Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.54 XMR at 415.39$ per unit. Take profit: 417.0665 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 414.5517 (0.2 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.54 XMR at 415.39$ per unit. Take profit: 417.0665 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 414.5517 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 415.39$
Qty 9.5434 XMR
Size 3964.2462$ (margin 100$) (leverage 40)
Risk Setup
TP 417.0665 (+0.4%)
TP $ 16$
SL 414.5517 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6104
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6104
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.44×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.042256 15m : 0.178148 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7831 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.34% · r3d: 0.82% · ema21_slope: 0.7900% · dist_ema21: 7.413% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6376 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: -1.29% · beta_24h: 0.370 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1459 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.184 · trend: -31.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7583 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8648 | ATR%: 3.406% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5269 | r1h: -0.055% · r4h: 0.065% · r1d: 1.67% · r3d: 1.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0020% · dist_ema21: 0.274% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5129 | rs_1h: 0.076% · rs_4h: 0.330% · rs_1d: 1.09% · rs_3d: -1.29% · beta_24h: 0.686 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1782 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.836 · trend: -24.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5489 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.808% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6195 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.826% · r1d: 0.54% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.1259% · dist_ema21: 0.837% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5353 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.871% · rs_1d: -0.27% · rs_3d: -1.03% · beta_24h: -1.081 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5377 | rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 1.290 · trend: 10.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4720 | ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 70.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.656% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.067% | 0.3R | -0.816% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.067% | 0.3R | -0.816% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.067% | 0.3R | -0.823% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.067% | 0.3R | -1.372% | 6.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.118% | 0.6R | -1.372% | 6.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.91 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.27 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.34% | +0.06 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.14 | bull_low | +1.38% | -0.00 | 18/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.17 | range_low | +0.52% | +0.06 | 18/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.827×ATR | p16 | +1.893×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 28b | — | 3.722×ATR | p55 | +0.781×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.39×ATR | p40 | +0.282×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.945×ATR | p13 | +0.294×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64608.8
0.000312193
64629
-0.042256
64435.2
0.00300743
64629
0.178148
63691.3
0.0138116
64571
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 03:00:00
[1] => 414
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:00:00
[1] => 407.5
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 418.92
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 21:00:00
[1] => 407.46
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 11:00:00
[1] => 421.74
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:00:00
[1] => 409.88
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 413.65
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:00:00
[1] => 422.1
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:00:00
[1] => 409.08
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:00:00
[1] => 420.24
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.73767371026081
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9702747628826
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7280727486066
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 22:30:00
[1] => 416.93
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:00:00
[1] => 414.5
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 02:15:00
[1] => 416.25
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 413.65
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:45:00
[1] => 422.1
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:30:00
[1] => 409.08
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:45:00
[1] => 418.17
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:45:00
[1] => 420.24
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:30:00
[1] => 415.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:00:00
[1] => 415.36
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1541024176661
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0072226502311182
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0072231719355764
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:25:00
[1] => 417.26
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 15:15:00
[1] => 414.27
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 15:45:00
[1] => 417.47
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:45:00
[1] => 420.24
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 17:35:00
[1] => 416.74
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 17:50:00
[1] => 418.98
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:30:00
[1] => 418.02
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:40:00
[1] => 415.33
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 19:05:00
[1] => 417.76
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:05:00
[1] => 415.36
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56731137495213
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0072226502311182
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57781201848998
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
409.08
193
0.7262
0.5344
0.4113
0.2112
0.575
1
0.1919
0.6079
0.7148
0.6905
0.4441
0.8322
0.0662
0.0417
1
0.3251
0.7493
0.75
0.25
1
13
1
0.5776
0.3391
4.2943
0.6
1.0655
4.5756
0.7493
0.132
0.2943
0.62
0.1777
0.4823
0.4977
0
0.8322
-1.4629
7.2553
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:06 | 415.39000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:11 | 415.06000000 | -0.079% |
| 3 | 16:17 | 414.72000000 | -0.161% |
| 4 | 16:22 | 414.34000000 | -0.253% |
| 5 | 16:28 | 414.40000000 | -0.238% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 14:25:00 | 417.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:15:00 | 414.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 15:45:00 | 417.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:45:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 17:35:00 | 416.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 17:50:00 | 418.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 418.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:40:00 | 415.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:05:00 | 417.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:05:00 | 415.36 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 22:30:00 | 416.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 414.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:15:00 | 416.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:45:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 409.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:45:00 | 418.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:45:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 415.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 415.36 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 407.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 409.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415.39 | 414.5517 | 417.0665 | 2 | 602.36 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 414.5517 - 415.39 = -0.8383
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 415.39 - 417.0665 = -1.6765
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6765 / -0.8383 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3964.2462 | 100 | 9.5434 | 40.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.8383 = -9.54
Taille de position USD = -9.54 x 415.39 = -3962.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.54 avec un stoploss a 414.5517
Avec un position size USD de -3962.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.54 x -0.8383 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.54 x -1.6765 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2263 % | 112.14 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415.39 | 414.5517 | 417.0665 | 2 | 602.36 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 414.5517 - 415.39 = -0.8383
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 415.39 - 417.0665 = -1.6765
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6765 / -0.8383 = 1.9999
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 417.0665
[entry_price] => 415.39
[stop_loss] => 414.46787
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 20:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 417.0665
[entry_price] => 415.39
[stop_loss] => 414.38404
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 20:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 417.0665
[entry_price] => 415.39
[stop_loss] => 414.30021
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 20:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 417.0665
[entry_price] => 415.39
[stop_loss] => 414.13255
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 20:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.067% | 0.3R | -0.816% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.067% | 0.3R | -0.816% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.067% | 0.3R | -0.823% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.067% | 0.3R | -1.372% | 6.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.118% | 0.6R | -1.372% | 6.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.