28 Sep 2026 at 17:49:54 hyperliquid

Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)

With 1.87 AAVE at 146.22$ per unit. Take profit: 135.5467 (7.3 %) & Stop Loss: 150.4893 (2.92 %)

AAVE SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 17:49 → 01:25 · 7 hours

Position

Entry 146.22$

Qty 1.8738 AAVE

Size 273.993$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 135.5467 (+7.3%)

TP $ 20$

SL 150.4893 (-2.92%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.92% / -8$ MAE -2.58% MFE +0.69% 0.2R

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 162990)
#44 / 89 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5449

Quality Score
0.480
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 17:45

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#44 / 89 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#44 / 89 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.50×ATR
4h clear 1.98×ATR
1d clear 3.78×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4304
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 20.8%
Impulse : -0.13
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 19.4%
1h 13.9%
4h 15.3%
24h 15.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 19.4% -0.21%
4h 25.0% -1.15%
24h 18.1% -5.15%
Dispersion : 0.126
Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 17:46 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5910
Score SMA
0.5903
Rank
#54 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3117
Rank Norm SMA
0.3716
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8182 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.71% · r3d: 5.25% · ema21_slope: 1.1776% · dist_ema21: 11.592%
Force Relative 25% 0.6620 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.73% · rs_3d: 5.18% · beta_24h: 1.327
Volume 20% 0.3007 rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.271 · trend: 8.70%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7993 ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.038% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4801
Score SMA
0.5461
Rank
#44 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5449
Rank Norm SMA
0.4721
Calculé le
28/09/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4451 r1h: 0.688% · r4h: 0.136% · r1d: -4.32% · r3d: -2.76% · ema21_slope: -0.1554% · dist_ema21: -0.861%
Force Relative 25% 0.4705 rs_1h: 0.511% · rs_4h: 0.374% · rs_1d: -3.13% · rs_3d: -2.33% · beta_24h: 2.184
Volume 20% 0.2095 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.409 · trend: -22.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5805 ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.651% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5190
Score SMA
0.5943
Rank
#45 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5114
Rank Norm SMA
0.5191
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5643 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.576% · r1d: -5.04% · r3d: -4.38% · ema21_slope: 0.0700% · dist_ema21: -2.329%
Force Relative 25% 0.4673 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.588% · rs_1d: -3.45% · rs_3d: -3.62% · beta_24h: 1.949
Volume 20% 0.2480 rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.518 · trend: -9.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5554 ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.862% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.920% (4.2693)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.691% 0.2R -0.746% 0.3R 0.9× 12
2h +0.691% 0.2R -2.086% 0.7R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +0.691% 0.2R -2.578% 0.9R 0.3× 48
8h +0.691% 0.2R -5.410% 1.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.691% 0.2R -15.333% 5.3R 0.1× 144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.69 bull_high +14.58% +0.72 26/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 32% early — — 0.58 bull_high +1.68% +0.04 28/09 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 43% early near 0.5ATR near -0.1ATR 0.55 range_medium -0.54% -0.32 28/09 16:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 39% mid near 0.0ATR — 0.78 range_low -0.27% -0.03 28/09 17:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156327
↔ neutral bull_high
63%
mid 11b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.558

—

—

0.75 above_value +5.08 ATR — #88038 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:19
4h
164903
↑ up bull_high
57%
early 9b -0.9ATR noisy_chop 32% 0.555

—

—

0.68 value -3.18 ATR — #91800 28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:15
1h anchor
165415
↓ down bear_high
47%
early 3b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.408

near 0.5ATR

near -0.1ATR

0.46 above_value -2.80 ATR — #92070 28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 17:10
15m
165686
↓ down bear_high
59%
mid 2b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.497

