Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 9.98 LINK at 14.986$ per unit. Take profit: 16.9897 (13.37 %) & Stop Loss: 14.1845 (5.35 %)
28 Sep 2026 at 15:42:47
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Sep 2026 15:42
→ 03:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 14.986$
Qty 9.9814 LINK
Size 149.582$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 16.9897 (+13.37%)
TP $ 20$
SL 14.1845 (-5.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.51%
/ +2.27$
MAE -2.42%
MFE +5.28%
1.0R
expires
29 Sep 03:42
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 162718)
#6 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 15:00
score du 28/09/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9503
Quality Score
0.751
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
73.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 15:30
28/09 15:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.54×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 28/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 28/09 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4295
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | compression | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
59.4%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 31.9% |
| 1h | 2.9% |
| 4h | 82.6% |
| 24h | 18.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.2% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 68.1% | +0.94% |
| 24h | 21.7% | -5.04% |
Dispersion :
0.128
Universe :
69
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
28/09 15:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6459
Score SMA
0.6392
Rank
#38
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5195
Rank Norm SMA
0.5312
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8110 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.93% · r3d: 5.99% · ema21_slope: 1.0224% · dist_ema21: 11.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6459 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.96% · rs_3d: 5.93% · beta_24h: 1.271 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4681 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.312 · trend: 56.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8432 | ADX: 41.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2099 | ATR%: 5.370% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.7507
Score SMA
0.5850
Rank
#6
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9503
Rank Norm SMA
0.5757
Calculé le
28/09/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7797 | r1h: 0.733% · r4h: 7.516% · r1d: 7.76% · r3d: 10.20% · ema21_slope: 0.2188% · dist_ema21: 5.926% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8392 | rs_1h: 0.525% · rs_4h: 6.270% · rs_1d: 8.66% · rs_3d: 10.09% · beta_24h: 3.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4792 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.372 · trend: 107.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7409 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 22.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.257% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8335
Score SMA
0.6410
Rank
#5
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9163
Rank Norm SMA
0.6229
Calculé le
28/09/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8184 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.449% · r1d: 2.22% · r3d: 4.32% · ema21_slope: 0.2557% · dist_ema21: 3.729% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7135 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.093% · rs_1d: 3.48% · rs_3d: 4.81% · beta_24h: 2.119 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.80× · zscore_50: 5.539 · trend: 186.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7304 | ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.348%
(0.8015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.549% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.956% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.683% | 0.7R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 78.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.278% | 1.0R | -1.221% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.278% | 1.0R | -2.416% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.278% | 1.0R | -3.450% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.85 | bull_high | +14.58% | +0.29 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.62 | bull_high | +1.73% | +0.63 | 28/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.62 | range_medium | +0.07% | +0.72 | 28/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.67 | range_low | -0.04% | +0.47 | 28/09 15:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
156307 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
late 11b 1.9ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.601 |
— near -1.1ATR |
1.16 | above_value | +7.21 ATR | — | #88034 |
26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:18
|
|
4h
163050 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
early 1b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.599 |
— near -1.5ATR |
5.80 | value | +1.12 ATR | — | #90993 |
28/09 08:00
upd 28/09 12:14
|
|
1h
anchor
164436 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
late 3b 2.1ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.551 |
— — |
0.84 | above_value | +3.35 ATR | — | #91615 |
28/09 14:00
upd 28/09 15:10
|
|
15m
164617 |
↑ up | bull_high |
65%
|
early 8b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.673 |
— — |
0.69 | above_value | +3.35 ATR | — | #91615 |
28/09 15:15
upd 28/09 15:31
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.527×ATR | p53 | +1.857×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 2.294×ATR | p10 | +1.365×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.503×ATR | p71 | +2.096×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.805×ATR | p16 | +0.619×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7884
- reason: up_bo width=1.64×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 14.18451315
- tp_price: 16.98971712
- atr:
- score: 0.7883632599795
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T07:42:39.450544
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7883632599795
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0715
- obi_top10 : -0.0734
- micro_price : 15.00653333
- spread_pct : 0.006664
- mid_price : 15.0065
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0724
- obi_top5_std : 0.0011
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6978
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
14.498
- balance_zone_bottom:
13.939
- balance_zone_mid:
14.2185
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790431200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790622000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.6448
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
54
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7884
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790611200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
14.498
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7407
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4358
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.33986847 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.7407
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4358
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:42 | 14.98600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:51 | 14.98600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:00 | 14.98600000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6978ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.072
avg -0.072
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
-0.073
Microstructure
Mid Price
15.0065
Micro Price
15.0065
Spread
0.0067%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.986 | 14.1845 | 16.9897 | 2.5 | 14.172 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.986
- Stop Loss: 14.1845
- Take Profit: 16.9897
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.1845 - 14.986 = -0.8015
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.986 - 16.9897 = -2.0037
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0037 / -0.8015 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149.582 | 100 | 9.9814 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.8015
Taille de position = 8 / -0.8015 = -9.98
Taille de position USD = -9.98 x 14.986 = -149.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.98 avec un stoploss a 14.1845
Avec un position size USD de -149.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.98 x -0.8015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.98 x -2.0037 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -9.98
- Taille de position USD -149.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.37 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.27 $ | 1.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4156 % | 45.17 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.986 | 14.1845 | 16.9897 | 2.5 | 14.172 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.986
- Stop Loss: 14.1845
- Take Profit: 16.9897
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.1845 - 14.986 = -0.8015
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.986 - 16.9897 = -2.0037
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0037 / -0.8015 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.348%
(0.8015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.549% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.956% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.683% | 0.7R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 78.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.278% | 1.0R | -1.221% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.278% | 1.0R | -2.416% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.278% | 1.0R | -3.450% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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