Long Trade on VIRTUAL

Previous Trade Next Trade

28 Sep 2026 at 17:15:38 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VIRTUAL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 307.47 VIRTUAL at 0.836$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9014 (7.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8103 (3.11 %)

VIRTUAL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 17:15 → 17:45 · 29 minutes

Position

Entry 0.8363$

Qty 307.4655 VIRTUAL

Size 257.1488$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.9014 (+7.78%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.8103 (-3.11%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.11% / -7.99$ MAE -7.05% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 29 Sep 05:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163029)

#14 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7766

Quality Score

0.579

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

7.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 17:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#14 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.11 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#14 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.11 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.52×ATR
4h	near	0.25×ATR
1d	clear	1.69×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/09 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

28/09 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4301

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 43.7%

Impulse : +0.01

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	56.3%
1h	91.6%
4h	46.5%
24h	16.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	47.9%	+0.06%
4h	56.3%	-0.15%
24h	21.1%	-4.55%

Dispersion : 0.149

Universe : 71 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6995

Score SMA

0.5587

Rank

#24 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7013

Rank Norm SMA

0.2955

Calculé le

27/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9640	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.12% · r3d: 12.79% · ema21_slope: 1.0272% · dist_ema21: 18.433%
Force Relative	25%	0.8577	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.10% · rs_3d: 12.73% · beta_24h: 1.478
Volume	20%	0.4212	rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.243 · trend: 16.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7440	ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 34.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.494% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.5793

Score SMA

0.5971

Rank

#14 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7766

Rank Norm SMA

0.6650

Calculé le

28/09/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6845	r1h: 3.647% · r4h: 2.347% · r1d: 2.88% · r3d: 6.60% · ema21_slope: 0.0112% · dist_ema21: 3.155%
Force Relative	25%	0.7882	rs_1h: 3.469% · rs_4h: 2.586% · rs_1d: 4.07% · rs_3d: 7.02% · beta_24h: 4.246
Volume	20%	0.3687	rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: 0.240 · trend: 32.87%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4669	ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.763% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.6896

Score SMA

0.6569

Rank

#12 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8750

Rank Norm SMA

0.7377

Calculé le

28/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7215	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.374% · r1d: -1.40% · r3d: 3.00% · ema21_slope: 0.3041% · dist_ema21: 1.836%
Force Relative	25%	0.6727	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.386% · rs_1d: 0.20% · rs_3d: 3.75% · beta_24h: 3.507
Volume	20%	0.7846	rvol_20: 2.15× · zscore_50: 1.966 · trend: 92.05%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6053	ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 61.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5730	ATR%: 4.281% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.109% (0.0260)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.112%	1.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.112%	1.3R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.974%	1.6R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.048%	2.3R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.048%	2.3R	0.0×	143
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.811%	2.5R	0.0×	288

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	—	0.72	bull_high	+14.58%	+0.61	26/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.57	bull_high	+1.68%	+0.26	28/09 12:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	near -0.5ATR	0.57	range_medium	-0.54%	+0.04	28/09 16:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	near -0.3ATR	0.68	range_low	-0.14%	+0.34	28/09 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 156481	↑ up	bull_high	65%	late 11b 2.5ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.586	— —	1.23	above_value	+9.23 ATR	—	#88074	26/09 20:00 upd 27/09 20:25
4h 165018	↑ up	bull_high	63%	early 4b 0.4ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.682	— near 0.2ATR	2.15	above_value	-0.39 ATR	—	#91839	28/09 12:00 upd 28/09 16:20
1h anchor 165454	↑ up	bull_high	61%	mid 5b 1.1ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.645	— near -0.5ATR	0.76	above_value	+0.90 ATR	—	#92109	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 17:12
15m 165367	↑ up	bull_high	63%	mid 5b 1.2ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.589	— near -0.3ATR	0.30	above_value	-0.39 ATR	—	#91839	28/09 16:45 upd 28/09 17:03
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	11b	—	4.881×ATR	p57	+2.491×ATR	p96
4h	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.425×ATR	p0	+0.392×ATR	p25
1h	↑ up	mid	5b	—	2.608×ATR	p52	+1.051×ATR	p48
15m	↑ up	mid	5b	—	2.349×ATR	p30	+1.209×ATR	p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.7914
reason: up_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.81033082
tp_price: 0.90139796
atr:
score: 0.79141316275848
expires_at: 2026-09-29T09:15:30.020477
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.79141316275848

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0719
obi_top10 : 0.0395
micro_price : 0.83217778
spread_pct : 0.048077
mid_price : 0.8322
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.836
ask_wall_size : 57847.2
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.053
obi_top5_std : 0.0656
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7010
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.834225
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.79081
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.8125175
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1790510400
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1790629200
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
1.9854
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
34
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7914
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1790625600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.834225
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.7353
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.0972
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
7
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
7
```
regime : bull_high_confirmed
atr_entry : 0.02186685

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.7353

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.0972

Signaux confirmants (3)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	17:15	0.83635000	+0.006%
2	17:25	0.83635000	+0.006%
3	17:34	0.83635000	+0.006%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7010ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.072

avg 0.053 ± 0.066

OBI Top 10 0.040

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.8322

Micro Price

0.8322

Spread

0.0481%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.8360

Size

57,847.20

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8363	0.8103	0.9014	2.5	0.7924

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8363
Stop Loss: 0.8103
Take Profit: 0.9014

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8103 - 0.8363 = -0.026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8363 - 0.9014 = -0.0651
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0651 / -0.026 = 2.5038

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
257.1488	100	307.4655	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.026

Taille de position = 8 / -0.026 = -307.69

Taille de position USD = -307.69 x 0.8363 = -257.32

Donc, tu peux acheter -307.69 avec un stoploss a 0.8103

Avec un position size USD de -257.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -307.69 x -0.026 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -307.69 x -0.0651 = 20.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$

Résumé

Taille de position -307.69
Taille de position USD -257.32
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.03
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5038

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
7.78 %	20.02 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.11 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.99 $	-3.11

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.2692 %	105.16 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8363	0.8103	0.9014	2.5	0.7924

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8363
Stop Loss: 0.8103
Take Profit: 0.9014

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8103 - 0.8363 = -0.026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8363 - 0.9014 = -0.0651
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0651 / -0.026 = 2.5038

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.9014
            [entry_price] => 0.8363
            [stop_loss] => 0.8077
            [rr_ratio] => 2.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-28 21:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.9014
            [entry_price] => 0.8363
            [stop_loss] => 0.8051
            [rr_ratio] => 2.09
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-28 22:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.9014
            [entry_price] => 0.8363
            [stop_loss] => 0.8025
            [rr_ratio] => 1.93
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-28 22:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.9014
            [entry_price] => 0.8363
            [stop_loss] => 0.7973
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 01:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.109% (0.0260)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.112%	1.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.112%	1.3R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.974%	1.6R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.048%	2.3R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.048%	2.3R	0.0×	143
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.811%	2.5R	0.0×	288

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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