Short Trade on SUI (BosPullback)
With 260.44 SUI at 1.152$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0753 (6.67 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1828 (2.66 %)
Short Trade on SUI (BosPullback)
With 260.44 SUI at 1.152$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0753 (6.67 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1828 (2.66 %)
Position
Entry 1.1521$
Qty 260.4371 SUI
Size 300.0496$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0753 (+6.67%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.1828 (-2.66%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4408
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 5.59×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 28/09 19:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 69.4% |
| 1h | 61.1% |
| 4h | 77.8% |
| 24h | 19.4% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 69.4% | +0.18% |
| 4h | 77.8% | +0.54% |
| 24h | 23.6% | -3.58% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7346 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.64% · r3d: -2.30% · ema21_slope: 2.8234% · dist_ema21: 21.996% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6284 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.48% · rs_3d: -1.58% · beta_24h: 1.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8948 | rvol_20: 2.43× · zscore_50: 2.796 · trend: 132.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8354 | ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 14.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.666% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4691 | r1h: 0.499% · r4h: 1.804% · r1d: -7.64% · r3d: -2.30% · ema21_slope: -0.2447% · dist_ema21: -0.913% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4641 | rs_1h: 0.559% · rs_4h: 1.680% · rs_1d: -6.48% · rs_3d: -1.58% · beta_24h: 2.270 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1147 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -1.378 · trend: -45.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5136 | ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 60.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.084% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7013 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.804% · r1d: -7.64% · r3d: -2.30% · ema21_slope: 0.5492% · dist_ema21: 0.109% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5384 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.680% · rs_1d: -6.48% · rs_3d: -1.58% · beta_24h: 4.863 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2731 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: 28.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7079 | ADX: 39.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6105 | ATR%: 4.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.897% | 1.5R | -0.226% | 0.1R | 17.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.748% | 1.8R | -0.226% | 0.1R | 21.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.748% | 1.8R | -0.226% | 0.1R | 21.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.748% | 1.8R | -0.799% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.748% | 1.8R | -3.246% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.77 | bull_high | +12.96% | +1.00 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +1.77% | +0.55 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.48 | range_medium | -0.56% | -0.53 | 28/09 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.68 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.10 | 28/09 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166836 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
late 13b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.449 |
— — |
2.43 | above_value | +6.30 ATR | — | #92605 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:18
|
|
4h
166768 |
↑ up | bull_high |
65%
|
early 6b 0.0ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.596 |
near -0.8ATR — |
0.58 | above_value | +6.30 ATR | — | #92605 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor
166767 |
↓ down | bull_high |
56%
|
early 7b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.301 |
— near -0.3ATR |
0.12 | above_value | +6.30 ATR | — | #92605 |
28/09 19:00
upd 28/09 20:14
|
|
15m
167214 |
↓ down | bear_high |
63%
|
early 6b 0.1ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.427 |
near -0.1ATR near -0.1ATR |
0.91 | above_value | +6.30 ATR | — | #92605 |
28/09 20:30
upd 28/09 20:45
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 5.526×ATR | p68 | +2.043×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.583×ATR | p23 | +0.025×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.526×ATR | p0 | -0.454×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 0.961×ATR | p3 | +0.089×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.181
141
0.2686
0.6329
0.3507
0.2395
0.4417
0.6621
0.3313
0.3831
0.3252
0.2063
0.7118
0.6378
-0.0911
-0.0512
0
-0.5485
-0.9869
0.5
0.5
-1
9
1
0.5209
0.7705
2.7803
0.5
0.6621
1.8408
-0.9869
0.4546
0.2523
0.2
-0.1706
0.4559
0.4629
0.9094
0.6378
-5.8543
10.311
1
0
1
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1.133
1.181
1.181
1.133
1.147
1.0906
1.1188
0.821
1.2055
1.1615
1.1835
0.8731
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1521 | 1.1828 | 1.0753 | 2.5 | 1.1798 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1828 - 1.1521 = 0.0307
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1521 - 1.0753 = 0.0768
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0768 / 0.0307 = 2.5016
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 300.0496 | 100 | 260.4371 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0307 = 260.59
Taille de position USD = 260.59 x 1.1521 = 300.23
Donc, tu peux acheter 260.59 avec un stoploss a 1.1828
Avec un position size USD de 300.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 260.59 x 0.0307 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 260.59 x 0.0768 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.67 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8036 % | 105.21 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1521 | 1.1828 | 1.0753 | 2.5 | 1.1798 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1828 - 1.1521 = 0.0307
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1521 - 1.0753 = 0.0768
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0768 / 0.0307 = 2.5016
Array
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)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.897% | 1.5R | -0.226% | 0.1R | 17.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.748% | 1.8R | -0.226% | 0.1R | 21.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.748% | 1.8R | -0.226% | 0.1R | 21.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.748% | 1.8R | -0.799% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.748% | 1.8R | -3.246% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
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