18 Aug 2026 at 18:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 64693.51 PUMP at 0.00297$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003041 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002843 (4.18 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 18:10 → 18:30 · 19 minutes

Position

Entry 0.002967$

Qty 64693.5145 PUMP

Size 191.9457$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.003041 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.79$

SL 0.002843 (-4.18%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.6

Status win PnL +2.49% / +4.79$ MAE -0.00% MFE +5.66% 1.4R expires 19 Aug 00:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 74214)
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4781

Quality Score
0.749
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
31.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 18:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74214)
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4781

Quality Score
0.749
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.66×ATR
4h near -1.30×ATR
1d near -0.71×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
31.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 18:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

18/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

18/08 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1625
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

—

expansion

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.65
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 18:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5473
Score SMA
—
Rank
#8 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8040 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.91% · r3d: 0.58% · ema21_slope: 1.9952% · dist_ema21: 10.724%
Force Relative 25% 0.6275 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.08% · rs_3d: -1.53% · beta_24h: 0.253
Volume 20% 0.1584 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.584 · trend: -2.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7833 ADX: 45.6 (trend) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.310% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.7488
Score SMA
0.5239
Rank
#1 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4781
Rank Norm SMA
0.5081
Calculé le
18/08/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7148 r1h: 2.879% · r4h: 4.271% · r1d: 5.59% · r3d: 5.47% · ema21_slope: 0.0624% · dist_ema21: 3.781%
Force Relative 25% 0.8026 rs_1h: 2.854% · rs_4h: 4.385% · rs_1d: 5.25% · rs_3d: 3.21% · beta_24h: 1.581
Volume 20% 0.7574 rvol_20: 2.83× · zscore_50: 1.222 · trend: 26.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5480 ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.595% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5393
Score SMA
0.4838
Rank
#10 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7021
Rank Norm SMA
0.5518
Calculé le
18/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6905 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.86% · r3d: 3.52% · ema21_slope: 0.1343% · dist_ema21: 1.371%
Force Relative 25% 0.5760 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.074% · rs_1d: 3.74% · rs_3d: 1.12% · beta_24h: 1.465
Volume 20% 0.1005 rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.690 · trend: -40.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5016 ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9283 ATR%: 3.215% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.179% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.764% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +5.662% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +5.662% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +5.662% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +5.662% 1.4R -1.146% 0.3R 4.9× 96
12h +5.662% 1.4R -1.146% 0.3R 4.9× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -0.7ATR 0.57 bear_high -2.51% +1.00 17/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early — near -1.3ATR 0.29 bull_medium +1.12% +0.05 18/08 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% late — near -0.7ATR 0.23 bull_low +1.20% +0.40 18/08 17:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 51% late — — 0.30 range_low +0.31% +0.40 18/08 17:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 35b — 6.96×ATR p89 +1.438×ATR p81
4h ↓ down early 10b — 1.167×ATR p0 +0.698×ATR p46
1h ↑ up late 4b — 2.697×ATR p54 +1.954×ATR p93
15m ↑ up late 18b — 5.74×ATR p77 +2.828×ATR p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00284334
  2. tp_price: 0.00304117
  3. atr: 4.946E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-19T04:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.7148
  4. delta_2h: 0.2005
  5. extension_atr: 2.55
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4781
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002967 0.002843 0.003041 0.6 0.004219
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002967
  • Stop Loss: 0.002843
  • Take Profit: 0.003041

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002843 - 0.002967 = -0.000124

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002967 - 0.003041 = -7.4E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.4E-5 / -0.000124 = 0.5968

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
191.9457 100 64693.5145 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000124

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000124 = -64516.13

Taille de position USD = -64516.13 x 0.002967 = -191.42

Donc, tu peux acheter -64516.13 avec un stoploss a 0.002843

Avec un position size USD de -191.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -64516.13 x -0.000124 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -64516.13 x -7.4E-5 = 4.77

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.77$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -64516.13
  • Taille de position USD -191.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.77
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5968

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.79 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.18 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
4.79 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002967 0.002843 0.003041 0.6 0.004219
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002967
  • Stop Loss: 0.002843
  • Take Profit: 0.003041

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002843 - 0.002967 = -0.000124

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002967 - 0.003041 = -7.4E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.4E-5 / -0.000124 = 0.5968

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.179% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.764% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +5.662% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +5.662% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +5.662% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +5.662% 1.4R -1.146% 0.3R 4.9× 96
12h +5.662% 1.4R -1.146% 0.3R 4.9× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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