.9324
3.1395
0.55
0.7989
2.5081
1.9605
0.1629
0.2614
0.6
-0.038
0.4245
0.5677
0.873
0.8487
-1.7037
9.5583
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:33 | 59.42500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:39 | 59.24300000 | -0.306% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 06:45:00 | 60.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 07:20:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:10:00 | 59.167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:30:00 | 59.669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 09:00:00 | 59.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 09:40:00 | 59.305 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:00:00 | 59.649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 10:45:00 | 59.904 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 11:30:00 | 59.952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 12:30:00 | 59.424 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 17:30:00 | 58.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:30:00 | 59.264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:15:00 | 58.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:45:00 | 59.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 58.958 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 05:30:00 | 58.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:15:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 59.167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 11:30:00 | 59.952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 12:30:00 | 59.424 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 56.747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 57.547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 58.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 59.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 05:00:00 | 58.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.425 | 59.2335 | 59.8079 | 2 | 76.598 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.2335 - 59.425 = -0.1915
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.425 - 59.8079 = -0.3829
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3829 / -0.1915 = 1.9995
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2483.1392 | 100 | 41.7861 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1915 = -41.78
Taille de position USD = -41.78 x 59.425 = -2482.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -41.78 avec un stoploss a 59.2335
Avec un position size USD de -2482.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -41.78 x -0.1915 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -41.78 x -0.3829 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3955 % | 122.71 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.425 | 59.2335 | 59.8079 | 2 | 76.598 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.2335 - 59.425 = -0.1915
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.425 - 59.8079 = -0.3829
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3829 / -0.1915 = 1.9995
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 59.8079
[entry_price] => 59.425
[stop_loss] => 59.21435
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 12:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 59.8079
[entry_price] => 59.425
[stop_loss] => 59.1952
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 12:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 59.8079
[entry_price] => 59.425
[stop_loss] => 59.17605
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 13:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 59.8079
[entry_price] => 59.425
[stop_loss] => 59.13775
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 13:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.199% | 0.6R | -0.562% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.650% | 2.0R | -0.757% | 2.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.650% | 2.0R | -1.994% | 6.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.650% | 2.0R | -2.008% | 6.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.650% | 2.0R | -2.146% | 6.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.