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Short Trade on NIL

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28 Sep 2026 at 20:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1081.96 NIL at 0.0878$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09518 (8.42 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08779$

Qty 1081.9613 NIL

Size 94.9843$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 94.99$

SL 0.09518 (-8.42%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +7.82% / +7.43$ MAE -0.67% MFE +8.65% 1.0R expires 28 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163305)
#87 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0213

Quality Score
0.379
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#87 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#87 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.88×ATR
4h near -0.78×ATR
1d clear 3.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4313
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 64.8%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 53.4%
1h 89.0%
4h 84.9%
24h 16.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.4% +0.01%
4h 75.3% +0.98%
24h 19.2% -4.61%
Dispersion : 0.184
Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6131
Score SMA
0.7052
Rank
#48 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3896
Rank Norm SMA
0.7792
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7326 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.10% · r3d: -11.08% · ema21_slope: 6.6537% · dist_ema21: 34.241%
Force Relative 25% 0.6056 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.13% · rs_3d: -11.15% · beta_24h: 0.501
Volume 20% 0.5319 rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: 0.525 · trend: 182.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9036 ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 1.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 15.578% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3789
Score SMA
0.5152
Rank
#87 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0213
Rank Norm SMA
0.3785
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2443 r1h: 0.624% · r4h: 0.470% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: -0.3192% · dist_ema21: -0.787%
Force Relative 25% 0.2857 rs_1h: 0.684% · rs_4h: 0.346% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 2.755
Volume 20% 0.1489 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.766 · trend: -77.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5844 ADX: 38.6 (trend) · Chop: 67.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9647 ATR%: 3.106% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3290
Score SMA
0.5825
Rank
#86 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0398
Rank Norm SMA
0.5137
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4337 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.470% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: -0.8264% · dist_ema21: -9.698%
Force Relative 25% 0.3822 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.346% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 7.743
Volume 20% 0.1415 rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.878 · trend: -64.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5629 ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.673% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.418% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.804% 0.1R -0.668% 0.1R 1.2× 12
2h +7.075% 0.8R -0.668% 0.1R 10.6× 24
3h ★ +8.649% 1.0R -0.668% 0.1R 13.0× 36
4h +8.873% 1.1R -0.668% 0.1R 13.3× 48
8h +8.873% 1.1R -0.668% 0.1R 13.3× 96
12h +8.873% 1.1R -0.668% 0.1R 13.3× 144
⏱ MFE in 179 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.30 bull_high +14.58% +1.00 26/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 51% mid near -0.8ATR — 0.12 bull_high +1.68% -1.00 28/09 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.09 range_medium -0.51% -0.08 28/09 18:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 46% early — near -0.6ATR 0.29 range_low -0.14% +0.01 28/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156502 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
64%
mid 3b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.826

—

—

1.11 value -4.96 ATR inside #88081 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:26
4h
165040 		↔ neutral bull_high
50%
mid 19b -1.4ATR noisy_chop 51% 0.629

near -0.8ATR

—

0.44 below_value -8.69 ATR — #91846 28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:21
1h anchor
166361 		↓ down bear_high
57%
early 7b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 34% 0.727

—

—

0.16 below_value -9.53 ATR — #92480 28/09 18:00
upd 28/09 19:12
15m
166724 		↔ neutral bear_high
62%
early 7b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.586

—

near -0.6ATR

0.61 below_value -9.53 ATR — #92480 28/09 19:45
upd 28/09 20:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 3b — 3.26×ATR p27 +1.402×ATR p79
4h ↓ down mid 19b — 5.895×ATR p78 -1.435×ATR p70
1h ↑ up early 7b — 1.953×ATR p26 -0.525×ATR p19
15m ↑ up early 7b — 2.203×ATR p22 +0.683×ATR p33

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.09518298
  2. atr: 0.00246466
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-29T03:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 88
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.268
  4. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08779 0.09518 0.08004
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08779
  • Stop Loss: 0.09518
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09518 - 0.08779 = 0.00739

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08779 - = 0.08779

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08779 / 0.00739 = 11.8796

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
94.9843 94.9843 1081.9613 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00739

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00739 = 1082.54

Taille de position USD = 1082.54 x 0.08779 = 95.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 1082.54 avec un stoploss a 0.09518

Avec un position size USD de 95.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1082.54 x 0.00739 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1082.54 x 0.08779 = 95.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 95.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1082.54
  • Taille de position USD 95.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 95.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 11.8796

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 94.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
7.43 $ 7.82
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6675 % 7.93 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08779 0.09518 0.08004
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08779
  • Stop Loss: 0.09518
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09518 - 0.08779 = 0.00739

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08779 - = 0.08779

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08779 / 0.00739 = 11.8796

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.418% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.804% 0.1R -0.668% 0.1R 1.2× 12
2h +7.075% 0.8R -0.668% 0.1R 10.6× 24
3h ★ +8.649% 1.0R -0.668% 0.1R 13.0× 36
4h +8.873% 1.1R -0.668% 0.1R 13.3× 48
8h +8.873% 1.1R -0.668% 0.1R 13.3× 96
12h +8.873% 1.1R -0.668% 0.1R 13.3× 144
⏱ MFE in 179 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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