Long Trade on BTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.014 BTC at 64765$ per unit. Take profit: 66192.9283 (2.2 %) & Stop Loss: 64193.8287 (0.88 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 13:06:16
hyperliquid
BTC
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 13:06
→ 01:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 64765$
Qty 0.01401 BTC
Size 907.1184$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 66192.9283 (+2.2%)
TP $ 20$
SL 64193.8287 (-0.88%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.66%
/ -5.95$
MAE -0.81%
MFE +0.05%
0.1R
expires
19 Aug 01:06
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73889)
#5 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 13:00
score du 18/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7656
Quality Score
0.616
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.66B $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 13:00
18/08 13:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73889)
#5 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 13:00
score du 18/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7656
Quality Score
0.616
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.42×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.17×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.20×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.66B $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 13:00
18/08 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 18/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1620
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.65
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 13:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4340
Score SMA
—
Rank
#20
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4832 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: -0.0468% · dist_ema21: 0.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0651 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.111 · trend: -45.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3399 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 70.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.6156
Score SMA
0.5088
Rank
#5
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7656
Rank Norm SMA
0.4808
Calculé le
18/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5436 | r1h: -0.099% · r4h: 0.880% · r1d: 1.05% · r3d: 2.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0346% · dist_ema21: 0.730% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5195 | rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: 0.182 · trend: 72.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8241 | ADX: 42.2 (trend) · Chop: 41.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.378% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5322
Score SMA
0.5205
Rank
#12
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7059
Rank Norm SMA
0.7229
Calculé le
18/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5451 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.045% · r1d: 0.80% · r3d: 2.68% · ema21_slope: 0.0906% · dist_ema21: 1.418% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1925 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.127 · trend: 0.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7013 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 28.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.882%
(571.1713)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.229% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.229% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.363% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.565% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.812% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.429% | 9.6R | -0.993% | 1.1R | 8.5× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_low_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 28b | — | 2.2×ATR | p0 | +0.367×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.213×ATR | p86 | +1.961×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.07×ATR | p0 | +1.979×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.464×ATR | p0 | +1.198×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.84
- reason: up_bo width=1.73×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_strong(+0.08)
- stop_price: 64193.8286999
- tp_price: 66192.92825026
- atr:
- score: 0.6899607403551
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T05:06:08.948531
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.6899607403551
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.5026
- obi_top10 : 0.5026
- micro_price : 64770.11555545
- spread_pct : 0.000154
- mid_price : 64770.15
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.559
- obi_top5_std : 0.0358
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6981
- aggregation_tick : 100
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
64418
- balance_zone_bottom:
64016
- balance_zone_mid:
64217
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786989600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787072400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7349
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.69
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787061600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
64418
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7917
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4975
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_medium
- atr_entry : 231.71300104 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.7917
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4975
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:06 | 64765.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:12 | 64765.00000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:48 | 64689.00000000 | -0.117% |
| 4 | 13:54 | 64689.00000000 | -0.117% |
| 5 | 14:00 | 64689.00000000 | -0.117% |
| 6 | 14:36 | 64757.00000000 | -0.012% |
| 7 | 14:42 | 64757.00000000 | -0.012% |
| 8 | 14:48 | 64727.00000000 | -0.059% |
| 9 | 14:54 | 64727.00000000 | -0.059% |
| 10 | 15:00 | 64727.00000000 | -0.059% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6981ms
Confidence avant OB :
69%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.503
avg 0.559
± 0.036
OBI Top 10
0.503
Microstructure
Mid Price
64,770.1500
Micro Price
64,770.1156
Spread
0.0002%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64765 | 64193.8287 | 66192.9283 | 2.5 | 80079 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 64765
- Stop Loss: 64193.8287
- Take Profit: 66192.9283
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64193.8287 - 64765 = -571.1713
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64765 - 66192.9283 = -1427.9283
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1427.9283 / -571.1713 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 907.1184 | 100 | 0.01401 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -571.1713
Taille de position = 8 / -571.1713 = -0.01
Taille de position USD = -0.01 x 64765 = -647.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.01 avec un stoploss a 64193.8287
Avec un position size USD de -647.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.01 x -571.1713 = 5.71
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 5.71$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.01 x -1427.9283 = 14.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.01
- Taille de position USD -647.65
- Perte potentielle 5.71
- Gain potentiel 14.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.2 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.88 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.95 $ | -0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8122 % | 92.1 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64765 | 64193.8287 | 66192.9283 | 2.5 | 80079 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 64765
- Stop Loss: 64193.8287
- Take Profit: 66192.9283
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64193.8287 - 64765 = -571.1713
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64765 - 66192.9283 = -1427.9283
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1427.9283 / -571.1713 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.882%
(571.1713)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.229% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.229% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.363% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.565% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.812% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.429% | 9.6R | -0.993% | 1.1R | 8.5× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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