Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4461.75 CHIP at 0.0265$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02587 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02833 (6.78 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 17:10:08
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 17:10
→ 22:55
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.02653$
Qty 4461.7461 CHIP
Size 118.3835$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02587 (+2.49%)
TP $ 2.94$
SL 0.02833 (-6.78%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.37
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +2.95$
MAE -1.59%
MFE +3.68%
0.5R
expires
18 Aug 23:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 74175)
#30 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2457
Quality Score
0.463
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 17:02
18/08 17:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74175)
#30 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2457
Quality Score
0.463
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#30 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 17:02
18/08 17:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 16:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1624
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.65
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 17:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4275
Score SMA
—
Rank
#22
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4820 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.15% · r3d: 0.20% · ema21_slope: -0.3089% · dist_ema21: 7.113% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5783 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 0.258 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1866 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.723 · trend: -23.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6733 | ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.811% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4633
Score SMA
0.5635
Rank
#30
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2457
Rank Norm SMA
0.5988
Calculé le
18/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3266 | r1h: -0.666% · r4h: -2.973% · r1d: -7.41% · r3d: -1.71% · ema21_slope: -0.2631% · dist_ema21: -4.176% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2881 | rs_1h: -0.615% · rs_4h: -2.635% · rs_1d: -7.77% · rs_3d: -4.11% · beta_24h: -0.603 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5488 | rvol_20: 2.34× · zscore_50: 0.225 · trend: -20.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5571 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.923% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4660
Score SMA
0.4959
Rank
#22
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3191
Rank Norm SMA
0.5918
Calculé le
18/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6621 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.011% · r1d: -4.21% · r3d: -3.87% · ema21_slope: 0.4757% · dist_ema21: -3.336% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5041 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.086% · rs_1d: -4.33% · rs_3d: -6.27% · beta_24h: -3.180 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1453 | rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -0.826 · trend: -49.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7484 | ADX: 43.1 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.349% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.785%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.216% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.216% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.216% | 0.3R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.675% | 0.5R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.124% | 0.6R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.124% | 0.6R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.67 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.26 | bull_medium | +1.10% | +0.16 | 18/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.09 | bull_low | +1.26% | -0.40 | 18/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.35% | +0.00 | 18/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.09×ATR | p0 | +0.468×ATR | p20 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.722×ATR | p69 | -0.479×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.715×ATR | p6 | -1.565×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.571×ATR | p81 | -1.797×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02832602
- tp_price: 0.02586968
- atr: 0.00071721
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T03:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 49
- score: 0.3266
- delta_2h: -0.1679
- extension_atr: -1.27
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2457
- confidence: 0.958
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02653 | 0.02833 | 0.02587 | 0.37 | 0.05565 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02653
- Stop Loss: 0.02833
- Take Profit: 0.02587
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02833 - 0.02653 = 0.0018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02653 - 0.02587 = 0.00066
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00066 / 0.0018 = 0.3667
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118.3835 | 100 | 4461.7461 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0018
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0018 = 4444.44
Taille de position USD = 4444.44 x 0.02653 = 117.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.02833
Avec un position size USD de 117.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.00066 = 2.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4444.44
- Taille de position USD 117.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3667
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 2.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.78 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.95 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5869 % | 23.39 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02653 | 0.02833 | 0.02587 | 0.37 | 0.05565 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02653
- Stop Loss: 0.02833
- Take Profit: 0.02587
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02833 - 0.02653 = 0.0018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02653 - 0.02587 = 0.00066
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00066 / 0.0018 = 0.3667
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.785%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.216% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.216% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.216% | 0.3R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.675% | 0.5R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.124% | 0.6R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.124% | 0.6R | -1.587% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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