Short Trade on NIL

Previous Trade Next Trade

29 Sep 2026 at 02:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1028.61 NIL at 0.0818$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08962 (9.51 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 02:15 → 05:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08184$

Qty 1028.6121 NIL

Size 84.1847$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 84.18$

SL 0.08962 (-9.51%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -0.02% / -0.021$ MAE -1.77% MFE +0.57% 0.1R expires 29 Sep 05:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164102)

#87 / 87 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0212

Quality Score

0.282

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#87 / 87 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.51 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#87 / 87 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.51 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.71×ATR
4h	clear	1.34×ATR
1d	clear	2.80×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1)

24/09 15:01

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 01:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4337

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	bear	transition	0.55	+1
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 39.5%

Impulse : -0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	68.6%
1h	20.0%
4h	50.0%
24h	24.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	68.6%	+0.03%
4h	47.1%	-0.04%
24h	24.3%	-2.58%

Dispersion : 0.119

Universe : 70 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 02:02 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5750

Score SMA

0.6900

Rank

#49 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4545

Rank Norm SMA

0.7101

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7143	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume	20%	0.5018	rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9021	ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.2819

Score SMA

0.5031

Rank

#87 / 87

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0212

Rank Norm SMA

0.3509

Calculé le

29/09/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.0957	r1h: 0.153% · r4h: -4.193% · r1d: -8.82% · r3d: -28.79% · ema21_slope: -0.3316% · dist_ema21: -5.724%
Force Relative	25%	0.1593	rs_1h: -0.124% · rs_4h: -4.634% · rs_1d: -9.12% · rs_3d: -28.21% · beta_24h: 1.742
Volume	20%	0.1699	rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.680 · trend: -38.59%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7087	ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.8920	ATR%: 3.324% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.2739

Score SMA

0.5711

Rank

#88 / 88

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0057

Rank Norm SMA

0.4920

Calculé le

29/09/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2404	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.033% · r1d: -6.54% · r3d: -29.61% · ema21_slope: -0.8759% · dist_ema21: -14.806%
Force Relative	25%	0.2971	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.524% · rs_1d: -6.23% · rs_3d: -28.57% · beta_24h: 8.133
Volume	20%	0.1967	rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.607 · trend: -59.43%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5880	ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.375% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.506% (0.0078)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.566%	0.1R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.3×	36
4h	+0.566%	0.1R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.3×	48
8h	+4.907%	0.5R	-4.196%	0.4R	1.2×	96
12h	+5.797%	0.6R	-4.196%	0.4R	1.4×	144

computed 32 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.49

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early	—	—	0.31	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 50%	late	—	—	0.13	bull_high	+1.23%	-1.00	28/09 20:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.09	range_medium	-0.52%	-0.64	29/09 01:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.29	range_low	-0.01%	-0.66	29/09 01:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167062	↑ up	bull_high	64%	early 4b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.824	— —	0.96	below_value	-9.44 ATR	—	#92660	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:29
4h 168904	↔ neutral	bull_high	50%	late 21b -1.9ATR	noisy_chop 50%	0.625	— —	0.73	below_value	-11.31 ATR	—	#93469	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 00:21
1h anchor 169746	↓ down	bear_high	50%	mid 9b -2.1ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.515	— —	0.42	below_value	-12.44 ATR	—	#93909	29/09 01:00 upd 29/09 02:14
15m 169658	↓ down	bear_high	58%	mid 9b -1.9ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.735	— —	0.05	below_value	-11.76 ATR	—	#93733	29/09 01:45 upd 29/09 02:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.947×ATR	p42	+0.673×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	late	21b	—	6.86×ATR	p82	-1.894×ATR	p79
1h	↓ down	mid	9b	—	3.052×ATR	p62	-2.053×ATR	p71
15m	↓ down	mid	9b	—	1.243×ATR	p4	-1.857×ATR	p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.08962047
atr: 0.00259249
expires_at: 2026-09-29T09:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 88
total: 88
score: 0.0772
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08184	0.08962			0.08388

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08184
Stop Loss: 0.08962
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08962 - 0.08184 = 0.00778
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08184 - = 0.08184
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08184 / 0.00778 = 10.5193

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
84.1847	84.1847	1028.6121	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00778

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00778 = 1028.28

Taille de position USD = 1028.28 x 0.08184 = 84.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 1028.28 avec un stoploss a 0.08962

Avec un position size USD de 84.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1028.28 x 0.00778 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1028.28 x 0.08184 = 84.15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 84.15$

Résumé

Taille de position 1028.28
Taille de position USD 84.15
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 84.15
Risk-Reward Ratio 10.5193

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	84.18 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
9.51 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.021 $	-0.02

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.773 %	18.65 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08184	0.08962			0.08388

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08184
Stop Loss: 0.08962
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08962 - 0.08184 = 0.00778
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08184 - = 0.08184
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08184 / 0.00778 = 10.5193

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.506% (0.0078)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.566%	0.1R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.3×	36
4h	+0.566%	0.1R	-1.773%	0.2R	0.3×	48
8h	+4.907%	0.5R	-4.196%	0.4R	1.2×	96
12h	+5.797%	0.6R	-4.196%	0.4R	1.4×	144

computed 32 minutes ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.