Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 77.54 VVV at 13.744$ per unit. Take profit: 13.9504 (1.5 %) & Stop Loss: 13.6408 (0.75 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 77.54 VVV at 13.744$ per unit. Take profit: 13.9504 (1.5 %) & Stop Loss: 13.6408 (0.75 %)
Position
Entry 13.744$
Qty 77.5358 VVV
Size 1065.6519$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 13.9504 (+1.5%)
TP $ 16$
SL 13.6408 (-0.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9920
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9920
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.86×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.42×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 18/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.115781 15m : -0.158482 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6843 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 9.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1752% · dist_ema21: 9.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7100 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: 1.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1397 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.905 · trend: -55.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4548 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7250 | r1h: -0.179% · r4h: -2.261% · r1d: 9.84% · r3d: 16.09% · ema21_slope: 0.5100% · dist_ema21: 0.580% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6858 | rs_1h: -0.048% · rs_4h: -1.996% · rs_1d: 9.26% · rs_3d: 13.63% · beta_24h: -1.790 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2201 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.529 · trend: -8.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8282 | ADX: 41.7 (trend) · Chop: 40.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8224 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.309% · r1d: 12.73% · r3d: 19.14% · ema21_slope: 0.6928% · dist_ema21: 10.648% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8824 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.354% · rs_1d: 11.93% · rs_3d: 16.46% · beta_24h: 1.841 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3643 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.535 · trend: 170.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8413 | ADX: 41.0 (trend) · Chop: 12.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9992 | ATR%: 3.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.892% | 2.5R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.892% | 2.5R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.881% | 3.8R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.881% | 3.8R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.881% | 3.8R | -1.768% | 2.4R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.82 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.34% | +0.89 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.27 | bull_low | +1.38% | +0.42 | 18/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | -0.04 | range_low | +0.51% | -0.03 | 18/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.264×ATR | p32 | +2.362×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.88×ATR | p0 | +2.113×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.641×ATR | p11 | +0.231×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.44×ATR | p65 | -1.376×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64605.5
-0.000580795
64568
-0.115781
64434
0.00207953
64568
-0.158482
63691.3
0.0138116
64571
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 10:00:00
[1] => 11.72
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:00:00
[1] => 12.071
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 22:00:00
[1] => 12.249
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 12:00:00
[1] => 11.794
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 12.054
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 21:00:00
[1] => 11.665
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:00:00
[1] => 12.046
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 12.89
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:00:00
[1] => 14.8
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:00:00
[1] => 13.8
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.945945945946
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8695652173913
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2463768115942
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:15:00
[1] => 12.527
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 23:00:00
[1] => 13.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 02:30:00
[1] => 13.317
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:30:00
[1] => 12.89
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:15:00
[1] => 14.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:00:00
[1] => 14.624
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:45:00
[1] => 13.849
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:00:00
[1] => 14.416
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:30:00
[1] => 13.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:00:00
[1] => 13.713
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.661487236404
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2260628600598
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.63443447823235
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:10:00
[1] => 14.624
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:55:00
[1] => 13.849
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:00:00
[1] => 14.416
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:40:00
[1] => 14.107
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 17:40:00
[1] => 14.117
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 18:30:00
[1] => 13.8
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 19:05:00
[1] => 13.899
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 19:20:00
[1] => 14.025
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:00:00
[1] => 13.971
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:05:00
[1] => 13.713
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6247942165915
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2260628600598
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8814263837235
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
14.416
195
0.7463
0.5576
0.3889
0.246
0.5058
0.5962
0.6078
0.7162
0.7127
0.7386
0.6188
0.7273
0.0691
0.1219
1
0.1701
2.3566
0.6
0.4
1
8
1
0.508
0.3668
6.7338
0.55
0.5962
1.7997
2.3566
0.8516
0.244
0.72
0.1599
0.5651
0.5656
0.7568
0.7273
-3.0979
8.2622
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 14:10:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:55:00 | 13.849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 14.416 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:40:00 | 14.107 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 17:40:00 | 14.117 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 13.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:05:00 | 13.899 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:20:00 | 14.025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 13.971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:05:00 | 13.713 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 19:15:00 | 12.527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 13.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:30:00 | 13.317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:30:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:15:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 14.624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:45:00 | 13.849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 14.416 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 13.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 13.713 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 11.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 12.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:00:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 13.8 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.744 | 13.6408 | 13.9504 | 2 | 25.301 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.6408 - 13.744 = -0.1032
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.744 - 13.9504 = -0.2064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2064 / -0.1032 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1065.6519 | 100 | 77.5358 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1032 = -77.52
Taille de position USD = -77.52 x 13.744 = -1065.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -77.52 avec un stoploss a 13.6408
Avec un position size USD de -1065.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -77.52 x -0.1032 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -77.52 x -0.2064 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.5 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8949 % | 119.18 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.744 | 13.6408 | 13.9504 | 2 | 25.301 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.6408 - 13.744 = -0.1032
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.744 - 13.9504 = -0.2064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2064 / -0.1032 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.9504
[entry_price] => 13.744
[stop_loss] => 13.63048
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 20:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.9504
[entry_price] => 13.744
[stop_loss] => 13.62016
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 21:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.9504
[entry_price] => 13.744
[stop_loss] => 13.60984
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 21:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.9504
[entry_price] => 13.744
[stop_loss] => 13.5892
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-18 21:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.892% | 2.5R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.892% | 2.5R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.881% | 3.8R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.881% | 3.8R | -0.895% | 1.2R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.881% | 3.8R | -1.768% | 2.4R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.