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Long Trade on RUNE

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29 Sep 2026 at 00:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 180.3 RUNE at 0.765$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7844 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7209 (5.8 %)

RUNE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 00:15 → 01:10 · 54 minutes

Position

Entry 0.7653$

Qty 180.3044 RUNE

Size 137.9834$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7844 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.44$

SL 0.7209 (-5.8%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.43

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.44$ MAE -0.00% MFE +4.47% 0.8R expires 29 Sep 06:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163800)
#7 / 88 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9204

Quality Score
0.626
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 00:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#7 / 88 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 88 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 1.09×ATR
1d near 0.00×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (-1)

24/09 15:01

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

28/09 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4329
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical bear transition 0.55 -1
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 37.0%
1h 98.6%
4h 9.6%
24h 26.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 39.7% -0.06%
4h 11.0% -1.79%
24h 28.8% -2.99%
Dispersion : 0.216
Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 00:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8403
Score SMA
0.6916
Rank
#7 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9318
Rank Norm SMA
0.7369
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9354 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: 18.32% · ema21_slope: 2.3549% · dist_ema21: 27.140%
Force Relative 25% 0.9129 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.03% · rs_3d: 19.04% · beta_24h: 1.599
Volume 20% 0.9708 rvol_20: 3.16× · zscore_50: 2.562 · trend: 257.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9151 ADX: 49.8 (trend) · Chop: 11.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.625% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6259
Score SMA
0.6065
Rank
#7 / 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9204
Rank Norm SMA
0.6070
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6693 r1h: 0.504% · r4h: -1.066% · r1d: 3.66% · r3d: 14.62% · ema21_slope: 0.2714% · dist_ema21: 0.551%
Force Relative 25% 0.6786 rs_1h: 0.373% · rs_4h: -0.557% · rs_1d: 3.98% · rs_3d: 15.66% · beta_24h: 1.803
Volume 20% 0.2535 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.650 · trend: 22.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5930 ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.417% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6930
Score SMA
0.6772
Rank
#6 / 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9144
Rank Norm SMA
0.7722
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7506 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.066% · r1d: 3.66% · r3d: 14.62% · ema21_slope: 0.5643% · dist_ema21: 4.506%
Force Relative 25% 0.7881 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.557% · rs_1d: 3.98% · rs_3d: 15.66% · beta_24h: 2.353
Volume 20% 0.5586 rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 1.171 · trend: 48.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8345 ADX: 45.4 (trend) · Chop: 43.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5244 ATR%: 4.427% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.802% (0.0444)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.204% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +4.469% 0.8R -3.519% 0.6R 1.3× 144

computed 20 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 48% late — near 0.0ATR 0.70 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 47% early — — 0.48 bull_high +1.77% +0.96 28/09 16:00
1h ↑ up range range strong grind normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.49 bear_medium -1.13% +0.21 28/09 22:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion range_high
40%
noisy_chop 40% early near 0.4ATR — 0.38 range_low -0.49% -0.00 28/09 23:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166898 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
63%
late 1b 2.9ATR noisy_chop 48% 0.631

—

near 0.0ATR

3.16 value +1.70 ATR — #92620 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:22
4h
166825 		↑ up bull_high
64%
early 3b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.693

—

—

0.50 value +1.70 ATR — #92620 28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:18
1h anchor
168301 		↑ up bull_high
65%
early 9b 0.0ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.751

—

—

2.20 above_value -0.21 ATR — #93253 28/09 22:00
upd 28/09 23:10
15m
168663 		↓ down range_high
40%
early 4b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.436

near 0.4ATR

—

0.20 above_value -0.21 ATR — #93253 28/09 23:45
upd 29/09 00:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 1b — 1.398×ATR p0 +2.936×ATR p96
4h ↑ up early 3b — 2.075×ATR p3 +1.099×ATR p59
1h ↓ down early 9b — 2.12×ATR p33 +0.04×ATR p4
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.239×ATR p0 -0.416×ATR p22

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.72091059
  2. tp_price: 0.784412
  3. atr: 0.01774776
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T10:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.6903
  4. delta_2h: 0.036
  5. extension_atr: 0.05
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9247
  9. confidence: 0.944

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7653 0.7209 0.7844 0.43 0.7986
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7653
  • Stop Loss: 0.7209
  • Take Profit: 0.7844

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7209 - 0.7653 = -0.0444

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7653 - 0.7844 = -0.0191

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0191 / -0.0444 = 0.4302

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
137.9834 100 180.3044 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0444

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0444 = -180.18

Taille de position USD = -180.18 x 0.7653 = -137.89

Donc, tu peux acheter -180.18 avec un stoploss a 0.7209

Avec un position size USD de -137.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -180.18 x -0.0444 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -180.18 x -0.0191 = 3.44

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.44$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -180.18
  • Taille de position USD -137.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.44
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4302

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.44 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.8 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
3.44 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7653 0.7209 0.7844 0.43 0.7986
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7653
  • Stop Loss: 0.7209
  • Take Profit: 0.7844

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7209 - 0.7653 = -0.0444

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7653 - 0.7844 = -0.0191

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0191 / -0.0444 = 0.4302

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.802% (0.0444)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.204% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +4.469% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +4.469% 0.8R -3.519% 0.6R 1.3× 144

computed 20 hours ago

Commentaires

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