Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.17 BTC at 64620$ per unit. Take profit: 64715.6135 (0.15 %) & Stop Loss: 64572.1933 (0.074 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.17 BTC at 64620$ per unit. Take profit: 64715.6135 (0.15 %) & Stop Loss: 64572.1933 (0.074 %)
Position
Entry 64620$
Qty 0.1673 BTC
Size 10813.5376$ (margin 100$) (leverage 108)
Risk Setup
TP 64715.6135 (+0.15%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64572.1933 (-0.074%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8312
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8312
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.65×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 18/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4832 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: -0.0468% · dist_ema21: 0.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0651 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.111 · trend: -45.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3399 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 70.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5334 | r1h: 0.144% · r4h: 0.067% · r1d: 0.52% · r3d: 2.70% · ema21_slope: 0.0390% · dist_ema21: 0.572% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4067 | rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: -0.003 · trend: 29.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8272 | ADX: 43.7 (trend) · Chop: 42.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.364% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5451 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.045% · r1d: 0.80% · r3d: 2.68% · ema21_slope: 0.0906% · dist_ema21: 1.418% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1925 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.127 · trend: 0.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7013 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 28.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.017% | 0.2R | -0.139% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.017% | 0.2R | -0.139% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.217% | 2.9R | -0.141% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.217% | 2.9R | -0.590% | 8.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.217% | 2.9R | -0.771% | 10.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 28b | — | 1.796×ATR | p0 | +0.729×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.737×ATR | p72 | +1.652×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.627×ATR | p11 | +1.097×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 2.194×ATR | p17 | -0.149×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56907317973484
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98725318670332
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5652336915771
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[1] => 64049
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[1] => 64083
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[0] => 2026-08-18 11:45:00
[1] => 64376
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[9] => Array
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37156380567675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.012381600941002
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.007738500588126
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[1] => 64620
[2] => L
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[1] => 64861
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65018
194
0.7283
0.7587
0.3188
0.2541
0.3717
1
0.2856
0.5806
0.6637
0.561
0.7636
0.8517
0.1816
0.1348
1
1.0822
2.7064
0.55
0.45
1
5
1
0.4918
0.9373
4.0489
0.5
2.7833
4.9403
2.7064
0
0.195
0.64
-0.0345
0.4821
0.507
0.7194
0.8517
-1.6186
9.2963
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:00 | 64620.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:06 | 64568.00000000 | -0.08% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:10:00 | 64620 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 64861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:30:00 | 64636 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:45:00 | 64840 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 17:30:00 | 64799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 18:35:00 | 64795 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 19:25:00 | 64772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 19:55:00 | 64612 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:30:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 64049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:15:00 | 64083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 11:45:00 | 64376 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 64861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:45:00 | 64612 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 62977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64620 | 64572.1933 | 64715.6135 | 2 | 79806 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64572.1933 - 64620 = -47.806700000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64620 - 64715.6135 = -95.613499999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -95.613499999999 / -47.806700000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10813.5376 | 100 | 0.1673 | 108.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -47.806700000001 = -0.17
Taille de position USD = -0.17 x 64620 = -10985.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.17 avec un stoploss a 64572.1933
Avec un position size USD de -10985.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.17 x -47.806700000001 = 8.13
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.13$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.17 x -95.613499999999 = 16.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.25$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.074 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0805 % | 108.78 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64620 | 64572.1933 | 64715.6135 | 2 | 79806 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64572.1933 - 64620 = -47.806700000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64620 - 64715.6135 = -95.613499999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -95.613499999999 / -47.806700000001 = 2
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 20:05:00+00
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.017% | 0.2R | -0.139% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.017% | 0.2R | -0.139% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.217% | 2.9R | -0.141% | 1.9R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.217% | 2.9R | -0.590% | 8.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.217% | 2.9R | -0.771% | 10.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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