Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 1.87 AAVE at 146.22$ per unit. Take profit: 135.5467 (7.3 %) & Stop Loss: 150.4893 (2.92 %)
Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 1.87 AAVE at 146.22$ per unit. Take profit: 135.5467 (7.3 %) & Stop Loss: 150.4893 (2.92 %)
Position
Entry 146.22$
Qty 1.8738 AAVE
Size 273.993$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 135.5467 (+7.3%)
TP $ 20$
SL 150.4893 (-2.92%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5449
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.50×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.98×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.78×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 19.4% |
| 1h | 13.9% |
| 4h | 15.3% |
| 24h | 15.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 19.4% | -0.21% |
| 4h | 25.0% | -1.15% |
| 24h | 18.1% | -5.15% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8182 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.71% · r3d: 5.25% · ema21_slope: 1.1776% · dist_ema21: 11.592% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6620 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.73% · rs_3d: 5.18% · beta_24h: 1.327 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3007 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.271 · trend: 8.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7993 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.038% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4451 | r1h: 0.688% · r4h: 0.136% · r1d: -4.32% · r3d: -2.76% · ema21_slope: -0.1554% · dist_ema21: -0.861% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4705 | rs_1h: 0.511% · rs_4h: 0.374% · rs_1d: -3.13% · rs_3d: -2.33% · beta_24h: 2.184 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2095 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.409 · trend: -22.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5805 | ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.651% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5643 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.576% · r1d: -5.04% · r3d: -4.38% · ema21_slope: 0.0700% · dist_ema21: -2.329% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4673 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.588% · rs_1d: -3.45% · rs_3d: -3.62% · beta_24h: 1.949 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2480 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.518 · trend: -9.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5554 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.862% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -0.746% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -2.086% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.691% | 0.2R | -2.578% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -5.410% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -15.333% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +14.58% | +0.72 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +1.68% | +0.04 | 28/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.5ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.55 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.32 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.78 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.03 | 28/09 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
156327 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
63%
|
mid 11b 1.5ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.558 |
— — |
0.75 | above_value | +5.08 ATR | — | #88038 |
26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:19
|
|
4h
164903 |
↑ up | bull_high |
57%
|
early 9b -0.9ATR | noisy_chop 32% | 0.555 |
— — |
0.68 | value | -3.18 ATR | — | #91800 |
28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor
165415 |
↓ down | bear_high |
47%
|
early 3b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.408 |
near 0.5ATR near -0.1ATR |
0.46 | above_value | -2.80 ATR | — | #92070 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 17:10
|
|
15m
165686 |
↓ down | bear_high |
59%
|
mid 2b -1.2ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.497 |
near 0.0ATR — |
0.15 | above_value | -2.80 ATR | — | #92070 |
28/09 17:30
upd 28/09 17:46
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 4.449×ATR | p67 | +1.522×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.566×ATR | p13 | -0.948×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.012×ATR | p2 | -0.487×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.675×ATR | p10 | -1.204×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
150.27
145
0.289
0.4987
0.3545
0.2378
0.45
0.8908
0.3221
0.394
0.3423
0.928
0.6062
0.5337
-0.0528
-0.0494
0
-0.7091
-1.439
0.5
0.5
-1
7
1
0.5244
0.4036
3.1138
0.55
0.8908
2.7738
-1.439
0.3446
0.2333
0.88
0.3054
0.5432
0.4272
0.8789
0.5337
-4.1722
4.7756
1
0
1
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[time] => 2026-09-24 22:00:00
[price] => 143.47
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[label] => HL
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Array
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[price] => 147.99
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Array
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[price] => 156.51
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[price] => 146.3
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[price] => 155.3
[kind] => high
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[price] => 153.25
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[label] =>
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[price] => 155.11
[kind] => high
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[price] => 156.51
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[time] => 2026-09-28 06:00:00
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[price] => 146.82
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[label] => HH
)
Array
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[price] => 144.07
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
[price] => 146.49
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
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[price] => 150.27
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
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[price] => 146.09
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[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 21:00:00
[price] => 148.43
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
144.07
150.27
150.27
144.07
146.59
142.84
144.715
0.8296
151.03
147.58
149.305
0.8849
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:49 | 146.22000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:59 | 146.22000000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146.22 | 150.4893 | 135.5467 | 2.5 | 181.16 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 150.4893 - 146.22 = 4.2693
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 146.22 - 135.5467 = 10.6733
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.6733 / 4.2693 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 273.993 | 100 | 1.8738 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.2693 = 1.87
Taille de position USD = 1.87 x 146.22 = 273.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.87 avec un stoploss a 150.4893
Avec un position size USD de 273.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.87 x 4.2693 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.87 x 10.6733 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.3 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.92 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3238 % | 113.84 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146.22 | 150.4893 | 135.5467 | 2.5 | 181.16 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 150.4893 - 146.22 = 4.2693
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 146.22 - 135.5467 = 10.6733
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.6733 / 4.2693 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -0.746% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -2.086% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.691% | 0.2R | -2.578% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -5.410% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.691% | 0.2R | -15.333% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
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