Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 173.27 RUNE at 0.786$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8057 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7398 (5.88 %)
28 Sep 2026 at 17:15:14
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Sep 2026 17:15
→ 23:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.786$
Qty 173.2731 RUNE
Size 136.1944$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8057 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.41$
SL 0.7398 (-5.88%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.43
Status
loss
PnL
-2.91%
/ -3.96$
MAE -4.58%
MFE +0.42%
0.1R
expires
28 Sep 23:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 162995)
#8 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 17:00
score du 28/09/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8369
Quality Score
0.678
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 17:00
28/09 17:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.87×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/09 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4301
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.7%
Impulse :
+0.01
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 56.3% |
| 1h | 91.6% |
| 4h | 46.5% |
| 24h | 16.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 47.9% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 56.3% | -0.15% |
| 24h | 21.1% | -4.55% |
Dispersion :
0.149
Universe :
71
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
28/09 17:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8205
Score SMA
0.6668
Rank
#8
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9091
Rank Norm SMA
0.7044
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9027 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.81% · r3d: 19.12% · ema21_slope: 2.1353% · dist_ema21: 28.287% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8520 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.84% · rs_3d: 19.06% · beta_24h: 1.642 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.59× · zscore_50: 5.458 · trend: 288.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9111 | ADX: 49.3 (trend) · Chop: 9.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.283% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6778
Score SMA
0.6036
Rank
#8
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8369
Rank Norm SMA
0.5932
Calculé le
28/09/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7803 | r1h: 0.270% · r4h: 4.963% · r1d: 3.69% · r3d: 21.54% · ema21_slope: 0.1001% · dist_ema21: 4.058% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7981 | rs_1h: 0.092% · rs_4h: 5.202% · rs_1d: 4.87% · rs_3d: 21.96% · beta_24h: 2.218 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2065 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.621 · trend: -14.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6857 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 36.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.464% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7958
Score SMA
0.6767
Rank
#8
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9148
Rank Norm SMA
0.7646
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9529 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.808% · r1d: 3.40% · r3d: 21.06% · ema21_slope: 0.7675% · dist_ema21: 7.707% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9337 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.820% · rs_1d: 5.00% · rs_3d: 21.81% · beta_24h: 2.383 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4632 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.734 · trend: 31.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8593 | ADX: 46.7 (trend) · Chop: 41.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5502 | ATR%: 4.349% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.878%
(0.0462)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.400% | 0.1R | -2.461% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.400% | 0.1R | -2.461% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.416% | 0.1R | -2.461% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.416% | 0.1R | -4.580% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.486% | 0.1R | -4.580% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.718% | 0.3R | -4.580% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bull_high | +14.58% | +1.00 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +1.68% | +0.97 | 28/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.44 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.35 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.52 | 28/09 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
156353 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
late 28b 3.3ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.724 |
— — |
6.59 | above_value | +7.37 ATR | — | #88043 |
26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:20
|
|
4h
164916 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
mid 2b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 48% | 0.581 |
— — |
1.16 | value | +1.88 ATR | — | #91805 |
28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor
165420 |
↑ up | bull_high |
64%
|
mid 11b 1.6ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.487 |
— — |
0.23 | value | +2.02 ATR | — | #92075 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 17:10
|
|
15m
165337 |
↑ up | bull_high |
52%
|
early 5b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.505 |
— near 0.3ATR |
0.12 | value | +1.88 ATR | — | #91805 |
28/09 16:45
upd 28/09 17:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 28b | — | 6.49×ATR | p69 | +3.259×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.248×ATR | p5 | +1.317×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 4.066×ATR | p76 | +1.62×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.983×ATR | p0 | +0.9×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.7398401
- tp_price: 0.80566025
- atr: 0.01846796
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T03:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 4
- total: 89
- score: 0.7803
- delta_2h: 0.0296
- extension_atr: 1.53
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8397
- confidence: 0.966
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.786 | 0.7398 | 0.8057 | 0.43 | 0.7968 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.786
- Stop Loss: 0.7398
- Take Profit: 0.8057
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7398 - 0.786 = -0.0462
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.786 - 0.8057 = -0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0197 / -0.0462 = 0.4264
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136.1944 | 100 | 173.2731 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0462
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0462 = -173.16
Taille de position USD = -173.16 x 0.786 = -136.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -173.16 avec un stoploss a 0.7398
Avec un position size USD de -136.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -173.16 x -0.0462 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -173.16 x -0.0197 = 3.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.41$
Résumé
- Taille de position -173.16
- Taille de position USD -136.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.41
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4264
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.88 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.96 $ | -2.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5802 % | 77.92 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.786 | 0.7398 | 0.8057 | 0.43 | 0.7968 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.786
- Stop Loss: 0.7398
- Take Profit: 0.8057
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7398 - 0.786 = -0.0462
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.786 - 0.8057 = -0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0197 / -0.0462 = 0.4264
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.878%
(0.0462)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.400% | 0.1R | -2.461% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.400% | 0.1R | -2.461% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.416% | 0.1R | -2.461% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.416% | 0.1R | -4.580% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.486% | 0.1R | -4.580% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.718% | 0.3R | -4.580% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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