Short Trade on VVV (BosPullback)
With 12.46 VVV at 27.432$ per unit. Take profit: 26.131 (4.74 %) & Stop Loss: 28.074 (2.34 %)
Short Trade on VVV (BosPullback)
With 12.46 VVV at 27.432$ per unit. Take profit: 26.131 (4.74 %) & Stop Loss: 28.074 (2.34 %)
Position
Entry 27.432$
Qty 12.4619 VVV
Size 341.8549$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 26.131 (+4.74%)
TP $ 16.21$
SL 28.074 (-2.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4681
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.94×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | 0.55 | +1 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 51.4% |
| 1h | 19.4% |
| 4h | 13.9% |
| 24h | 23.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 59.7% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 13.9% | -1.45% |
| 24h | 23.6% | -4.04% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6072 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.16% · r3d: -8.00% · ema21_slope: 2.3830% · dist_ema21: 5.063% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4564 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.00% · rs_3d: -7.28% · beta_24h: 1.057 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2775 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.038 · trend: -10.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9760 | ADX: 60.3 (trend) · Chop: 41.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2731 | r1h: 2.433% · r4h: -3.648% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -11.14% · ema21_slope: -0.2171% · dist_ema21: -2.427% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3939 | rs_1h: 2.302% · rs_4h: -3.139% · rs_1d: -4.20% · rs_3d: -10.10% · beta_24h: 3.729 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5363 | rvol_20: 1.47× · zscore_50: 1.021 · trend: 35.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6342 | ADX: 34.9 (trend) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3001 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.648% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -11.14% · ema21_slope: -0.3754% · dist_ema21: -6.903% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2362 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.139% · rs_1d: -4.20% · rs_3d: -10.10% · beta_24h: 2.717 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4289 | rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: -0.161 · trend: -8.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6224 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 42.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3737 | ATR%: 4.879% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.090% | 0.5R | -1.013% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.090% | 0.5R | -1.254% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.090% | 0.5R | -4.302% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.090% | 0.5R | -4.302% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.938% | 1.3R | -4.302% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 15 hours ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.12 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.28 | bull_high | +1.23% | -0.78 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.29 | bear_medium | -0.98% | -0.41 | 28/09 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.57 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.06 | 29/09 00:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167058 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 7b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 35% | 0.565 |
— — |
0.64 | below_value | -3.73 ATR | — | #92659 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
|
|
4h
168901 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
52%
|
late 9b -1.6ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.524 |
near -0.9ATR — |
1.65 | below_value | -4.95 ATR | — | #93468 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:21
|
|
1h
anchor
168906 |
↓ down | bear_high |
57%
|
early 4b -0.9ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.539 |
— — |
1.47 | below_value | -4.95 ATR | — | #93468 |
28/09 23:00
upd 29/09 00:21
|
|
15m
169055 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
41%
|
late 7b 1.7ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.604 |
— near 0.2ATR |
0.62 | below_value | -4.95 ATR | — | #93468 |
29/09 00:15
upd 29/09 00:33
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.241×ATR | p4 | +0.389×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.826×ATR | p70 | -1.557×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.715×ATR | p5 | -0.934×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.942×ATR | p84 | +1.682×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
26.046
147
0.2453
0.6531
0.3611
0.2964
0.4142
1
0.3666
0.3631
0.2831
0.88
0.7556
0.202
-0.1014
-0.0881
0
-0.1625
-1.3686
0.4
0.6
-1
2
1
0.4073
0.7549
3.0212
0.55
1.391
3.0276
-1.3686
0.5248
0.1478
0.8
0.327
0.6773
0.4345
0.8851
0.202
-7.5576
1.9133
1
1
0
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26.046
28.017
28.017
26.046
26.216
26.046
26.131
0.5295
28.017
26.749
27.383
0.7778
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:39 | 27.43200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:57 | 27.34800000 | -0.306% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.432 | 28.074 | 26.131 | 2.03 | 27.349 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.074 - 27.432 = 0.642
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 27.432 - 26.131 = 1.301
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.301 / 0.642 = 2.0265
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 341.8549 | 100 | 12.4619 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.642 = 12.46
Taille de position USD = 12.46 x 27.432 = 341.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 12.46 avec un stoploss a 28.074
Avec un position size USD de 341.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12.46 x 0.642 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12.46 x 1.301 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.74 % | 16.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.395 % | 102.34 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.432 | 28.074 | 26.131 | 2.03 | 27.349 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.074 - 27.432 = 0.642
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 27.432 - 26.131 = 1.301
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.301 / 0.642 = 2.0265
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(
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[stop_loss] => 28.1382
[rr_ratio] => 1.84
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[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[stop_loss] => 28.2666
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[1.5] => Array
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[stop_loss] => 28.395
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
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[result] => loss
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.090% | 0.5R | -1.013% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.090% | 0.5R | -1.254% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.090% | 0.5R | -4.302% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.090% | 0.5R | -4.302% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.938% | 1.3R | -4.302% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 15 hours ago
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