Short Trade on DASH (BosPullback)
With 4.05 DASH at 63.89$ per unit. Take profit: 58.947 (7.74 %) & Stop Loss: 65.8672 (3.09 %)
Short Trade on DASH (BosPullback)
With 4.05 DASH at 63.89$ per unit. Take profit: 58.947 (7.74 %) & Stop Loss: 65.8672 (3.09 %)
Position
Entry 63.89$
Qty 4.0461 DASH
Size 258.5059$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 58.947 (+7.74%)
TP $ 20$
SL 65.8672 (-3.09%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3825
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.83×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 18.1% |
| 1h | 13.9% |
| 4h | 15.3% |
| 24h | 15.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 27.8% | -0.12% |
| 4h | 25.0% | -1.15% |
| 24h | 18.1% | -5.15% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8208 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.67% · r3d: 7.96% · ema21_slope: 1.2942% · dist_ema21: 15.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7264 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.70% · rs_3d: 7.90% · beta_24h: 0.805 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3923 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.001 · trend: 58.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7964 | ADX: 44.1 (trend) · Chop: 47.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.600% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3378 | r1h: -0.720% · r4h: -1.960% · r1d: -6.77% · r3d: 2.84% · ema21_slope: -0.2209% · dist_ema21: -2.150% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4287 | rs_1h: -0.333% · rs_4h: -1.146% · rs_1d: -5.04% · rs_3d: 3.54% · beta_24h: 2.536 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1416 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.875 · trend: -69.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5353 | ADX: 27.2 (trend) · Chop: 61.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.983% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5979 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.522% · r1d: -8.24% · r3d: 0.87% · ema21_slope: 0.2576% · dist_ema21: -3.377% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4842 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.510% · rs_1d: -6.64% · rs_3d: 1.62% · beta_24h: 2.729 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1680 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.498 · trend: -49.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6353 | ADX: 28.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5582 | ATR%: 4.326% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.047% | 0.0R | -1.942% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.047% | 0.0R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.040% | 1.6R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.358% | 2.4R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.358% | 2.4R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.358% | 2.4R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 288 |
computed 2 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.54 | bull_high | +14.58% | +0.23 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.68% | +0.13 | 28/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.43 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.4ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.49 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.07 | 28/09 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
156547 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
mid 12b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.723 |
— near 0.4ATR |
0.80 | value | -2.99 ATR | — | #88096 |
26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:27
|
|
4h
165097 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
60%
|
mid 11b -0.8ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.684 |
— — |
0.25 | above_value | -6.28 ATR | — | #91865 |
28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:23
|
|
1h
anchor
165480 |
↓ down | bear_high |
56%
|
early 2b -0.8ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.428 |
— near -0.1ATR |
0.20 | value | -5.64 ATR | — | #92135 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 17:13
|
|
15m
165752 |
↓ down | bear_high |
64%
|
early 2b -0.6ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.383 |
near -0.4ATR near 0.4ATR |
0.67 | value | -5.64 ATR | — | #92135 |
28/09 17:30
upd 28/09 17:48
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.877×ATR | p5 | +1.339×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.612×ATR | p53 | -0.761×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 0.915×ATR | p4 | -0.845×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.376×ATR | p0 | -0.615×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65.762
146
0.2589
0.4602
0.3705
0.2368
0.48
0.8107
0.3477
0.3742
0.3046
0.6265
0.5841
0.4495
-0.0863
-0.0646
0
-0.7395
-1.5527
0.45
0.55
-1
7
1
0.5265
0.3157
2.7029
0.6
0.8107
2.1912
-1.5527
0.3664
0.2612
0.44
0.2438
0.5491
0.4388
0.9009
0.4495
-7.1322
5.8228
1
0
1
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[price] => 67.847
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[label] => LL
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[price] => 65.729
[kind] => high
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[time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
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63.073
65.762
65.762
63.073
63.5
62.08
62.79
0.8101
66.39
64.389
65.3895
0.7768
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63.89 | 65.8672 | 58.947 | 2.5 | 58.993 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65.8672 - 63.89 = 1.9772
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63.89 - 58.947 = 4.943
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.943 / 1.9772 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 258.5059 | 100 | 4.0461 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.9772 = 4.05
Taille de position USD = 4.05 x 63.89 = 258.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.05 avec un stoploss a 65.8672
Avec un position size USD de 258.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.05 x 1.9772 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.05 x 4.943 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.74 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.09 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 7.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8173 % | 91.04 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63.89 | 65.8672 | 58.947 | 2.5 | 58.993 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65.8672 - 63.89 = 1.9772
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63.89 - 58.947 = 4.943
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.943 / 1.9772 = 2.5
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 59.9356
[stop_loss] => 65.8672
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 02:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.047% | 0.0R | -1.942% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.047% | 0.0R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.040% | 1.6R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.358% | 2.4R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.358% | 2.4R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.358% | 2.4R | -2.817% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 288 |
computed 2 days ago
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