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Long Trade on HBAR

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28 Sep 2026 at 18:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HBAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 665.25 HBAR at 0.122$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1256 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1105 (9.8 %)

HBAR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 18:15 → 00:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1225$

Qty 665.2475 HBAR

Size 81.4928$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1256 (+2.53%)

TP $ 2.06$

SL 0.1105 (-9.8%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.26

Status loss PnL -2.52% / -2.06$ MAE -4.29% MFE +1.76% 0.2R expires 29 Sep 00:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163109)
#2 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9659

Quality Score
0.708
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
43.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 18:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.60×ATR
4h clear —
1d near 0.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

28/09 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4305
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 20.8%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 18.1%
1h 13.9%
4h 15.3%
24h 15.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 27.8% -0.12%
4h 25.0% -1.15%
24h 18.1% -5.15%
Dispersion : 0.126
Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 18:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6312
Score SMA
0.6388
Rank
#43 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4545
Rank Norm SMA
0.6399
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8446 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.46% · r3d: 3.01% · ema21_slope: 1.3313% · dist_ema21: 11.852%
Force Relative 25% 0.6706 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.43% · rs_3d: 2.95% · beta_24h: 1.205
Volume 20% 0.3153 rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.015 · trend: 10.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8601 ADX: 43.2 (trend) · Chop: 27.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1805 ATR%: 5.459% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.7078
Score SMA
0.6093
Rank
#2 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.5964
Calculé le
28/09/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6646 r1h: -1.208% · r4h: -6.213% · r1d: 28.26% · r3d: 29.35% · ema21_slope: 1.4411% · dist_ema21: 5.832%
Force Relative 25% 0.6033 rs_1h: -0.822% · rs_4h: -5.399% · rs_1d: 29.99% · rs_3d: 30.05% · beta_24h: 3.644
Volume 20% 0.5132 rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: 0.832 · trend: 81.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9477 ADX: 53.7 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6140 ATR%: 4.158% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.8464
Score SMA
0.6717
Rank
#3 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.6979
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8476 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.046% · r1d: 28.40% · r3d: 29.17% · ema21_slope: 0.7018% · dist_ema21: 20.461%
Force Relative 25% 0.8118 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.034% · rs_1d: 29.99% · rs_3d: 29.93% · beta_24h: 3.307
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.83× · zscore_50: 3.853 · trend: 394.09%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8328 ADX: 39.9 (trend) · Chop: 2.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6427 ATR%: 4.072% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.796% (0.0120)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.755% 0.2R -1.012% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +1.755% 0.2R -1.543% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.755% 0.2R -3.151% 0.3R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.755% 0.2R -4.286% 0.4R 0.4× 72
8h +1.755% 0.2R -4.286% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h +1.755% 0.2R -4.996% 0.5R 0.4× 144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.15
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 45% late — near 0.3ATR 0.76 bull_high +14.58% +0.72 26/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
choppy 45% late — — 0.47 bull_high +1.68% +0.99 28/09 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.40 bear_medium -0.91% +0.98 28/09 17:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 44% early near -0.1ATR — 0.37 range_low -0.50% -0.30 28/09 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156456 		↔ neutral bull_high
65%
late 11b 1.6ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.443

—

near 0.3ATR

0.72 value +1.14 ATR — #88066 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:24
4h
164988 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
late 26b 4.0ATR choppy 45% 0.567

—

—

5.83 above_value +5.37 ATR — #91829 28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:18
1h anchor
165893 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
early 3b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.524

—

—

1.02 value +5.33 ATR — #92281 28/09 17:00
upd 28/09 18:13
15m
165807 		↑ up bull_high
59%
early 1b -0.6ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.535

near -0.1ATR

—

0.78 above_value +5.60 ATR — #92099 28/09 17:45
upd 28/09 18:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 11b — 4.582×ATR p41 +1.634×ATR p86
4h ↑ up late 26b — 6.792×ATR p89 +4.047×ATR p99
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.807×ATR p21 +0.92×ATR p45
15m ↓ down early 1b — 1.421×ATR p3 -0.621×ATR p30

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.1104744
  2. tp_price: 0.1255625
  3. atr: 0.00481024
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T04:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.7538
  4. delta_2h: 0.099
  5. extension_atr: 1.3
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9715
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1225 0.1105 0.1256 0.26 0.1019
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1225
  • Stop Loss: 0.1105
  • Take Profit: 0.1256

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1105 - 0.1225 = -0.012

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1225 - 0.1256 = -0.0031

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.012 = 0.2583

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
81.4928 81.4928 665.2475 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.012

Taille de position = 8 / -0.012 = -666.67

Taille de position USD = -666.67 x 0.1225 = -81.67

Donc, tu peux acheter -666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.1105

Avec un position size USD de -81.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -666.67 x -0.012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -666.67 x -0.0031 = 2.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.07$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -666.67
  • Taille de position USD -81.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.07
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2583

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 2.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.8 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-2.06 $ -2.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.2857 % 43.75 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1225 0.1105 0.1256 0.26 0.1019
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1225
  • Stop Loss: 0.1105
  • Take Profit: 0.1256

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1105 - 0.1225 = -0.012

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1225 - 0.1256 = -0.0031

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.012 = 0.2583

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.796% (0.0120)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.755% 0.2R -1.012% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +1.755% 0.2R -1.543% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.755% 0.2R -3.151% 0.3R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.755% 0.2R -4.286% 0.4R 0.4× 72
8h +1.755% 0.2R -4.286% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h +1.755% 0.2R -4.996% 0.5R 0.4× 144

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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