Short Trade on OP

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29 Sep 2026 at 01:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on OP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1363.12 OP at 0.13$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1266 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1357 (4.55 %)

OP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 01:15 → 07:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1298$

Qty 1363.1244 OP

Size 176.9472$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1266 (+2.47%)

TP $ 4.36$

SL 0.1357 (-4.55%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 0.54

Status loss PnL -1.83% / -3.24$ MAE -2.50% MFE +0.94% 0.2R expires 29 Sep 07:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163956)

#56 / 87 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3717

Quality Score

0.407

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 01:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#56 / 87 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.55 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#56 / 87 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.55 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.79×ATR
4h	near	-0.40×ATR
1d	clear	2.96×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1)

24/09 15:01

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 00:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 00:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4333

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	bear	transition	0.55	+1
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 23.5%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	60.6%
1h	63.4%
4h	22.5%
24h	22.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	56.3%	+0.04%
4h	22.5%	-1.09%
24h	22.5%	-3.55%

Dispersion : 0.165

Universe : 71 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 01:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5447

Score SMA

0.6335

Rank

#62 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3068

Rank Norm SMA

0.5731

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6794	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.01% · r3d: -8.29% · ema21_slope: 2.1786% · dist_ema21: 10.099%
Force Relative	25%	0.5060	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.85% · rs_3d: -7.57% · beta_24h: 1.949
Volume	20%	0.4517	rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.741 · trend: 26.46%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8271	ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 30.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.804% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 01:00

Score brut

0.4065

Score SMA

0.5737

Rank

#56 / 87

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3717

Rank Norm SMA

0.5705

Calculé le

29/09/2026 01:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1968	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.599% · r1d: -9.91% · r3d: -10.66% · ema21_slope: -0.3285% · dist_ema21: -3.665%
Force Relative	25%	0.2377	rs_1h: -0.163% · rs_4h: -2.631% · rs_1d: -9.57% · rs_3d: -9.73% · beta_24h: 2.578
Volume	20%	0.4455	rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.330 · trend: 28.04%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6596	ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.913% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4701

Score SMA

0.5978

Rank

#49 / 88

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3378

Rank Norm SMA

0.5445

Calculé le

29/09/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4355	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.419% · r1d: -9.18% · r3d: -9.60% · ema21_slope: -0.0046% · dist_ema21: -6.351%
Force Relative	25%	0.2885	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.909% · rs_1d: -8.86% · rs_3d: -8.56% · beta_24h: 3.059
Volume	20%	0.5254	rvol_20: 1.90× · zscore_50: 0.441 · trend: 3.38%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6750	ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.6096	ATR%: 4.171% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.546% (0.0059)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.940%	0.2R	-0.678%	0.2R	1.4×	12
2h	+0.940%	0.2R	-1.780%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.940%	0.2R	-1.988%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+0.940%	0.2R	-2.496%	0.6R	0.4×	72
8h	+0.940%	0.2R	-4.237%	0.9R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.940%	0.2R	-4.877%	1.1R	0.2×	144

computed 9 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.6

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.60	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.95	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	near -0.4ATR	—	0.47	bull_high	+1.23%	-0.69	28/09 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.35	bear_medium	-0.81%	-0.63	29/09 00:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	volatile_reversal	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 45%	early	—	near -0.2ATR	0.76	range_low	-0.30%	-0.30	29/09 00:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 166815	↑ up	bull_high	68%	early 12b 0.9ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.598	— —	1.13	value	+3.42 ATR	—	#92600	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:17
4h 168734	↔ neutral	bull_high	53%	mid 6b -1.8ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.531	near -0.4ATR —	1.90	value	+1.76 ATR	—	#93410	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 00:13
1h anchor 169254	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	55%	late 11b -2.0ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.498	— —	1.25	value	-3.06 ATR	—	#93674	29/09 00:00 upd 29/09 01:09
15m 169173	↓ down	bear_high	49%	early 3b -0.9ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.592	— near -0.2ATR	0.18	value	+1.76 ATR	—	#93410	29/09 00:45 upd 29/09 01:00
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	12b	—	3.693×ATR	p35	+0.89×ATR	p47
4h	↓ down	mid	6b	—	3.884×ATR	p59	-1.776×ATR	p74
1h	↓ down	late	11b	—	3.329×ATR	p73	-1.998×ATR	p81
15m	↑ up	early	3b	—	0.709×ATR	p0	-0.933×ATR	p47

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.13567887
tp_price: 0.12656475
atr: 0.00234755
expires_at: 2026-09-29T11:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 84
total: 90
score: 0.1968
delta_2h: -0.0279
extension_atr: -1.77
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3731
confidence: 0.933

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	01:15	0.12981000	+0.008%
2	02:15	0.12986000	+0.046%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1298	0.1357	0.1266	0.54	0.1329

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1298
Stop Loss: 0.1357
Take Profit: 0.1266

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1357 - 0.1298 = 0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1298 - 0.1266 = 0.0032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032 / 0.0059 = 0.5424

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
176.9472	100	1363.1244	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0059

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0059 = 1355.93

Taille de position USD = 1355.93 x 0.1298 = 176

Donc, tu peux acheter 1355.93 avec un stoploss a 0.1357

Avec un position size USD de 176$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0059 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0032 = 4.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.34$

Résumé

Taille de position 1355.93
Taille de position USD 176
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.34
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5424

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.47 %	4.36 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.55 %	8.04 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.24 $	-1.83

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.4961 %	54.91 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1298	0.1357	0.1266	0.54	0.1329

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1298
Stop Loss: 0.1357
Take Profit: 0.1266

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1357 - 0.1298 = 0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1298 - 0.1266 = 0.0032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032 / 0.0059 = 0.5424

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.546% (0.0059)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.940%	0.2R	-0.678%	0.2R	1.4×	12
2h	+0.940%	0.2R	-1.780%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.940%	0.2R	-1.988%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+0.940%	0.2R	-2.496%	0.6R	0.4×	72
8h	+0.940%	0.2R	-4.237%	0.9R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.940%	0.2R	-4.877%	1.1R	0.2×	144

computed 9 hours ago

Commentaires

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