Short Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 197.41 NEAR at 1.589$ per unit. Take profit: 1.488 (6.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6298 (2.55 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 17:50:12
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 17:50
→ 05:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.5893$
Qty 197.4085 NEAR
Size 313.7414$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.488 (+6.37%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.6298 (-2.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.86%
/ -2.68$
MAE -2.21%
MFE +1.65%
0.7R
expires
19 Aug 05:50
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 74149)
#6 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5609
Quality Score
0.539
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 17:45
18/08 17:45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74149)
#6 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
score du 18/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5609
Quality Score
0.539
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.30×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 17:45
18/08 17:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 18/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3470
Score SMA
—
Rank
#39
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3378 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.05% · r3d: 1.18% · ema21_slope: -0.3948% · dist_ema21: -1.861% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4347 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.22% · rs_3d: -0.93% · beta_24h: 1.040 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1023 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.465 · trend: -78.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3879 | ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 67.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5832 | ATR%: 4.250% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5390
Score SMA
0.5279
Rank
#6
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5609
Rank Norm SMA
0.5911
Calculé le
18/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4303 | r1h: -0.553% · r4h: -0.954% · r1d: -1.54% · r3d: -2.21% · ema21_slope: -0.0639% · dist_ema21: -1.316% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4040 | rs_1h: -0.502% · rs_4h: -0.616% · rs_1d: -1.90% · rs_3d: -4.62% · beta_24h: 1.383 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6518 | rvol_20: 1.98× · zscore_50: 1.397 · trend: 41.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5238 | ADX: 11.8 (weak) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.930% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4397
Score SMA
0.4579
Rank
#41
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3191
Rank Norm SMA
0.3817
Calculé le
18/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4450 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.205% · r1d: -1.95% · r3d: -0.84% · ema21_slope: 0.0130% · dist_ema21: -1.203% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4283 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.131% · rs_1d: -2.07% · rs_3d: -3.25% · beta_24h: 0.992 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1714 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.273 · trend: -7.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4320 | ADX: 7.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.615% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.548%
(0.0405)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.126% | 0.1R | -0.491% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.164% | 0.1R | -0.491% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.649% | 0.7R | -0.491% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.649% | 0.7R | -0.887% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.649% | 0.7R | -2.209% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.649% | 0.7R | -11.640% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.51% | -0.15 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.59 | bull_medium | +1.12% | -0.44 | 18/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.44 | bull_low | +1.20% | -0.33 | 18/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.31% | -0.06 | 18/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 6.68×ATR | p85 | -0.821×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.587×ATR | p25 | -0.916×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.898×ATR | p71 | -1.948×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.821×ATR | p57 | -2.733×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8394
- reason: down_bo width=2.92×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.6298251
- tp_price: 1.48798725
- atr:
- score: 0.83938484806309
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T09:50:05.058488
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83938484806309
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1239
- obi_top10 : -0.1239
- micro_price : 1.58622049
- spread_pct : 0.031522
- mid_price : 1.58645
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0111
- obi_top5_std : 0.1058
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7118
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.6499
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.6068
- balance_zone_mid:
1.62835
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786946400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787086800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9218
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8394
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787083200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.6068
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1864
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01475098 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.9
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1864
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:50 | 1.58930000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:56 | 1.58930000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:03 | 1.58930000 | 0% |
| 4 | 22:38 | 1.58960000 | +0.019% |
| 5 | 22:44 | 1.58960000 | +0.019% |
| 6 | 22:50 | 1.58960000 | +0.019% |
| 7 | 22:56 | 1.58960000 | +0.019% |
| 8 | 23:03 | 1.58960000 | +0.019% |
| 9 | 23:38 | 1.59860000 | +0.585% |
| 10 | 23:43 | 1.59860000 | +0.585% |
| 11 | 23:49 | 1.59740000 | +0.51% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7118ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.124
avg -0.011
± 0.106
OBI Top 10
-0.124
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.5865
Micro Price
1.5862
Spread
0.0315%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5893 | 1.6298 | 1.488 | 2.5 | 4.6469 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5893
- Stop Loss: 1.6298
- Take Profit: 1.488
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6298 - 1.5893 = 0.0405
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5893 - 1.488 = 0.1013
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1013 / 0.0405 = 2.5012
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 313.7414 | 100 | 197.4085 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0405
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0405 = 197.53
Taille de position USD = 197.53 x 1.5893 = 313.93
Donc, tu peux acheter 197.53 avec un stoploss a 1.6298
Avec un position size USD de 313.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 197.53 x 0.0405 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 197.53 x 0.1013 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 197.53
- Taille de position USD 313.93
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5012
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.37 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.68 $ | -0.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2085 % | 86.67 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5893 | 1.6298 | 1.488 | 2.5 | 4.6469 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5893
- Stop Loss: 1.6298
- Take Profit: 1.488
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6298 - 1.5893 = 0.0405
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5893 - 1.488 = 0.1013
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1013 / 0.0405 = 2.5012
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.548%
(0.0405)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.126% | 0.1R | -0.491% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.164% | 0.1R | -0.491% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.649% | 0.7R | -0.491% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.649% | 0.7R | -0.887% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.649% | 0.7R | -2.209% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.649% | 0.7R | -11.640% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.