Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 69.55 VVV at 13.946$ per unit. Take profit: 14.1761 (1.65 %) & Stop Loss: 13.831 (0.82 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 69.55 VVV at 13.946$ per unit. Take profit: 14.1761 (1.65 %) & Stop Loss: 13.831 (0.82 %)
Position
Entry 13.946$
Qty 69.5493 VVV
Size 969.934$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 14.1761 (+1.65%)
TP $ 16$
SL 13.831 (-0.82%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9947
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9947
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.38×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.42×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.085753 15m : -0.150084 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6843 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1752% · dist_ema21: 9.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7100 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: 1.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1397 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.905 · trend: -55.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4548 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7555 | r1h: -0.218% · r4h: -2.767% · r1d: 11.56% · r3d: 18.22% · ema21_slope: 0.6025% · dist_ema21: 2.514% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6747 | rs_1h: -0.036% · rs_4h: -3.544% · rs_1d: 10.96% · rs_3d: 15.61% · beta_24h: -1.781 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3195 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.339 · trend: 56.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8911 | ADX: 46.9 (trend) · Chop: 28.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.196% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8224 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.309% · r1d: 12.73% · r3d: 19.14% · ema21_slope: 0.6928% · dist_ema21: 10.648% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8824 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.354% · rs_1d: 11.93% · rs_3d: 16.46% · beta_24h: 1.841 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3643 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.535 · trend: 170.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8413 | ADX: 41.0 (trend) · Chop: 12.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9992 | ATR%: 3.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.774% | 0.9R | -1.047% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.774% | 0.9R | -2.366% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.774% | 0.9R | -2.366% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.391% | 1.7R | -2.366% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.391% | 1.7R | -3.191% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.82 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.43 | bull_medium | +1.24% | +0.92 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.27 | bull_low | +1.48% | +0.48 | 18/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | -0.03 | range_low | +0.70% | -0.33 | 18/08 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.264×ATR | p32 | +2.362×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.735×ATR | p90 | +2.664×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.07×ATR | p0 | +0.956×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.822×ATR | p17 | -0.485×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64535.5
0.00337008
64753
-0.085753
64372.8
0.00554757
64730
-0.150084
63651.2
0.0163188
64690
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13.849
195
0.7679
0.6922
0.3906
0.2396
0.5142
0.4979
0.3589
0.7995
0.7294
0.7805
0.7357
0.8029
0.1179
0.1371
1
0.9245
3.1254
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.5208
0.666
6.7338
0.55
0.4979
3.3527
3.1254
0.0676
0.2335
0.84
0.1148
0.5466
0.5889
0.8508
0.8029
-2.0675
8.4226
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 12:20:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 12:30:00 | 14.375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:10:00 | 14.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:35:00 | 14.588 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:10:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:55:00 | 13.849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 14.416 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:40:00 | 14.107 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 17:40:00 | 14.117 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 18:25:00 | 13.884 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 18:15:00 | 12.825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:15:00 | 12.527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:30:00 | 13.317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:15:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:45:00 | 13.849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 14.416 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:15:00 | 14.116 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 11.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 12.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:00:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 13.849 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.946 | 13.831 | 14.1761 | 2 | 25.065 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.831 - 13.946 = -0.115
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.946 - 14.1761 = -0.2301
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2301 / -0.115 = 2.0009
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 969.934 | 100 | 69.5493 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.115 = -69.57
Taille de position USD = -69.57 x 13.946 = -970.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -69.57 avec un stoploss a 13.831
Avec un position size USD de -970.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -69.57 x -0.115 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -69.57 x -0.2301 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.65 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0469 % | 126.96 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.946 | 13.831 | 14.1761 | 2 | 25.065 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.831 - 13.946 = -0.115
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.946 - 14.1761 = -0.2301
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2301 / -0.115 = 2.0009
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.774% | 0.9R | -1.047% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.774% | 0.9R | -2.366% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.774% | 0.9R | -2.366% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.391% | 1.7R | -2.366% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.391% | 1.7R | -3.191% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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