28 Sep 2026 at 20:15:17 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LINK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 9.97 LINK at 15.555$ per unit. Take profit: 15.9439 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 14.7524 (5.16 %)

LINK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 20:15 → 00:00 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 15.555$

Qty 9.9675 LINK

Size 155.0439$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 15.9439 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.88$

SL 14.7524 (-5.16%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.48

Status loss PnL -5.16% / -8$ MAE -5.99% MFE +1.43% 0.3R expires 29 Sep 02:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163254)
#3 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9646

Quality Score
0.721
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
80.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 20:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.16 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.16 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -1.13×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

28/09 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4313
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 64.8%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 53.4%
1h 89.0%
4h 84.9%
24h 16.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.4% +0.01%
4h 75.3% +0.98%
24h 19.2% -4.61%
Dispersion : 0.184
Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6459
Score SMA
0.6392
Rank
#38 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5195
Rank Norm SMA
0.5312
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8110 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.93% · r3d: 5.99% · ema21_slope: 1.0224% · dist_ema21: 11.732%
Force Relative 25% 0.6459 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.96% · rs_3d: 5.93% · beta_24h: 1.271
Volume 20% 0.4681 rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.312 · trend: 56.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8432 ADX: 41.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2099 ATR%: 5.370% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7207
Score SMA
0.5882
Rank
#3 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9646
Rank Norm SMA
0.5866
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8647 r1h: 1.119% · r4h: 2.373% · r1d: 10.15% · r3d: 10.84% · ema21_slope: 0.4670% · dist_ema21: 4.889%
Force Relative 25% 0.8174 rs_1h: 1.179% · rs_4h: 2.249% · rs_1d: 11.32% · rs_3d: 11.57% · beta_24h: 3.827
Volume 20% 0.3576 rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: 0.316 · trend: 18.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7718 ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 29.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.169% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8165
Score SMA
0.6496
Rank
#2 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.6385
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9139 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.373% · r1d: 10.15% · r3d: 10.84% · ema21_slope: 0.3298% · dist_ema21: 9.167%
Force Relative 25% 0.8932 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.249% · rs_1d: 11.32% · rs_3d: 11.57% · beta_24h: 2.181
Volume 20% 0.6465 rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 0.925 · trend: 145.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8053 ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.906% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.160% (0.8026)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.427% 0.3R -1.897% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +1.427% 0.3R -2.977% 0.6R 0.5× 24
4h +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 72
8h +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 96
12h +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.59
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -1.1ATR 0.85 bull_high +14.58% +0.29 26/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.61 bull_high +1.68% +0.68 28/09 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.62 range_medium -0.51% +0.65 28/09 18:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -1.9ATR 0.67 range_low -0.14% +0.20 28/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156307
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
late 11b 1.9ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.601

—

near -1.1ATR

1.16 above_value +7.21 ATR — #88034 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:18
4h
164893
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
67%
late 2b 2.5ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.475

—

—

2.95 above_value +2.89 ATR inside #91795 28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:14
1h anchor
166309
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
early 5b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.723

—

—

0.72 value +3.49 ATR — #92428 28/09 18:00
upd 28/09 19:10
15m
166676
↑ up bull_high
61%
late 7b 1.8ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.354

—

near -1.9ATR

0.33 value +3.49 ATR — #92428 28/09 19:45
upd 28/09 20:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 11b — 4.527×ATR p53 +1.857×ATR p85
4h ↑ up late 2b — 3.526×ATR p55 +2.501×ATR p90
1h ↓ down early 5b — 0.606×ATR p2 +1.424×ATR p59
15m ↑ up late 7b — 2.898×ATR p55 +1.83×ATR p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 14.7523887
  2. tp_price: 15.943875
  3. atr: 0.32104452
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T06:15:17+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.8464
  4. delta_2h: 0.109
  5. extension_atr: 2.27
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.966
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
15.555 14.7524 15.9439 0.48 14.233
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 15.555
  • Stop Loss: 14.7524
  • Take Profit: 15.9439

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 14.7524 - 15.555 = -0.8026

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 15.555 - 15.9439 = -0.3889

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3889 / -0.8026 = 0.4846

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
155.0439 100 9.9675 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.8026

Taille de position = 8 / -0.8026 = -9.97

Taille de position USD = -9.97 x 15.555 = -155.08

Donc, tu peux acheter -9.97 avec un stoploss a 14.7524

Avec un position size USD de -155.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -9.97 x -0.8026 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -9.97 x -0.3889 = 3.88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.88$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -9.97
  • Taille de position USD -155.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.88
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4846

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -5.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.5609 % 107.77 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
15.555 14.7524 15.9439 0.48 14.233
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 15.555
  • Stop Loss: 14.7524
  • Take Profit: 15.9439

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 14.7524 - 15.555 = -0.8026

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 15.555 - 15.9439 = -0.3889

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3889 / -0.8026 = 0.4846

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.9439
            [entry_price] => 15.555
            [stop_loss] => 14.67214
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 04:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.160% (0.8026)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.427% 0.3R -1.897% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +1.427% 0.3R -2.977% 0.6R 0.5× 24
4h +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 72
8h +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 96
12h +1.427% 0.3R -5.985% 1.2R 0.2× 144

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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