Long Trade on SYRUP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 730.42 SYRUP at 0.225$ per unit. Take profit: 0.252 (12.2 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2137 (4.85 %)
28 Sep 2026 at 21:41:37
hyperliquid
SYRUP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Sep 2026 21:41
→ 07:00
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 0.2246$
Qty 730.4188 SYRUP
Size 164.0594$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.252 (+12.2%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.2137 (-4.85%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+12.20%
/ +20.01$
MAE -1.74%
MFE +13.87%
2.9R
expires
29 Sep 09:41
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 163572)
#1 / 88
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 21:00
score du 28/09/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9221
Quality Score
0.896
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 21:32
28/09 21:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 88
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 88
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.43×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.29×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 28/09 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4319
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
59.3%
Impulse :
-0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.4% |
| 1h | 29.2% |
| 4h | 75.0% |
| 24h | 23.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 41.7% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 77.8% | +0.67% |
| 24h | 25.0% | -3.40% |
Dispersion :
0.162
Universe :
72
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
28/09 21:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6952
Score SMA
0.5595
Rank
#18
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8068
Rank Norm SMA
0.3144
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8065 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.90% · r3d: 3.31% · ema21_slope: 0.4384% · dist_ema21: 7.252% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7436 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.07% · rs_3d: 4.03% · beta_24h: 1.090 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8268 | rvol_20: 2.22× · zscore_50: 2.748 · trend: 76.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6797 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.8963
Score SMA
0.5334
Rank
#1
/ 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9221
Rank Norm SMA
0.3978
Calculé le
28/09/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8357 | r1h: 4.098% · r4h: 7.821% · r1d: 10.00% · r3d: 8.35% · ema21_slope: 0.2609% · dist_ema21: 9.240% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9519 | rs_1h: 4.478% · rs_4h: 8.254% · rs_1d: 11.12% · rs_3d: 9.22% · beta_24h: 2.440 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.62× · zscore_50: 5.845 · trend: 211.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7177 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 6.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.423% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7121
Score SMA
0.5331
Rank
#8
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8693
Rank Norm SMA
0.2949
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6990 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.041% · r1d: 5.90% · r3d: 3.31% · ema21_slope: -0.0381% · dist_ema21: 5.921% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7661 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.917% · rs_1d: 7.07% · rs_3d: 4.03% · beta_24h: 2.471 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6751 | rvol_20: 1.89× · zscore_50: 1.495 · trend: 65.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6330 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8087 | ATR%: 3.574% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.853%
(0.0109)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.331% | 0.3R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.768% | 0.4R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.768% | 0.4R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.779% | 2.2R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 6.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +13.874% | 2.9R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.874% | 2.9R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 8.0× | 288 |
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.96
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.62 | bull_high | +12.96% | -0.40 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.77% | +0.50 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.42 | bear_medium | -0.92% | +0.86 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.54 | bear_low | -0.90% | +0.35 | 28/09 21:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167071 |
↑ up | bull_high |
56%
|
early 7b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 33% | 0.617 |
— near -0.3ATR |
2.22 | above_value | +2.03 ATR | — | #92662 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
|
|
4h
166997 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
mid 3b 1.6ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.510 |
— near -0.2ATR |
1.89 | above_value | +2.03 ATR | — | #92662 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:26
|
|
1h
anchor
167441 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
late 5b 3.2ATR | noisy_chop 51% | 0.508 |
— near -0.4ATR |
5.62 | above_value | +3.39 ATR | — | #92932 |
28/09 20:00
upd 28/09 21:12
|
|
15m
167622 |
↑ up | bull_high |
67%
|
early 4b -0.2ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.667 |
— — |
4.46 | above_value | +3.39 ATR | — | #92932 |
28/09 21:15
upd 28/09 21:33
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.993×ATR | p0 | +0.817×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 3.345×ATR | p37 | +1.596×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.279×ATR | p83 | +3.245×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.198×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7696
- reason: up_bo width=1.86×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.21365738
- tp_price: 0.25199155
- atr:
- score: 0.76957863960918
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T13:41:30.245123
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76957863960918
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1298
- obi_top10 : 0.1205
- micro_price : 0.22465714
- spread_pct : 0.044524
- mid_price : 0.22465
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.226
- ask_wall_size : 162142
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0726
- obi_top5_std : 0.0495
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6793
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.2206
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.208065
- balance_zone_mid:
0.2143325
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790521200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790643600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8567
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7696
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790625600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.2206
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.594
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00675121 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
0.594
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:41 | 0.22461000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 21:51 | 0.22461000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 22:00 | 0.22461000 | +0.004% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6793ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.130
avg -0.073
± 0.050
OBI Top 10
0.121
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2247
Micro Price
0.2247
Spread
0.0445%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2260
Size
162,142.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2246 | 0.2137 | 0.252 | 2.51 | 0.2374 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2246
- Stop Loss: 0.2137
- Take Profit: 0.252
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2137 - 0.2246 = -0.0109
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2246 - 0.252 = -0.0274
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0274 / -0.0109 = 2.5138
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164.0594 | 100 | 730.4188 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0109
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0109 = -733.94
Taille de position USD = -733.94 x 0.2246 = -164.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -733.94 avec un stoploss a 0.2137
Avec un position size USD de -164.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -733.94 x -0.0109 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -733.94 x -0.0274 = 20.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.11$
Résumé
- Taille de position -733.94
- Taille de position USD -164.84
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.11
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5138
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.2 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.85 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.01 $ | 12.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7409 % | 35.87 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2246 | 0.2137 | 0.252 | 2.51 | 0.2374 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2246
- Stop Loss: 0.2137
- Take Profit: 0.252
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2137 - 0.2246 = -0.0109
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2246 - 0.252 = -0.0274
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0274 / -0.0109 = 2.5138
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.853%
(0.0109)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.331% | 0.3R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.768% | 0.4R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.768% | 0.4R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.779% | 2.2R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 6.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +13.874% | 2.9R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.874% | 2.9R | -1.741% | 0.4R | 8.0× | 288 |
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
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