28 Sep 2026 at 18:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XLM (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 628.35 XLM at 0.225$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2308 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2124 (5.64 %)

XLM LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 18:15 → 19:35 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.2251$

Qty 628.3519 XLM

Size 141.4609$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2308 (+2.53%)

TP $ 3.58$

SL 0.2124 (-5.64%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.45

Status win PnL +2.53% / +3.58$ MAE -1.12% MFE +4.31% 0.8R expires 29 Sep 00:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163115)
#8 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9217

Quality Score
0.625
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
17.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 18:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.27×ATR
4h clear —
1d near 0.04×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

28/09 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4305
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 20.8%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 18.1%
1h 13.9%
4h 15.3%
24h 15.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 27.8% -0.12%
4h 25.0% -1.15%
24h 18.1% -5.15%
Dispersion : 0.126
Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 18:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5534
Score SMA
0.5877
Rank
#63 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1948
Rank Norm SMA
0.3841
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7691 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.30% · r3d: -0.80% · ema21_slope: 1.0167% · dist_ema21: 8.187%
Force Relative 25% 0.5736 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.32% · rs_3d: -0.86% · beta_24h: 1.505
Volume 20% 0.2907 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.255 · trend: 13.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7621 ADX: 34.7 (trend) · Chop: 41.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0683 ATR%: 5.795% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6250
Score SMA
0.5679
Rank
#8 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9217
Rank Norm SMA
0.5353
Calculé le
28/09/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6166 r1h: -1.561% · r4h: -0.292% · r1d: 4.05% · r3d: 3.44% · ema21_slope: 0.3020% · dist_ema21: 2.173%
Force Relative 25% 0.5687 rs_1h: -1.175% · rs_4h: 0.523% · rs_1d: 5.78% · rs_3d: 4.14% · beta_24h: 3.557
Volume 20% 0.3464 rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.075 · trend: 43.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7318 ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 29.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.377% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.8054
Score SMA
0.6226
Rank
#7 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9318
Rank Norm SMA
0.6133
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7572 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.913% · r1d: 4.94% · r3d: 2.89% · ema21_slope: 0.0346% · dist_ema21: 5.083%
Force Relative 25% 0.7394 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.925% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 3.64% · beta_24h: 2.612
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.56× · zscore_50: 3.113 · trend: 188.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6696 ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 39.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9292 ATR%: 3.213% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.642% (0.0127)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.168% 0.2R -0.698% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +4.309% 0.8R -0.698% 0.1R 6.2× 24
4h +4.309% 0.8R -0.698% 0.1R 6.2× 48
6h ★ +4.309% 0.8R -1.120% 0.2R 3.9× 71
8h +4.309% 0.8R -1.688% 0.3R 2.6× 96
12h +4.309% 0.8R -1.688% 0.3R 2.6× 144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near 0.0ATR 0.59 bull_high +14.58% +0.41 26/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.70 bull_high +1.68% +0.30 28/09 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.5ATR near 0.3ATR 0.62 bear_medium -0.91% +0.45 28/09 17:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.61 range_low -0.50% +0.06 28/09 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156475
↑ up bull_high
50%
mid 16b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.605

—

near 0.0ATR

0.64 above_value -0.93 ATR — #88072 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:25
4h
165006
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
mid 3b 1.6ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.468

—

—

3.56 above_value +1.71 ATR — #91835 28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:19
1h anchor
165899
↑ up bull_high
56%
early 3b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.713

near 0.5ATR

near 0.3ATR

0.60 above_value +1.44 ATR — #92287 28/09 17:00
upd 28/09 18:13
15m
165812
↑ up bull_high
59%
early 3b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.583

—

—

0.63 above_value +2.13 ATR — #92105 28/09 17:45
upd 28/09 18:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 16b — 3.501×ATR p36 +1.096×ATR p61
4h ↑ up mid 3b — 2.743×ATR p30 +1.609×ATR p79
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.821×ATR p20 +0.719×ATR p37
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.882×ATR p18 -0.454×ATR p27

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.21239828
  2. tp_price: 0.23075825
  3. atr: 0.00509269
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T04:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.663
  4. delta_2h: 0.0238
  5. extension_atr: 0.71
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9231
  9. confidence: 0.921

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2251 0.2124 0.2308 0.45 0.2134
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2251
  • Stop Loss: 0.2124
  • Take Profit: 0.2308

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2124 - 0.2251 = -0.0127

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2251 - 0.2308 = -0.0057

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0127 = 0.4488

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
141.4609 100 628.3519 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0127

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0127 = -629.92

Taille de position USD = -629.92 x 0.2251 = -141.79

Donc, tu peux acheter -629.92 avec un stoploss a 0.2124

Avec un position size USD de -141.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -629.92 x -0.0127 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -629.92 x -0.0057 = 3.59

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.59$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -629.92
  • Taille de position USD -141.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.59
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4488

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 3.58 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.64 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
3.58 $ 2.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6975 % 12.36 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2251 0.2124 0.2308 0.45 0.2134
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2251
  • Stop Loss: 0.2124
  • Take Profit: 0.2308

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2124 - 0.2251 = -0.0127

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2251 - 0.2308 = -0.0057

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0127 = 0.4488

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.642% (0.0127)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.168% 0.2R -0.698% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +4.309% 0.8R -0.698% 0.1R 6.2× 24
4h +4.309% 0.8R -0.698% 0.1R 6.2× 48
6h ★ +4.309% 0.8R -1.120% 0.2R 3.9× 71
8h +4.309% 0.8R -1.688% 0.3R 2.6× 96
12h +4.309% 0.8R -1.688% 0.3R 2.6× 144

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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