Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2421.81 NIL at 0.0448$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04372 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04815 (7.38 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 15:10:04
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 21:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04484$
Qty 2421.8133 NIL
Size 108.6014$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04372 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.71$
SL 0.04815 (-7.38%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.34
Status
win
PnL
+1.35%
/ +1.46$
MAE -0.92%
MFE +2.13%
0.3R
expires
18 Aug 21:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 74023)
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 15:00
score du 18/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1096
Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 15:02
18/08 15:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74023)
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 15:00
score du 18/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1096
Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 15:02
18/08 15:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1622
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.65
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 15:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3278
Score SMA
0.5432
Rank
#48
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1096
Rank Norm SMA
0.5592
Calculé le
18/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2524 | r1h: -0.617% · r4h: -3.143% · r1d: -10.60% · r3d: -12.70% · ema21_slope: -0.1724% · dist_ema21: -4.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1514 | rs_1h: -0.761% · rs_4h: -3.209% · rs_1d: -11.12% · rs_3d: -15.40% · beta_24h: -1.218 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1775 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.451 · trend: -44.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5629 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9428 | ATR%: 3.172% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3831
Score SMA
—
Rank
#47
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5631 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.529% · r1d: -7.27% · r3d: -11.25% · ema21_slope: 0.3085% · dist_ema21: -1.887% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3979 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.484% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -13.93% · beta_24h: -0.306 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1632 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.945 · trend: -30.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5471 | ADX: 39.1 (trend) · Chop: 72.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.127% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.382%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.490% | 0.2R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.490% | 0.2R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.134% | 0.3R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.134% | 0.3R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.488% | 0.5R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.944% | 0.7R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.34 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.98 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.23 | bull_medium | +1.24% | -0.76 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.00 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.54% | -0.54 | 18/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.67% | -0.23 | 18/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.741×ATR | p0 | +0.625×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.079×ATR | p8 | -0.629×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.53×ATR | p2 | -1.557×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.976×ATR | p82 | -2.926×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04814631
- tp_price: 0.04372193
- atr: 0.00132133
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T01:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 49
- score: 0.2524
- delta_2h: -0.0997
- extension_atr: -1.43
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1096
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04484 | 0.04815 | 0.04372 | 0.34 | 0.09067 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04484
- Stop Loss: 0.04815
- Take Profit: 0.04372
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04815 - 0.04484 = 0.00331
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04484 - 0.04372 = 0.00112
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00112 / 0.00331 = 0.3384
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108.6014 | 100 | 2421.8133 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00331
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00331 = 2416.92
Taille de position USD = 2416.92 x 0.04484 = 108.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 2416.92 avec un stoploss a 0.04815
Avec un position size USD de 108.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2416.92 x 0.00331 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2416.92 x 0.00112 = 2.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2416.92
- Taille de position USD 108.37
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3384
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.38 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.46 $ | 1.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9166 % | 12.42 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04484 | 0.04815 | 0.04372 | 0.34 | 0.09067 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04484
- Stop Loss: 0.04815
- Take Profit: 0.04372
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04815 - 0.04484 = 0.00331
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04484 - 0.04372 = 0.00112
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00112 / 0.00331 = 0.3384
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.382%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.490% | 0.2R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.490% | 0.2R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.134% | 0.3R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.134% | 0.3R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.488% | 0.5R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.944% | 0.7R | -0.917% | 0.1R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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