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Long Trade on PUMP

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28 Sep 2026 at 16:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 14829.09 PUMP at 0.00524$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005371 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004701 (10.29 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 16:15 → 22:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.00524$

Qty 14829.0947 PUMP

Size 77.7045$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.005371 (+2.5%)

TP $ 1.94$

SL 0.004701 (-10.29%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.24

Status loss PnL -9.10% / -7.07$ MAE -9.92% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 28 Sep 22:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 162860)
#9 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9388

Quality Score
0.655
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
266.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#9 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.38×ATR
4h near 0.22×ATR
1d near 0.14×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

28/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

28/09 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4297
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 44.1%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 69.0%
1h 0.0%
4h 57.8%
24h 16.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 59.2% +0.10%
4h 54.9% +0.22%
24h 19.7% -5.65%
Dispersion : 0.129
Universe : 71 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 16:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7020
Score SMA
0.4812
Rank
#23 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7143
Rank Norm SMA
0.1592
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9406 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 17.23% · r3d: 33.99% · ema21_slope: 0.7561% · dist_ema21: 23.567%
Force Relative 25% 0.8754 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 17.20% · rs_3d: 33.93% · beta_24h: 1.089
Volume 20% 0.4911 rvol_20: 1.67× · zscore_50: 0.422 · trend: 7.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6853 ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.340% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6550
Score SMA
0.5815
Rank
#9 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9388
Rank Norm SMA
0.4922
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6620 r1h: -2.897% · r4h: -0.274% · r1d: 3.75% · r3d: 22.54% · ema21_slope: 0.2193% · dist_ema21: 0.308%
Force Relative 25% 0.5994 rs_1h: -2.085% · rs_4h: -0.262% · rs_1d: 5.34% · rs_3d: 23.30% · beta_24h: 4.663
Volume 20% 0.5656 rvol_20: 1.28× · zscore_50: 1.214 · trend: 70.09%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7090 ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5624 ATR%: 4.313% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7803
Score SMA
0.5678
Rank
#7 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9261
Rank Norm SMA
0.3793
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8194 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.274% · r1d: 3.75% · r3d: 22.54% · ema21_slope: 0.8882% · dist_ema21: 8.638%
Force Relative 25% 0.8113 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.262% · rs_1d: 5.34% · rs_3d: 23.30% · beta_24h: 2.099
Volume 20% 0.9984 rvol_20: 2.99× · zscore_50: 3.451 · trend: 179.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7645 ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 31.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2088 ATR%: 5.374% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.286% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -5.057% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -6.947% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -9.122% 0.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.924% 1.0R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -10.687% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -10.687% 1.0R 0.0× 144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% late — near 0.1ATR 0.51 bull_high +14.58% +0.77 26/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 45% late — near 0.2ATR 0.27 bull_high +1.73% +0.99 28/09 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 36% early — near 0.4ATR 0.37 range_medium +0.07% +0.28 28/09 14:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 32% mid — — 0.54 range_low -0.33% +0.12 28/09 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156505 		↑ up bull_high
66%
late 11b 2.2ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.673

—

near 0.1ATR

1.67 above_value +4.98 ATR inside #88082 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:26
4h
163202 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
late 1b 1.8ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.526

—

near 0.2ATR

4.11 above_value +3.23 ATR — #91046 28/09 08:00
upd 28/09 12:21
1h anchor
164490 		↑ up bull_high
52%
early 2b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.551

—

near 0.4ATR

0.67 above_value +3.46 ATR — #91669 28/09 14:00
upd 28/09 15:12
15m
164842 		↔ neutral bull_high
57%
mid 14b -0.8ATR noisy_chop 32% 0.624

—

—

0.96 above_value +3.46 ATR — #91669 28/09 15:45
upd 28/09 16:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 11b — 3.68×ATR p55 +2.209×ATR p90
4h ↑ up late 1b — 1.409×ATR p0 +1.773×ATR p86
1h ↓ down early 2b — 1.475×ATR p5 +0.674×ATR p36
15m ↓ down mid 14b — 3.782×ATR p70 -0.848×ATR p50

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00470052
  2. tp_price: 0.005371
  3. atr: 0.00021579
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T02:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 89
  3. score: 0.7436
  4. delta_2h: 0.066
  5. extension_atr: 0.65
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9416
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00524 0.004701 0.005371 0.24 0.006372
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00524
  • Stop Loss: 0.004701
  • Take Profit: 0.005371

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004701 - 0.00524 = -0.000539

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00524 - 0.005371 = -0.000131

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000131 / -0.000539 = 0.243

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
77.7045 77.7045 14829.0947 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000539

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000539 = -14842.3

Taille de position USD = -14842.3 x 0.00524 = -77.77

Donc, tu peux acheter -14842.3 avec un stoploss a 0.004701

Avec un position size USD de -77.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -14842.3 x -0.000539 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -14842.3 x -0.000131 = 1.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -14842.3
  • Taille de position USD -77.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.243

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 1.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.29 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.07 $ -9.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-9.9237 % 96.47 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00524 0.004701 0.005371 0.24 0.006372
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00524
  • Stop Loss: 0.004701
  • Take Profit: 0.005371

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004701 - 0.00524 = -0.000539

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00524 - 0.005371 = -0.000131

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000131 / -0.000539 = 0.243

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.286% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -5.057% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -6.947% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -9.122% 0.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.924% 1.0R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -10.687% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -10.687% 1.0R 0.0× 144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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