near 0.0ATR

—

0.15 above_value -2.80 ATR — #92070 28/09 17:30
upd 28/09 17:46
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 11b — 4.449×ATR p67 +1.522×ATR p74
4h ↓ down early 9b — 2.566×ATR p13 -0.948×ATR p57
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.012×ATR p2 -0.487×ATR p22
15m ↓ down mid 2b — 1.675×ATR p10 -1.204×ATR p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.79
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=2|shallow|bars_since_bos=7|retests=1|break_atr=0.44|prog=0.53|zone=tested
  4. stop_price: 150.48930692
  5. tp_price: 135.54673271
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.406
  12. trend_strength : -0.187
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.3177
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.9322
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.5181
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.83938
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.4036
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.8908
  20. extension_ratio : 1.3108
  21. compression_score : 0.8839
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -1.6888
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3711
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.2207
  26. pivot_count : 29
  27. swing_count : 28
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    150.27
  31. last_pivot_index:
    145
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : early_expansion
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : expansion
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : mid_range
  45. confidence : 0.516
  46. state : down_early_expansion_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.289
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4987
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3545
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2378
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.45
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8908
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3221
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.394
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3423
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.928
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6062
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.5337
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0528
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0494
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.7091
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.439
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.5
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    7
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5244
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.4036
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.1138
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8908
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.7738
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.439
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.3446
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2333
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.88
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.3054
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5432
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4272
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8789
  85. features_range_position:
    0.5337
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -4.1722
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    4.7756
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.087
  99. obi_top10 : -0.0423
  100. micro_price : 146.2125
  101. spread_pct : 0.006839
  102. mid_price : 146.215
  103. bid_wall_price : 144
  104. bid_wall_size : 11986.1
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 147
  107. ask_wall_size : 7253.34
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.091
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0102
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7003
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-24 22:00:00
        [price] => 143.47
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 00:00:00
        [price] => 147.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 07:00:00
        [price] => 142.84
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 11:00:00
        [price] => 149.93
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 12:00:00
        [price] => 146
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 18:00:00
        [price] => 156.14
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 21:00:00
        [price] => 150.59
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 01:00:00
        [price] => 156.91
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 09:00:00
        [price] => 152.06
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 16:00:00
        [price] => 156.19
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 152.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 07:00:00
        [price] => 157.57
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 151.69
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 18:00:00
        [price] => 156.12
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 22:00:00
        [price] => 152.83
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 00:00:00
        [price] => 156.51
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 146.3
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 13:00:00
        [price] => 151.03
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 14:00:00
        [price] => 144.07
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
        [price] => 150.27
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 21:15:00
        [price] => 155.3
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 22:00:00
        [price] => 153.25
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 22:15:00
        [price] => 155.11
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 00:15:00
        [price] => 156.51
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 05:30:00
        [price] => 148.25
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 06:00:00
        [price] => 150.8
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 07:45:00
        [price] => 146.82
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 08:15:00
        [price] => 148.73
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 146.37
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 09:15:00
        [price] => 148.27
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 13:30:00
        [price] => 151.03
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 14:45:00
        [price] => 144.07
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
        [price] => 146.49
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 17:15:00
        [price] => 150.27
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  157. pivots_15m_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 19:30:00
        [price] => 146.09
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  158. pivots_15m_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 21:00:00
        [price] => 148.43
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  159. bos_level_long : 0
  160. bos_level_short : 146.3
  161. strategy_details
  162. levels_hl_price:
    144.07
  163. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-09-28 14:00:00
  164. levels_hh_price:
    150.27
  165. levels_lh_price:
    150.27
  166. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-09-28 17:00:00
  167. levels_ll_price:
    144.07
  168. strategy_details
  169. demand_zone_top:
    146.59
  170. demand_zone_bottom:
    142.84
  171. demand_zone_mid:
    144.715
  172. demand_zone_freshness: weak
  173. demand_zone_strength:
    0.8296
  174. strategy_details
  175. supply_zone_top:
    151.03
  176. supply_zone_bottom:
    147.58
  177. supply_zone_mid:
    149.305
  178. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  179. supply_zone_strength:
    0.8849
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 1H : bear_high
  183. 15m : bear_high
  184. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:49 146.22000000 0%
2 17:59 146.22000000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 41%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.187
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.318
Low Δ ATR
-0.932

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.518
Speed
0.839
Efficiency
0.404

Structure

Retracement
0.891
Extension
1.311
Compression
0.884
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.689
Dist High ATR
-1.371
Dist Low ATR
1.221
29 pivots · 28 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 150.2700 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_grind
Confidence 52%

Context

phase early_expansion
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility expansion
risk mid_range
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.289
Strength Score 0.499
Quality Score 0.355
Cleanliness Score 0.238
Structural Quality 0.450
Pullback Score 0.891
Exhaustion Score 0.322
Continuation Score 0.394
Structure Score 0.342
Volatility Expansion 0.928
Momentum Type Score 0.606
Risk Score 0.534
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.053
Ema50 Slope
-0.049
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.709
Price Vs Ema50
-1.439
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.500
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.500
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
7.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.524
Trend Efficiency
0.404
Impulse Strength
3.114
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.891
Pullback Depth Atr
2.774
Extension From Mean
-1.439
Impulse Decay Score
0.345
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.233
Volatility Percentile
0.880
Volatility Delta
0.305
Body Ratio
0.543
Closes Position Ratio
0.427
Slope Consistency
0.879
Range Position
0.534
Distance To Recent High
-4.172
Distance To Recent Low
4.776
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7003ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.087
avg 0.091 ± 0.010
OBI Top 10 -0.042

Microstructure

Mid Price
146.2150
Micro Price
146.2125
Spread
0.0068%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
144.0000
Size
11,986.10

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
147.0000
Size
7,253.34

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
146.22 150.4893 135.5467 2.5 181.16
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 146.22
  • Stop Loss: 150.4893
  • Take Profit: 135.5467

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 150.4893 - 146.22 = 4.2693

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 146.22 - 135.5467 = 10.6733

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.6733 / 4.2693 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
273.993 100 1.8738 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 4.2693

Taille de position = 8 / 4.2693 = 1.87

Taille de position USD = 1.87 x 146.22 = 273.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.87 avec un stoploss a 150.4893

Avec un position size USD de 273.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.87 x 4.2693 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.87 x 10.6733 = 19.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.87
  • Taille de position USD 273.43
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel 19.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.3 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.92 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.3238 % 113.84 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
146.22 150.4893 135.5467 2.5 181.16
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 146.22
  • Stop Loss: 150.4893
  • Take Profit: 135.5467

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 150.4893 - 146.22 = 4.2693

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 146.22 - 135.5467 = 10.6733

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.6733 / 4.2693 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.920% (4.2693)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.691% 0.2R -0.746% 0.3R 0.9× 12
2h +0.691% 0.2R -2.086% 0.7R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +0.691% 0.2R -2.578% 0.9R 0.3× 48
8h +0.691% 0.2R -5.410% 1.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.691% 0.2R -15.333% 5.3R 0.1× 144

computed 4 days ago

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